Sun. Aug 19th, 2018

Warm and Dry week. Should you camp this weekend or May Long? :)

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:16 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. Local smoke. High 33. Humidex 36. UV index 7 or high. Sunday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 12. Monday: Sunny. High 34. Monday night: Clear. Low 12. Tuesday: Sunny. High 34. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 13. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 14. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 21. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    19.3° C
    -1.0 ° C/hr
    101.9 kPa
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    67 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.3° C
    Heat Index
    19.3° C
    13.0° C
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 23:00:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (60% full)
    Civil Set
    Day Length
    Day High
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    Day High Barometer
    102.42 kPa @ 07:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.79 kPa @ 19:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16.3km/h @ 16:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1220W/m2 @ 13:26 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.8 @ 13:25 Tdy.

Update: Got to see the #Mercurytransit!

A perfect morning!

It is going to be warm and dry and mainly sunny for at least the next 7 days.  However, the real question is, should you go for that camping trip with the kids this coming 4 day weekend (in SD70, Pro Day Friday 13th and Curriculum Day Monday 16th). Or should you wait for May Long Weekend.  Now of course going out 16 days means the confidence is much lower than a normal forecast.  But it should give us hints.

All of this is from the GEPS multi-model system at

Screen Shot 2016-05-09 at 7.44.27 AM

As you can see there is not very much cloud cover expected until at least Saturday.  After that, it looks fairly cloudy until Sunday or Monday of the May Long Weekend.

Don’t equate clouds with a whole lot of rain though. As you can see below, the long range outlook has less than 30mm accumulating from now to May 24 with about 6mm of that falling between this Thursday and next Monday and 10mm of that falling between next Thursday and Victoria Day Monday.

Screen Shot 2016-05-09 at 7.42.21 AM

The hottest days currently in the forecast are this coming Thursday and Friday which should get up to the high twenties and then it backs off on the weekend and looks like it will stay nearer normal temperatures below or in the low 20s through May Long Weekend.Screen Shot 2016-05-09 at 7.50.37 AM



So.  If you have the ability to pick between this weekend and Victoria day/May Long weekend, and you are supremely concerned about weather, I would pick this coming weekend.  However, if your plans already lock you into May Long Weekend, don’t worry, the forecast looks good.

Oh, and the fire danger rating is forecast to remain at HIGH for the next 4 days.

Have a great Monday!

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