Wed. Aug 22nd, 2018

Warm and Wet Weekend – Record Warm World – Coffee and Chocolate Threatened – Apocalypse Now

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:31 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018 - Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 12. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Widespread smoke becoming local smoke near noon. High 31. Humidex 34. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Local smoke. Low 12. Thursday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 23. Thursday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 13. Sunday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 18. Sunday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 11. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    21.6° C
    -1.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.44 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    49 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    21.6° C
    Heat Index
    21.6° C
    Dewpoint
    10.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 22:25:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:44
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (85% full)
    Civil Set
    20:59
    Day Length
    13:22:16
    Day High
    33.3° C @ 16:03 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.91 kPa @ 08:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.39 kPa @ 17:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    33.3° C @ 16:03 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13.2km/h @ 17:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    705W/m2 @ 14:18 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.7 @ 13:01 Tdy.

Update:  New Study reveals record high North Pacific Ocean temperatures threatening cold water species including Salmon.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/record-north-pacific-temperatures-threatening-b-c-marine-species-1.2845662

Update 9:45AM: The Air Quality Advisory and Burning Restrictions have now ended.

Today, Saturday and Sunday will be warm, will have periods of rain and possibly some wind too.  Thankfully though after a rainy Friday, most of the rain for the weekend looks like it might come in the overnight hours and leave us mostly dry for daytime Saturday and Sunday.  Fingers crossed.

Check out the “Kitchen Sink” page.

Make sure you click on and bookmark the “Full Conditions and Almanac” link added to the menu along the top.  I’ll be adding to the page over time and reorganizing some of the data there to make it easier to read and to group the values a bit.  It’s coming along nicely.

2014 marches to warmest year on record.

Even though El Niño hasn’t materialized and despite the local cold snaps… the world is on track to have its warmest year since humanity started dumping CO2 into the atmosphere.

The NOAA have released their monthly global climate report for October 2014. It says:

With records dating back to 1880, the global temperature averaged across the world’s land and ocean surfaces for October 2014 was the highest on record for the month, at 0.74°C (1.33°F) above the 20th century average. This also marks the third consecutive month and fifth of the past six with a record high global temperature for its respective month (July was fourth highest).

The world temperature anomaly map.  The difference from normal 20th century average temperatures was higher in nearly every region except central and Eastern Europe.
The world temperature anomaly map. The difference from normal 20th century average temperatures was higher in nearly every region except eastern Euopre and Russia.

 

Important takeaways from this report:

a) El Niño warms huge parts of the Pacific Ocean and strong ones have contributed to record warm years in the past (like 1998, which many skeptics like to hold up as the start of the “end” of warming).  October 2014 saw the warmest ocean temperatures for the month on record, and there was no El Niño.

b) As we all know, water warms slower and holds heat longer than air.  So warming oceans have the potential to disrupt and/or change weather patterns significantly over longer periods of time. They represent a huge store of energy for the worlds weather patterns to use.

c) November and December would have to be colder than average for the world to avoid being  the #1 hottest year in NOAAs records.  As the image below shows, there hasn’t been a below average October since the 1970s and November and December are no different.

The last below average October globally was 1983.
The last below average October globally was 1976!  The year before I was born.

So…. don’t let anyone tell you global warming has stopped, slowed down, or is happening somewhere else.  The trend is obvious.  The records are clear.

So what do we do?

This is a problem that we can all do our small part to help with, but it is still a national and global problem that demands national and global solutions.

Science is not partisan.  The Climate does not care if you are right wing or left wing, Green or Conservative, NDP or BC Liberal.  As we are seeing in Buffalo, the weather that this change in climate is forcing upon us does not distinguish between rich or poor, developed or undeveloped.

We need to demand our senior governments take the issue seriously.  Only provincial, national, and global governing bodies can put in the incentives and dis-incentives our economies need to be able to shift away from CO2 pollution.  These represent gigantic job-creating opportunities as we rebuild our electrical infrastructure, build out our renewable energy infrastructure and modify our transportation infrastructure.

What is really going to cause people to sit up and take notice and demand change?

Probably worldwide shortages of coffee (causing prices to rise at Timmy’s) and cocoa (used primarily for…. CHOCOLATE) caused by droughts in Brazil and pests and disease in West Africa.

I wish I was joking. 😉