Sun. Sep 23rd, 2018

The Heat is Here! And it is here to stay…. fire risk rising.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 22 September 2018 - Saturday night: Showers ending late this evening then mainly cloudy. Low 10. Sunday: Mainly cloudy. Clearing in the afternoon. High 18. UV index 4 or moderate. Sunday night: Clear. Increasing cloudiness after midnight. Fog patches developing overnight. Low 7. Monday: Sunny. High 20. Monday night: Clear. Low plus 5. Tuesday: Sunny. High 21. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 7. Wednesday: Sunny. High 22. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 9. Thursday: Sunny. High 20. Thursday night: Clear. Low 8. Friday: Sunny. High 19.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    12.1° C
    -0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.6 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SE 5.6 km/h
    gusting 11.3 km/h
    Humidity
    97 %
    Rain Rate
    1.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    12.1° C
    Heat Index
    12.1° C
    Dewpoint
    11.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 0:00:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    20.8 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:34
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (97% full)
    Civil Set
    19:47
    Day Length
    13:11:28
    Day High
    18.8° C @ 12:29 Ystd
    Day Low
    12.1° C @ 23:58 Ystd
    Day High Rain Rate
    24.9mm/hr @ 15:22 Ystd
    Day High Barometer
    101.6 kPa @ 23:59 Ystd
    Day Low Barometer
    100.68 kPa @ 00:28 Ystd.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.1° C @ 23:58 Ystd
    Day High Heat Index
    18.8° C @ 12:29 Ystd
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 11.1km/h @ 10:45 Ystd
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1121W/m2 @ 12:27 Ystd
    Day High UV Index
    4.7 @ 12:24 Ystd

I wanted to wait until the morning long range model was complete before posting an update so we could see the full picture for the next week. It confirms what Environment Canada’s very simple forecast says.

There is nothing but Sun and Heat in the forecast from now through Tuesday next week!

On the ultra long range 16 day forecast we see a possibility of temperatures breaking down a little to the lower twenties next Wednesday which will likely be a good relief.

But as you can see from the cloud forecast for the same period, there is not a lot of cloud expected at all. The Median line in the chart below doesn’t get up off the floor until way down at July 25/26 except for a little blip next Wednesday. Nothing significant. It is likely thunderstorm risk related (which may have fire risk implications more on that below).

So it’s easy… get out there and soak up that sun! 🙂

Note that the Fire Risk is rising on Vancouver Island.  There is now one area of extreme risk at Salt Spring Island.  Our area is currently moderate and is forecast to rise to a High risk on Friday.

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