Rain is Over – Hot Weekend on the Way

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 21 July 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. High 32. Humidex 34. UV index 8 or very high. Sunday night: Clear. Low 13. Monday: Sunny. High 34. Monday night: Clear. Low 14. Tuesday: Sunny. High 33. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 14. Wednesday: Sunny. High 32. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 14. Thursday: Sunny. High 28. Thursday night: Clear. Low 14. Friday: Sunny. High 27.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    25.4° C
    -0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.01 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 13.9 km/h
    gusting 22.5 km/h
    Humidity
    44 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    25.4° C
    Heat Index
    25.4° C
    Dewpoint
    12.2° C
    UV
    1.4
    Solar
    131 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:56
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (72% full)
    Civil Set
    21:54
    Day Length
    13:25:39
    Day High
    27.3° C @ 15:19 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.3° C @ 06:21 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.13 kPa @ 08:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.95 kPa @ 03:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.3° C @ 06:21 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    27.3° C @ 15:19 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 14.4km/h @ 17:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1062W/m2 @ 13:29 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.1 @ 13:26 Tdy.

The rain has left and we are now into a pattern of a building high pressure ridge.

You can see the high pressure field out in the Pacific in this forecast image for tomorrow morning.

slp.39.0000

That means the storm track gets pushed North and warm air will invade from the South.  And will it ever be warm… the most uncertain end of the forecast really goes for gold.

UWash Model Forecast temperatures:

  • Thursday afternoon: 17ºC
  • Friday: 17ºC
  • Saturday: 20ºC
  • Sunday: 22ºC
  • Monday: 22ºC+
  • Tuesday: 22ºC+
  • Wednesday: 26ºC+

Here is the standard (similar but less localized than UWash) GFS model.

Screen Shot 2015-04-16 at 7.52.46 AM

Foggy mornings likely.

What you can glean from the graph above is that starting on Saturday morning we will have very cool and likely foggy mornings (notice the blue Relative Humidity is near 100% every morning and doesn’t bottom out until just before noon) and then quickly heat up once the fog burns off.

Pack the sunscreen!

Without a doubt though, it will be sunny.  Pack your sunscreen.  Get out the shorts and T-shirts.  I’m sure someone will even try a dip in the still bone-chilling lake.

It’s going to be a great weekend!

If forecast temperatures change significantly, I’ll post another update, if not… happy sunning! 😀