Wed. Jun 26th, 2019

Significantly less rain total expected from UWash vs. EC

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 26 June 2019 - Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. Risk of a thunderstorm late this afternoon. High 24. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Rain beginning before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 11. Thursday: Rain. High 14. UV index 2 or low. Thursday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Friday: Cloudy. High 20. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 9. Saturday: Sunny. High 23. Saturday night: Clear. Low 10. Sunday: Sunny. High 24. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    16.2° C
    2.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.28 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NW 1.6 km/h
    gusting 6.4 km/h
    Humidity
    71 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    16.2° C
    Heat Index
    16.2° C
    Dewpoint
    10.9° C
    UV
    2.7
    Solar
    620 W/m2
    Last Updated: 9:45:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:30
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (38% full)
    Civil Set
    22:13
    Day Length
    13:22:06
    Day High
    16.2° C @ 09:44 Tdy.
    Day Low
    10.0° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.29 kPa @ 06:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.21 kPa @ 03:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    10.0° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.2° C @ 09:44 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.6km/h @ 01:40 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    659W/m2 @ 09:44 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.8 @ 09:43 Tdy.

Looking at the forecast totals for rain over the next couple days and I am seeing significantly different rain total amounts.

Environment Canada is predicting 10-15mm tonight and another 20mm on Friday in their text forecasts.

Compare that to the UWash WRF model that is only predicting up to 16 mm (blue) to fall in the 48hrs between Thursday and Saturday morning.

wa_pcp48.60.0000

That is in contrast to the West part of the Island that will likely see 30-60mm according to both the UWash and EC forecasts.

We’ll see who is right.  It will definitely be showery and damp for the next few days including into Saturday.  We will get a bit of a break Sunday morning before one final system affecting the whole Island moves through Sunday afternoon and evening.

After that, next week looks much drier and possibly even a few sunny breaks!

Happy Thursday!