Tue. Nov 20th, 2018

Possible Afternoon Showers and Thunder. Rainy weekend ahead!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Tuesday 20 November 2018 - Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning after midnight. Amount 10 mm. Low plus 3. Wednesday: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. High 8. Wednesday night: Showers. Amount 5 mm. Low plus 5. Thursday: Rain. High 9. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 4. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 8. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 4. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 8. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 5. Sunday: Periods of rain. High 9. Sunday night: Periods of rain. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 10.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    4.6° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.1 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    4.6° C
    Heat Index
    4.6° C
    Dewpoint
    4.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:00
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (94% full)
    Civil Set
    17:08
    Day Length
    12:04:54
    Day High
    4.9° C @ 14:50 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.8° C @ 01:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.83 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.1 kPa @ 17:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.4° C @ 00:12 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.9° C @ 14:50 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.5km/h @ 00:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    139W/m2 @ 12:06 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.8 @ 12:07 Tdy.

It has been a pretty quiet few months really, so the next few days might seem surprisingly active in comparison.  Click through and check it all out!

Possible Thunderstorm Thursday

Here is the 24hour rainfall map from Thursday 5AM to Friday 5AM.

wa_pcp24.36.0000-4

You can see rain focused on the Alberni Valley and the East Coast of the Island.  This rainfall, which may include some thunder and lightning should begin around 3PM.  It is forecast to be focused around the Beauforts and Mt. Arrowsmith to start and then gradually expand to the East and West.

There is thunder/lightning also predicted in the models. Below are the images for the Island for 2-5PM and 5-8PM respectively.

Screen Shot 2016-05-26 at 8.08.07 AM Screen Shot 2016-05-26 at 8.08.18 AM

The risk of thunderstorms will go away after sundown and rain will end overnight. There does not appear to be any further risk after today.

Calm Friday

There is a slight chance of rain in the afternoon on Friday but it will be light if there is any at all and it will be focused on the higher elevations.

Rainy Saturday

Hello, what’s this?  It looks like some real rain on Saturday morning!

pcp3.66.0000

Rain is slated to begin before noon on Saturday and last all day and through the evening.

The 24 hour accumulation is going to be between 8 and 16mm with higher amounts in the mountains.  Depending on how strong the rainfall is, it might cause some higher streamflows or at least be a bit of a surprise for places like Dry Creek and Roger Creek which are already quite low.

wa_pcp24.84.0000

It should also melt a good amount of the snow left on the mountain tops.

Sunday will sort of be a mishmash of unsettled weather.  There are indications of a return to some sun and heat next week though.

Happy Thursday!

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