April 3, 2020

The Winter of Uncertainty

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Friday 03 April 2020 - Friday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of rain showers or wet flurries early this evening and before morning. Low plus 1. Saturday: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of rain showers or wet flurries in the morning and early in the afternoon. High 8. UV index 3 or moderate. Saturday night: Mainly cloudy. Low minus 1. Sunday: Sunny. High 13. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 2. Monday: Sunny. High 16. Monday night: Clear. Low zero. Tuesday: Sunny. High 17. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 4. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 13. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 3. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    7.3° C
    -0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.42 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SE 10 km/h
    gusting 18 km/h
    Humidity
    70 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    5.5° C
    Heat Index
    7.3° C
    Dewpoint
    2.2° C
    UV
    1.2
    Solar
    388 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:10:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    0.0 mm since
    March 28, 2020 00:03
    Civil Rise
    06:17
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (77% full)
    Civil Set
    20:28
    Day Length
    13:22:16
    Day High
    8.5° C @ 14:22 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.8° C @ 07:07 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.99 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.42 kPa @ 16:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.1° C @ 03:12 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    8.5° C @ 14:22 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 20km/h @ 16:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1009W/m2 @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    3.9 @ 13:45 Tdy.

I’ve gotten out of my usual rhythm when it comes to updating the blog this week. I usually write my blogs while on the bus to work, but with my 3G connection on the fritz, it’s put a damper on that. I can write them. I just can’t find links and things and actually publish them.

In weather news…. There isn’t a whole lot to talk about. We should get a break from the rain on Saturday but it should return Sunday. After that last shot, the week looks pretty dry and mild much like we had before this latest period of rain.

Considering how warm we have been this first third of February (mean of 2.5C, highs of 5.8C) and looking at the outlook for the rest of the month, I wouldn’t be surprised if we ended up with a warmer February than 2011 (1.9C and 5.6C). That, of course, would blow the frigid winter projections right out of the water… but lets not count our chickens until they are hatched. Such is life in a world of changing climate.

6 thoughts on “The Winter of Uncertainty

  1. I would like to formally request a few more days like today. It was spectacular with the sunshine and blue sky!

  2. Screw the sunshine, we need more snow.  After Monday and Tuesdays helicopter flights for work purposes, there is not nearly enough snow pack.  I could see severe watering restrictions this summer.

  3. Don’t look now, but I think winter is going to make a big comeback in the 6-10 day range.  The Euro, which is the best model,  Has been crazy cold for many model runs.  Wouldn’t be surprised if the ground is white with overnight lows in the -5 to -10 range in a week from now.  I hope I didn’t just jinx this event.  I have been watching it develop for the last 5 days or so, and it looks more likely now than ever.  The only model that gives me concern was the GEM tonight, it wasn’t the best setup to get overly cold on the coast.  Sticking with the Euro for now, it has been the best model in recent weeks,  and is the highest rated model overall.

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