Mon. Nov 12th, 2018

UWash model holds strong for up to 30°C on Thursday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Monday 12 November 2018 - Monday: Clearing. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Monday night: Increasing cloudiness. 40 percent chance of showers before morning. Low plus 3. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High 10. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 7. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 12. Wednesday night: Showers. Low 7. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 11. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low 7. Friday: Periods of rain. High 11. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 10. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 10.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.6° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    103.07 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.6° C
    Heat Index
    3.6° C
    Dewpoint
    3.4° C
    UV
    0.7
    Solar
    123 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:40:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:49
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (25% full)
    Civil Set
    17:16
    Day Length
    12:03:23
    Day High
    3.6° C @ 10:30 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.6° C @ 04:08 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    103.23 kPa @ 00:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    103.07 kPa @ 10:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.3° C @ 04:05 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    3.6° C @ 10:30 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.7km/h @ 02:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    151W/m2 @ 10:32 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.8 @ 10:32 Tdy.

I wanted to wait until this mornings model was out before I posted an update.

The University of Washington weather model has been consitent for a week about the extreme heat starting Thursday.  It is the outlier though, as oher models, including Environment Canada say the heat will peak on Friday and not be quite as hot.

Here is the UWash map for Thursday afternoon the white areas are 27-30°C (82-86°F).  It is widespread in the Fraser Valley and a small dot is in the Alberni Valley.

image

The forecast for Friday has the heat backing off on the West Coast and the valley but hanging on the east side though only up to 25-27°C.

image

No matter what, it is going to be hot.  And record breaking.