UWash model holds strong for up to 30°C on Thursday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Friday 25 May 2018 - Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 23. UV index 7 or high. Friday night: A few clouds. Fog patches developing overnight. Low 8. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 22. UV index 7 or high. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 8. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 23. Sunday night: Clear. Low 9. Monday: Sunny. High 23. Monday night: Clear. Low 10. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 8. Wednesday: Sunny. High 18. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 8. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 18.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    16.8° C
    1.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.61 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 11.8 km/h
    gusting 24.1 km/h
    Humidity
    56 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    16.8° C
    Heat Index
    16.8° C
    Dewpoint
    7.9° C
    UV
    3.6
    Solar
    598 W/m2
    Last Updated: 11:25:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:42
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (85% full)
    Civil Set
    21:50
    Day Length
    13:16:10
    Day High
    16.8° C @ 11:24 Tdy.
    Day Low
    9.4° C @ 05:41 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 09:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.61 kPa @ 11:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    8.2° C @ 05:24 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.8° C @ 11:24 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 11.8km/h @ 11:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    828W/m2 @ 10:03 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.1 @ 11:18 Tdy.

I wanted to wait until this mornings model was out before I posted an update.

The University of Washington weather model has been consitent for a week about the extreme heat starting Thursday.  It is the outlier though, as oher models, including Environment Canada say the heat will peak on Friday and not be quite as hot.

Here is the UWash map for Thursday afternoon the white areas are 27-30°C (82-86°F).  It is widespread in the Fraser Valley and a small dot is in the Alberni Valley.

image

The forecast for Friday has the heat backing off on the West Coast and the valley but hanging on the east side though only up to 25-27°C.

image

No matter what, it is going to be hot.  And record breaking.