Mon. Oct 22nd, 2018

Risk of snow/slush at higher elevations — Possible lowland Snowfall Sunday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 21 October 2018 - Sunday night: A few clouds. Fog developing near midnight. Low plus 4. Monday: Fog dissipating in the morning then a mix of sun and cloud. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Monday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Increasing cloudiness. High 16. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 9. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 8. Thursday: Rain. High 12. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.7° C
    -1.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.55 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    93 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.7° C
    Heat Index
    9.7° C
    Dewpoint
    8.6° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:00:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:16
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (93% full)
    Civil Set
    18:50
    Day Length
    13:03:47
    Day High
    17.7° C @ 16:16 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.5° C @ 08:10 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.88 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.46 kPa @ 16:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.9° C @ 08:13 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.7° C @ 16:16 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.4km/h @ 08:15 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    615W/m2 @ 13:24 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.5 @ 13:21 Tdy.

Monday and Tuesday will stay mostly dry but there will be a chance of showers both days from some unsettled weather lingering around.

The next major system will pass through starting Wednesday night around 7-10PM.

screen-shot-2016-11-28-at-7-57-03-am

Temperatures are consistently hovering below 4ºC so that means if it rains particularly hard, the rain can shift to sleet and you can expect some snow on the Hump and protected inland sections like we had in Coombs and Whiskey Creek this weekend.

Sunday Snow

Our first real good crack at some low-level snow looks like it is coming on Sunday, December 4th.

Here is the current *low* resolution map for between Saturday 4PM and Sunday 4PM.

wa_snow24-168-0000

We can see up to 4 inches (10cm) falling on the low lying areas in that time.  By the looks of this map it seems focused mostly on the East side of the Island which might indicate an “outflow” event.

The Wind maps also support the idea of strong NorthWesterlies on the outer coast and easterly outflows on the east coast starting on Sunday.  This pattern often delivers heavy snow to the Cowichan, Nanaimo, Parksville and Courtenay areas.

However, take all of it with a grain of salt at this point since this is at the furthest end of the forecast.  If it still says this on Wednesday then we can start to get a little more excited.

 

1 thought on “Risk of snow/slush at higher elevations — Possible lowland Snowfall Sunday

  1. Kinder Morgan approved by Trudeau- a sad day for ecosystems – business as usual-I have faith in First Nations communities and all who will continue to protest- this is definitely not the last word!
    Robyn

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