Mon. Oct 14th, 2019

Hurricane Force winds headed our way?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 14 October 2019 - Monday night: Cloudy. Low 7. Tuesday: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the morning. High 12. UV index 1 or low. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Temperature steady near 12. Wednesday: Rain. High 15. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 8. Thursday: Showers. High 13. Thursday night: Rain. Low 8. Friday: Rain. High 12. Friday night: Rain. Low 6. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Sunday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    10.4° C
    -0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.66 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    88 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    10.4° C
    Heat Index
    10.4° C
    Dewpoint
    8.5° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 23:00:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:05
    Moon Phase
    Full (98% full)
    Civil Set
    19:04
    Day Length
    13:05:11
    Day High
    14.7° C @ 14:43 Tdy.
    Day Low
    4.3° C @ 07:53 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.92 kPa @ 10:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.62 kPa @ 00:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.3° C @ 07:53 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    14.7° C @ 14:43 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 9km/h @ 13:50 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    733W/m2 @ 12:50 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.9 @ 12:48 Tdy.

You’ll notice on the satellite shot today a big swirl out south of the Aleutians. That swirl is currently packing our first North Pacific Hurricane Force winds of the season. It is slated to head up into the Gulf of Alaska and send a front our way on Tuesday. Looks like this is our next chance for a wind warning in the Alberni Valley. The West Coast already got one last week. The winds will be stronger than the previous storm. And looks like we’ll get a similar amount of rain. My wall base station (that sits between instruments and the server your view) is reporting the last few days of rain added up to 77mm of rainfall. Which is pretty close to the 90 we were slated for a few weeks earlier.

UPDATE
: This mornings QuikScat (in the Satellites/Radar section) still shows plenty of 50 and 60knot winds around that low (the remnants of a Central Pacific Typhoon). It is swinging a massive front of wet our way, mainly headed toward Haida Gwaii. No wind though. Sorry Eve. It looks like there is just enough of a High Pressure ridge over top of us that it is pushing the lows up into the Gulf rather than tracking our way.

9 thoughts on “Hurricane Force winds headed our way?

  1. I might be losing my faith in the long range forecast provided by the people at the NOAA. You’ll remember their initial prediction for Oct 12 – 20 was for 235 mm? (I posted that here on Oct 4). Thank goodness it was nowhere near that – 77mm was enough for me!

  2. True ture…

    I have found the long long range GFS to often over estimate on precip and underestimate on high temp… don’t know why that is. Maybe it’s something inherent in the computer model and our specific region? Don’t know.

    Once they get into the 7-10 day forecast it seems much more reliable.

  3. So what’s up with this? That swirl looks pretty ominous to me, yet Madriga isn’t even metioning it. Nor Envir Can. Chris, what’s up?

  4. Well obviously they didn’t go to the Chris School of Weatherology! 😀

    The low itself is headed up into the Gulf, so no huge wind I guess.

    The front that it is producing for Wednesday looks like most of the meat of it is headed up to the Queen Charlottes more than us.

    We’re just wishful thinkers I guess. 😀

  5. Hey Chris….what do you think about Neki?….do you think its remnants will get caught up in the jet stream and do something here?

  6. Hey Tazz, thanks for pointing that out. I hadn’t seen Neki out there. Don’t know that I’ve seen a Central Pacific storm curl up and over Hawaii back at us like that.

    Judging by the North Pacific forecast charts they seem to think it’s going to head in a general NorthEasterly direction which would bring it right in amongst the other Lows marching across the Pacific toward us with the jetstream like you say.

    I honestly don’t know but seems reasonable to think that it could get caught up with a low and the jetstream and we would end up with a front in our neighbourhood maybe early next week?

    Certainly something to keep an eye on.

    Thanks!

  7. I see the first forecast of the white stuff is in the extended forecast for flurries or showers on Thursday. We better get a snow contest started soon!!

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