Fri. Feb 15th, 2019

The rainfall warnings begin…. a timeline of the incoming atmospheric river.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Friday 15 February 2019 - Friday: A few wet flurries changing to a few rain showers this afternoon and ending late this afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 cm. High plus 3. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of wet flurries. Temperature steady near plus 1. Saturday: Mainly cloudy. 60 percent chance of wet flurries changing to 60 percent chance of rain showers in the morning. High plus 5. UV index 1 or low. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High plus 4. Monday night: Increasing cloudiness. Low minus 2. Tuesday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low zero. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 6. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 3. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    1.7° C
    0.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.15 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    4.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    1.7° C
    Heat Index
    1.7° C
    Dewpoint
    1.5° C
    UV
    0.5
    Solar
    162 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:35:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    2.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:54
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (80% full)
    Civil Set
    18:12
    Day Length
    12:33:19
    Day High
    1.7° C @ 10:32 Tdy.
    Day Low
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    5.1mm/hr @ 10:25 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    100.15 kPa @ 10:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.28 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    1.7° C @ 10:32 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    172W/m2 @ 10:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.5 @ 10:16 Tdy.

In a rare occurence, Environment Canada is issuing rainfall warnings for Inland (Port Alberni, Gold River) Vancouver Island as well as other areas.

Here is the warning text, it also mentions the S word!

Issued at 2018-01-28 00:01 UTC by Environment Canada:
Rainfall warning issued for:
West Vancouver Island, B.C. (081400)
Inland Vancouver Island, B.C. (081500)
Current details:
Rain, at times heavy, is expected.

A moisture-laden frontal system will move across Vancouver Island tonight and Sunday bringing heavy rain.

Rain will begin overnight and intensify during the day on Sunday with rainfall totals near 100 millimetres by Monday morning.

Early on Sunday morning, higher elevations such as the Port Alberni Summit on Highway 4 may see accumulating snow before the warm front move across and snow changes to rain later Sunday morning.

Localized flooding in low-lying areas is possible. Be prepared for possible winter conditions at higher elevations.

Timeline Starts Early Sunday Morning

Rain begins across the Island in the 1-4AM period Sunday morning.  If the temperature stays in the 3-4°C range, expect this to start as sleet or snow at higher elevatoons, or to switch from rain to snow as the precipitation rate picks up and drags down the temperature.

Things intensify in the 7-10AM period on the West Coast.

They intensify further on the West Coast with 30-60mm falling in multiple 3hr periods on Sunday afternoon throuh evening especially in the Kennedy Lake area.

It is less extreme in Port Alberni but we are still expected to get more than enough rain to be quite unpleasant!

The model is predicting up to 60mm in Port Alberni (pink) but up to 120mm in higher regions all by 4AM Monday.

Rain will reach into Monday morning but will taper to showes Monday afternoon and then re-intensify a little Monday night.

Never a dull moment.

Stay dry. Stay away from the rivers as they are expected to rise rapidly especially with the freezing level rising rapidly adding snow melt to the rainfall.