Thu. Jan 17th, 2019

Risk of snow/slush at higher elevations — Possible lowland Snowfall Sunday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Thursday 17 January 2019 - Thursday: Showers. Amount 5 to 10 mm. High plus 5. Thursday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Temperature steady near plus 5. Friday: Rain. Amount 5 to 10 mm. High 7. Friday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Saturday: Rain. High 6. Saturday night: Showers. Low plus 3. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7. Sunday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6. Monday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 3. Tuesday: Rain. High 6. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    4.6° C
    0.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    99.71 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    4.6° C
    Heat Index
    4.6° C
    Dewpoint
    4.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    65 W/m2
    Last Updated: 9:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    2.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:30
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (84% full)
    Civil Set
    17:28
    Day Length
    12:29:20
    Day High
    4.7° C @ 06:41 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    1.8mm/hr @ 03:25 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    99.92 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.69 kPa @ 08:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.1° C @ 05:47 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.7° C @ 06:41 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 8.9km/h @ 06:40 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    93W/m2 @ 09:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Monday and Tuesday will stay mostly dry but there will be a chance of showers both days from some unsettled weather lingering around.

The next major system will pass through starting Wednesday night around 7-10PM.

screen-shot-2016-11-28-at-7-57-03-am

Temperatures are consistently hovering below 4ºC so that means if it rains particularly hard, the rain can shift to sleet and you can expect some snow on the Hump and protected inland sections like we had in Coombs and Whiskey Creek this weekend.

Sunday Snow

Our first real good crack at some low-level snow looks like it is coming on Sunday, December 4th.

Here is the current *low* resolution map for between Saturday 4PM and Sunday 4PM.

wa_snow24-168-0000

We can see up to 4 inches (10cm) falling on the low lying areas in that time.  By the looks of this map it seems focused mostly on the East side of the Island which might indicate an “outflow” event.

The Wind maps also support the idea of strong NorthWesterlies on the outer coast and easterly outflows on the east coast starting on Sunday.  This pattern often delivers heavy snow to the Cowichan, Nanaimo, Parksville and Courtenay areas.

However, take all of it with a grain of salt at this point since this is at the furthest end of the forecast.  If it still says this on Wednesday then we can start to get a little more excited.

 

1 thought on “Risk of snow/slush at higher elevations — Possible lowland Snowfall Sunday

  1. Kinder Morgan approved by Trudeau- a sad day for ecosystems – business as usual-I have faith in First Nations communities and all who will continue to protest- this is definitely not the last word!
    Robyn

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