Mon. Nov 19th, 2018

The Heat is Here! And it is here to stay…. fire risk rising.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Sunday 18 November 2018 - Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches developing overnight. Low zero. Monday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Monday night: Clear. Increasing cloudiness overnight. Low zero. Tuesday: Cloudy. High 8. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 4. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Showers. Low plus 5. Thursday: Rain. High 9. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 4. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 8. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 4. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 8.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    1.6° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.22 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    ENE 0.3 km/h
    gusting 3.2 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    1.6° C
    Heat Index
    1.6° C
    Dewpoint
    1.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:35:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:58
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (82% full)
    Civil Set
    17:10
    Day Length
    12:04:26
    Day High
    4.9° C @ 15:31 Tdy.
    Day Low
    0.5° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.56 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.15 kPa @ 18:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -1.4° C @ 07:48 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.9° C @ 15:31 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 4.8km/h @ 18:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    234W/m2 @ 15:11 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.7 @ 11:31 Tdy.

I wanted to wait until the morning long range model was complete before posting an update so we could see the full picture for the next week. It confirms what Environment Canada’s very simple forecast says.

There is nothing but Sun and Heat in the forecast from now through Tuesday next week!

On the ultra long range 16 day forecast we see a possibility of temperatures breaking down a little to the lower twenties next Wednesday which will likely be a good relief.

But as you can see from the cloud forecast for the same period, there is not a lot of cloud expected at all. The Median line in the chart below doesn’t get up off the floor until way down at July 25/26 except for a little blip next Wednesday. Nothing significant. It is likely thunderstorm risk related (which may have fire risk implications more on that below).

So it’s easy… get out there and soak up that sun! 🙂

Note that the Fire Risk is rising on Vancouver Island.  There is now one area of extreme risk at Salt Spring Island.  Our area is currently moderate and is forecast to rise to a High risk on Friday.