Heat Continues to Tuesday – Open Burning Ban in Effect – Think about Water

Open Burning Ban in Effect in and out of City

(the banner image is of a wildfire in Alberta)

The forecast remains hot and dry through the weekend until at least Monday or Tuesday.    And the Forest is hot and dry too.  Our area is currently at Moderate fire risk level as is most of the province.  We are forecast to go to High fire risk by this weekend.

DR-3

As of Wednesday at Noon, there is an open burning ban on Vancouver Island outside the “fog zone” 2KM from the West Coast beaches.  “An open fire, excluding a campfire, that burns piled material no larger than two metres high and three metres wide, or grass over an area less than 0.2 hectares (2000 square metres) in size”

Within City limits of Port Alberni there is has been a similar open fire ban since April 15th.  Propane, natural gas, or briquette type fires are fine but you should check with PAFD (250-724-1351) if you aren’t sure.  Both bans will be in place until October 15th unless announced otherwise.

Continued Heat through Weekend

Our incredible stretch of warm, dry and sunny weather is going to keep on going.  I have not looked at the data closely yet, but my feeling is May will end up being abnormally dry and warm.  Mt. Arrowsmith looks like it would in August of a normal year, and the lakes and rivers are the same.

Water restrictions have been put in place in most communities on Vancouver Island but not in Port Alberni yet.  However, I would expect that to happen relatively soon… any water conservations measures you can voluntarily take would no doubt help.

Perfect Weather for Bike to Work Week! And Record Low Arctic ice.

You really can’t ask for better weather for bike to work week.  It should be cool in the mornings with morning low cloud.  Nice and cool for your morning bike commute.

Then you will have a hot ride home, especially Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday when temperatures should get over 25ºC.  Hopefully your bike ride home is headed north, because you will either have a pretty serious head wind or a great tailwind!

We remain in a very stable pattern with very little precipitation.  The Jetstream has curved way to the North of us.

300j.00.0000300j.00.0000It has been like this for a couple weeks really…. with just little bits and pieces of it passing over our area seemingly randomly… this is the image a few days from now.

300j.84.0000-2

You’ll notice some kits of hit heading down towards California and Mexico.  This is the likely source of the moisture for the devastating floods in Texas.

This is the imagery for NEXT Monday.

300j.180.0000

We are still mostly spared from its influence but notice the freight train coming for California.  Perhaps it will deliver some rain (hopefully not torrential) to those parched parts of the Western US.  That big “blob” of clearness directly off of Vancouver Island and Washington State is a great example of what has *caused* the ‘blob’ of warm water over the past many months.  Without cool ocean winds, that water just absorbs more and more heat thanks to these unusual jet stream patterns that are bringing extended sunny skies here, and extended cold wet weather in middle North America and strange weather all over the Northern Hemisphere.

Arctic Ice extent minimum currently being “crushed”.

Check this graph out…

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After a record low and early winter maximum, the Arctic Ice is way below the record for this time of year.  Lets hope this slows down a bit.

Here is the data from a confirmed source:  National Snow and Ice Data Centre.

N_stddev_timeseries-2
Well below the 2012 line, and almost below two standard deviations.