Fri. Feb 22nd, 2019

Significantly less rain total expected from UWash vs. EC

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PST Friday 22 February 2019 - Friday: A few flurries or rain showers ending early this afternoon then a mix of sun and cloud. Local snowfall amount 2 cm. High 7. UV index 2 or low. Friday night: Becoming cloudy late this evening with flurries. Amount 2 cm. Low minus 3. Saturday: Flurries changing to rain showers and flurries near noon. High plus 4. UV index 1 or low. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers or flurries. Low minus 2. Sunday: Sunny. High 7. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High plus 5. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 6. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Periods of rain or snow. Low minus 1. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High 6. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low zero. Thursday: Cloudy. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.8° C
    0.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.05 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    97 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.8° C
    Heat Index
    2.8° C
    Dewpoint
    2.4° C
    UV
    1.2
    Solar
    277 W/m2
    Last Updated: 11:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    6.1 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:42
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (86% full)
    Civil Set
    18:24
    Day Length
    12:32:40
    Day High
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.0° C @ 08:02 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    6.9mm/hr @ 07:06 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.88 kPa @ 07:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -1.6° C @ 07:24 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 9.7km/h @ 04:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    290W/m2 @ 11:19 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.3 @ 11:19 Tdy.

Looking at the forecast totals for rain over the next couple days and I am seeing significantly different rain total amounts.

Environment Canada is predicting 10-15mm tonight and another 20mm on Friday in their text forecasts.

Compare that to the UWash WRF model that is only predicting up to 16 mm (blue) to fall in the 48hrs between Thursday and Saturday morning.

wa_pcp48.60.0000

That is in contrast to the West part of the Island that will likely see 30-60mm according to both the UWash and EC forecasts.

We’ll see who is right.  It will definitely be showery and damp for the next few days including into Saturday.  We will get a bit of a break Sunday morning before one final system affecting the whole Island moves through Sunday afternoon and evening.

After that, next week looks much drier and possibly even a few sunny breaks!

Happy Thursday!