Wed. Jun 26th, 2019

Snowfall Warning in effect. 10-20 possible. Also icy morning and maybe freezing rain. Winner on the way?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Wednesday 26 June 2019 - Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers this afternoon with risk of a thunderstorm. High 24. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Rain beginning before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 11. Thursday: Rain. High 14. UV index 2 or low. Thursday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Friday: Cloudy. High 20. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 9. Saturday: Sunny. High 23. Saturday night: Clear. Low 10. Sunday: Sunny. High 24. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    22.9° C
    1.4 ° C/hr
    101.03 kPa
    NE 11.3 km/h
    gusting 24.1 km/h
    44 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    22.9° C
    Heat Index
    22.9° C
    10.0° C
    991 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:50:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (36% full)
    Civil Set
    Day Length
    Day High
    23.1° C @ 14:14 Tdy.
    Day Low
    10.0° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    Day High Barometer
    101.29 kPa @ 06:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.03 kPa @ 14:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    10.0° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    23.1° C @ 14:14 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 14.5km/h @ 14:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1195W/m2 @ 12:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.5 @ 12:28 Tdy.

Update 6AM: the temp has popped up to 3°C but the windchill has us below zero still. The snowfall warning remains in effect. I expect it now to start as rain and then switch to snow but we will see.

Yup, we have a snowfall warning! Below is the warning in full. I have more timing details below that. I will post updates here throughout the day tomorrow!

10:14 PM PST Monday 07 January 2019
Snowfall warning in effect for:
Inland Vancouver Island
Snowfall with total amounts of 5 cm near the coast and 10 to 20 cm inland is expected.

An approaching Pacific frontal system will spread precipitation across Vancouver Island Tuesday. A cool air mass currently over the region means that precipitation will begin as snow Tuesday morning. Snow is expected to continue through the day as snow levels remain near sea level, though near the water snow may become mixed with rain in the afternoon. Gradual warming through Tuesday night will cause snow to change to rain by Wednesday morning.

Near 5 cm can be expected over East Vancouver Island today. 10 to 20 cm is possible for Inland Vancouver Island by Wednesday morning. The heaviest snow is expected over higher terrain and locations away from the water.

Ice, Snow, Freezing Rain, Rain. Possibly in that order but not necessarily.

Here is what we know for sure. It is cold enough for snow. It is currently -1°C (ok actually -0.9) and dropping. There is a light easterly breeze which might give us a windchill down as far as -3°C. Great conditions for frosty windshields and icy roads!

It is also setting us up for possible snow on Tuesday. EC is predicting snow to start in the morning but the UWash model has it starting right at noon from this chart below which shows rain in grey, but that is going to fall as snow so long as the cold air sticks around, which it should. Given the disagreement in timing, just prepare for the snow to start falling anytime after daylight.

Rain/Snow will spread across the Island the rest of the day. The heavier the precipitation amounts, the more likely it will fall as snow. Then it will become a bit of a guessing game to see what area turns to freezing rain or just rain. Higher elevations are more likely to see snow accumulate. Port Alberni itself might see no snow at all in town and just wet snow that doesn’t accumulate. Or you could see up to 10-20 centimetres by the end of the day before the winds shift to the southeast and bring the warmth in.

Be prepared for it all!

And in case you’re wondering, Faye Carnahan has the closest snow contest guess! She guessed Sunday!