Tue. Jul 16th, 2019

Risk of Thunderstorms today, stronger storms early Friday afternoon

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.7° C
    0.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    91 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.7° C
    Heat Index
    15.7° C
    Dewpoint
    14.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 3:10:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Full (100% full)
    Civil Set
    22:00
    Day Length
    13:25:19
    Day High
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.65 kPa @ 02:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0km/h @ 01:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Pretty impressive thunder storm maps this morning that are worth sharing with you.  Make sure you click through to see them.

The potential thunderstorm activity will begin before 5PM today, here is the “General Thunder Parameter” from UWash for that time. You can see plenty of unsettled activity in the Pacific and some creeping onto the Central parts and West Coast of the Island but notice the image below of Convective Potential actually has very small areas of activity so the activity today should not be too strong.

lightning.24.0000-2
5PM Thursday Thunder Activity
lightning2.24.0000
5PM Thursday Convective Potential and Rain

Activity will drift to the South and focus on the West Coast in the 5-8PM hours and into the evening.

lightning.27.0000
8PM Thursday Thunder Activity
lightning2.27.0000
8PM Thursday Convective Potential and Rain

As the sun rises on Friday morning the unsettled thunderstorm activity will increase quite a bit and spread over the entire South Coast between 8-11AM.  You can see by the 2nd Convective potential image below here that between 11AM and 2PM will be the most intense period of activity with it mainly focused on the Alberni Valley.

lightning.42.0000
11AM Friday Thunder Activity
lightning2.42.0000
11AM Friday Convective Potential and Rain
lightning2.45.0000
2PM Friday Convective Potential and Rain

It will start to dissipate in the afternoon but may linger into the evening.

lightning.48.0000
5PM Friday Thunder Activity
lightning2.48.0000
5PM Friday Convective Potential and Rain

Get ready to rumble!  You can check for recent detections of lightning strikes at this Environment Canada page.