Sun. Aug 18th, 2019

Significantly less rain total expected from UWash vs. EC

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 18 August 2019 - Sunday night: Mainly cloudy. Low 13. Monday: Clearing in the morning. High 24. Humidex 26. UV index 7 or high. Monday night: Partly cloudy. Becoming cloudy after midnight. Low 14. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 15. Wednesday: Showers. High 24. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 10. Thursday: Sunny. High 25. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Friday: Cloudy. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy. Low 13. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.3° C
    -1.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.03 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 5 km/h
    gusting 14 km/h
    Humidity
    68 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.3° C
    Heat Index
    19.3° C
    Dewpoint
    13.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    29 W/m2
    Last Updated: 19:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    05:39
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (89% full)
    Civil Set
    21:05
    Day Length
    13:23:02
    Day High
    22.3° C @ 16:12 Tdy.
    Day Low
    16.3° C @ 04:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.25 kPa @ 00:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.02 kPa @ 17:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    16.3° C @ 04:33 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    22.3° C @ 16:12 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 23km/h @ 14:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1127W/m2 @ 12:33 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.3 @ 13:07 Tdy.

Looking at the forecast totals for rain over the next couple days and I am seeing significantly different rain total amounts.

Environment Canada is predicting 10-15mm tonight and another 20mm on Friday in their text forecasts.

Compare that to the UWash WRF model that is only predicting up to 16 mm (blue) to fall in the 48hrs between Thursday and Saturday morning.

wa_pcp48.60.0000

That is in contrast to the West part of the Island that will likely see 30-60mm according to both the UWash and EC forecasts.

We’ll see who is right.  It will definitely be showery and damp for the next few days including into Saturday.  We will get a bit of a break Sunday morning before one final system affecting the whole Island moves through Sunday afternoon and evening.

After that, next week looks much drier and possibly even a few sunny breaks!

Happy Thursday!