UWash model holds strong for up to 30°C on Thursday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Monday 19 February 2018 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of flurries overnight. Low minus 5. Tuesday: Mainly cloudy with 40 percent chance of flurries in the morning and early in the afternoon. Clearing late in the afternoon. High plus 1. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Wednesday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of flurries. High plus 1. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 4. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low minus 4. Friday: Cloudy. High plus 4. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low zero. Saturday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 6. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low plus 1. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6.

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    N 49° 14' 46.1" :: W 124° 47' 60" at 30 m Google View

I wanted to wait until this mornings model was out before I posted an update.

The University of Washington weather model has been consitent for a week about the extreme heat starting Thursday.  It is the outlier though, as oher models, including Environment Canada say the heat will peak on Friday and not be quite as hot.

Here is the UWash map for Thursday afternoon the white areas are 27-30°C (82-86°F).  It is widespread in the Fraser Valley and a small dot is in the Alberni Valley.

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The forecast for Friday has the heat backing off on the West Coast and the valley but hanging on the east side though only up to 25-27°C.

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No matter what, it is going to be hot.  And record breaking.