Snowfall Amount 4PM-4PM Friday/Saturday.  Centred in Nanaimo/Ladysmith areas

Chance of Snow Builds – East Coast in crosshairs

Note: Alberniweather condition updates will be interrupted between 8AM-5PM everyday due to renovations at my home.  Port Alberni Airport conditions will take their place.

The chance of snow is increasing for the Alberni Valley but the East Coast of the Island is still set to receive the brunt of any snowfall on Friday night.

The Wind Shift overnight Friday.

Click the Youtube video below to see the latest model output. Notice the shift in the wind as the big front of rain moves away to the south on Friday, the threat of snow begins when the winds (shown with the little grid of flags/arrows on the image) swing around to the East.

Arctic Outflow from the Fraser Valley will then sweep across the Strait, cause temperatures to drop quickly.  And deliver potential snow for the area from Parksville to Duncan.  It should all be over by sunrise Saturday except perhaps near the Cowichan Valley where it could last into the morning.

Total accumulations based on the map below

  • Alberni: 0cm (though may have some local traces)
  • Parksville: 1-2cm
  • Nanaimo: 2-5cm
  • Ladysmith: 5cm
  • Duncan: 1-2cm (though may have some local traces)
Snowfall Amount 4PM-4PM Friday/Saturday.  Centred in Nanaimo/Ladysmith areas
Snowfall Amount 4PM-4PM Friday/Saturday. Centred in Nanaimo/Ladysmith areas

Cold Returns – East Coast Snow Friday Night – Basement Renos

Here comes the “S” word.  Snow. And lets throw in the “I” word too… Ice.

It is going to rain a whole bunch tonight Thursday and into Friday.  It will stay warm for those days.  After the last rain passes through it is supposed to get very cold (-8ºC Saturday morning) very quickly and in that transition there is a chance for snow on the East Coast especially.

I do not expect significant snow in Port Alberni Friday night but we might get some flurries.

Looks like "Strait effect" snow pattern setting up.  Will bring snow to east coast of Vancouver Island.
Image is for 10PM Friday to 1AM Saturday.  Looks like “Strait effect” snow pattern setting up. Will bring snow to east coast of Vancouver Island.  It will be very localized. Maximum accumulation of 10 cm / 4 inches in blue.

 If you are planning on doing any shopping or travelling over the Hump on the weekend you are definitely going to want to watch out on Saturday morning and afternoon.

It is supposed to get very cold on Saturday and Sunday too so please watch for ice.

There was a chance at some more snow for Monday but that chance seems to have disappeared from the models so we’ll just leave it at that for now.

Be careful driving out there.  I’ll have more details on the snow chances for Friday night tomorrow and Friday.

Basement Renos are Interrupting Weather Conditions

In case you’re wondering why the condition updates have been offline a bunch lately, I’m having my basement renovated.  This is of course causing some disruption in power and other things.   So I would expect in the next week to two weeks that the conditions will be offline quite often but they should always fall back to the conditions from the Airport so my apologies for the outages but in the end, it’s going to be a great renovation and it will make it easier for all my weather and computer gear too! :)