Risk of snow/slush at higher elevations — Possible lowland Snowfall Sunday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Saturday 17 February 2018 - Saturday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of rain showers early this evening. Rain showers beginning this evening changing to flurries near midnight. Snowfall amount 2 to 4 cm except 10 cm over southern sections. Low minus 2. Sunday: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of flurries early in the morning. Clearing late in the afternoon. High zero. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 9. Monday: Sunny. High plus 1. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 8. Tuesday: Cloudy. High plus 3. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Low minus 3. Wednesday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High plus 4. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries. Low minus 1. Thursday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High plus 5. Thursday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries. Low minus 1. Friday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 6.

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    N 49° 14' 46.1" :: W 124° 47' 60" at 30 m Google View

Monday and Tuesday will stay mostly dry but there will be a chance of showers both days from some unsettled weather lingering around.

The next major system will pass through starting Wednesday night around 7-10PM.

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Temperatures are consistently hovering below 4ºC so that means if it rains particularly hard, the rain can shift to sleet and you can expect some snow on the Hump and protected inland sections like we had in Coombs and Whiskey Creek this weekend.

Sunday Snow

Our first real good crack at some low-level snow looks like it is coming on Sunday, December 4th.

Here is the current *low* resolution map for between Saturday 4PM and Sunday 4PM.

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We can see up to 4 inches (10cm) falling on the low lying areas in that time.  By the looks of this map it seems focused mostly on the East side of the Island which might indicate an “outflow” event.

The Wind maps also support the idea of strong NorthWesterlies on the outer coast and easterly outflows on the east coast starting on Sunday.  This pattern often delivers heavy snow to the Cowichan, Nanaimo, Parksville and Courtenay areas.

However, take all of it with a grain of salt at this point since this is at the furthest end of the forecast.  If it still says this on Wednesday then we can start to get a little more excited.

 

One Reply to “Risk of snow/slush at higher elevations — Possible lowland Snowfall Sunday”

  1. Kinder Morgan approved by Trudeau- a sad day for ecosystems – business as usual-I have faith in First Nations communities and all who will continue to protest- this is definitely not the last word!
    Robyn

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