Stable, warm week – going with your gut on stormy weather.

Another quiet, warm week:

There just isn’t much to say about the forecast this week. It looks like another pleasant, mostly sunny week with warm temperatures and no chance of rain.

The jetstream is staying mostly to the north of us allowing warm air up from the south.

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It will slip down a little later in the week allowing some cool air into the picture, but no pacific frontal systems are forecast.

A baseless hunch about winter

I went down to close the windows of my car last night and as I went down the driveway that slopes into the basement of our home (that sometimes floods in big rains) I got a feeling in my gut that it was going to be a rainy, stormy, maybe even snowy winter. We haven’t had a really stormy winter for around 7 years. We’ve had a few really wet and cool summers in a row and now with this summer having been so hot and dry I wonder if a change is going to come in the fall. I have nothing to back up this knot in my gut. So we will just have to see how it plays out.

As there has been for a number of months, there is a big pocket of warmer than average water off the West Coast. Could this bit of extra energy feed our winter storms if it persists through the fall?
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What do you think is going to happen this fall and winter?

Happy Monday!

P.S. I almost forgot!

This happened early Sunday morning apparently!

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Yes that is a cougar, and yes it is sauntering off the ramp on centennial pier at Harbour Quay! The picture was snapped by the folks at the Swept Away Inn which is the beautiful ship docked at the pier. Check them out, and keep your eyes open for cougars in the lowered 3rd Ave. area!

Slight Chance of Thunderstorms/rain today and Friday. Great weekend!

The pleasant weather is set to continue! There is a slight chance of thunderstorms this afternoon as you can see in the purple areas of the image below.
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As you can see though, most of the risk will be on the East coast of the Island. There will be some showers related to this stormy weather, but it is also not supposed to creep much past the east coast.
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There will be another chance of thundershowers on Friday, but it should be even weaker and only affect the extreme southern portions of the Island.

Once that excitement is through, the weekend looks pretty great!

Happy Thursday!