Sat. Oct 20th, 2018

The Winter of Uncertainty

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - FOG ADVISORY , Port Alberni
    Issued: 4:19 PM PDT Friday 19 October 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Friday 19 October 2018 - Friday night: Partly cloudy. Fog developing this evening. Low 6. Saturday: Fog dissipating in the morning then a mix of sun and cloud. High 17. UV index 3 or moderate. Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Fog developing near midnight. Low plus 4. Sunday: Fog. High 20. Sunday night: Fog. Low 6. Monday: Fog. High 15. Monday night: Cloudy. Low 9. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High 14. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 9. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 13. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 8. Thursday: Rain. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.1° C
    0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.5 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    96 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.1° C
    Heat Index
    9.1° C
    Dewpoint
    8.5° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 4:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:14
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (83% full)
    Civil Set
    18:52
    Day Length
    13:03:57
    Day High
    9.2° C @ 04:29 Tdy.
    Day Low
    7.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.56 kPa @ 02:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.5 kPa @ 04:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    7.3° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    9.2° C @ 04:29 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 1.7km/h @ 01:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

I’ve gotten out of my usual rhythm when it comes to updating the blog this week. I usually write my blogs while on the bus to work, but with my 3G connection on the fritz, it’s put a damper on that. I can write them. I just can’t find links and things and actually publish them.

In weather news…. There isn’t a whole lot to talk about. We should get a break from the rain on Saturday but it should return Sunday. After that last shot, the week looks pretty dry and mild much like we had before this latest period of rain.

Considering how warm we have been this first third of February (mean of 2.5C, highs of 5.8C) and looking at the outlook for the rest of the month, I wouldn’t be surprised if we ended up with a warmer February than 2011 (1.9C and 5.6C). That, of course, would blow the frigid winter projections right out of the water… but lets not count our chickens until they are hatched. Such is life in a world of changing climate.

6 thoughts on “The Winter of Uncertainty

  1. I
    thought this kid was amazing ….Thought you might enjoy it as you were
    researching solar power . Solar panels could be so beautiful …I would
    want one .

  2. I would like to formally request a few more days like today. It was spectacular with the sunshine and blue sky!

  3. Screw the sunshine, we need more snow.  After Monday and Tuesdays helicopter flights for work purposes, there is not nearly enough snow pack.  I could see severe watering restrictions this summer.

  4. Don’t look now, but I think winter is going to make a big comeback in the 6-10 day range.  The Euro, which is the best model,  Has been crazy cold for many model runs.  Wouldn’t be surprised if the ground is white with overnight lows in the -5 to -10 range in a week from now.  I hope I didn’t just jinx this event.  I have been watching it develop for the last 5 days or so, and it looks more likely now than ever.  The only model that gives me concern was the GEM tonight, it wasn’t the best setup to get overly cold on the coast.  Sticking with the Euro for now, it has been the best model in recent weeks,  and is the highest rated model overall.

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