Stormy Wednesday Night, Rainy Thursday slushy Hump on Friday— Freezing Sunday?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Tuesday 20 February 2018 - Tuesday: Mainly cloudy. High plus 1. Tuesday night: Clearing this evening. Increasing cloudiness before morning. Low minus 8. Wednesday: Cloudy. Periods of snow beginning in the morning and ending late in the afternoon. Amount 2 cm. High plus 1. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5. Thursday night: Periods of snow. Low minus 4. Friday: Periods of snow. High plus 4. Friday night: Cloudy. Low minus 2. Saturday: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 5. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low minus 1. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low minus 1. Monday: Cloudy. High 7.

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    N 49° 14' 46.1" :: W 124° 47' 60" at 30 m Google View

We are in a break between systems today but still have showers around and those showers will intensify back into rain tonight as a new system comes through.

Heavy Rain is expected between 11PM and 1AM tonight with up to 16mm falling in that 3 hour period. (blue)

Rain Scale


It will back off a bit but rain will continue all day Thursday until around 7PM.

It will start up again on Friday with some lighter showers.

There is also a chance for Wind tonight between about 4PM-1AM with the strongest winds up to 35knots/65kph north of Nanaimo and gusts higher.  There is a Wind Warning in effect for the East side of the Island focused on northern sections.


Here’s the fun part though!  The Long range (low resolution) model shows near freezing temperatures in the Valley on Sunday morning!


It looks short lived but might be enough for some frost.

However, there is also going to be plenty of snow falling on the local hills.  On Thursday night and Friday morning particularly there is a lot of snowfall at higher elevations (over 400m).  This will likely mean snow on Sutton Pass and maybe some slush on the Hump.