Rain is Over – Hot Weekend on the Way

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 24 April 2018 - Tuesday night: Clearing this evening. Low plus 4. Wednesday: Sunny. High 25. UV index 5 or moderate. Wednesday night: Clear. Low plus 5. Thursday: Sunny. High 26. Thursday night: Clear. Low 7. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 23. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 7. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 22. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Sunday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 15. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    8.2° C
    -1.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    79 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    8.2° C
    Heat Index
    8.2° C
    Dewpoint
    4.8° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 1:40:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:32
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (76% full)
    Civil Set
    21:03
    Day Length
    13:17:07
    Day High
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    8.2° C @ 01:36 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102 kPa @ 01:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.93 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    8.2° C @ 01:36 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The rain has left and we are now into a pattern of a building high pressure ridge.

You can see the high pressure field out in the Pacific in this forecast image for tomorrow morning.

slp.39.0000

That means the storm track gets pushed North and warm air will invade from the South.  And will it ever be warm… the most uncertain end of the forecast really goes for gold.

UWash Model Forecast temperatures:

  • Thursday afternoon: 17ºC
  • Friday: 17ºC
  • Saturday: 20ºC
  • Sunday: 22ºC
  • Monday: 22ºC+
  • Tuesday: 22ºC+
  • Wednesday: 26ºC+

Here is the standard (similar but less localized than UWash) GFS model.

Screen Shot 2015-04-16 at 7.52.46 AM

Foggy mornings likely.

What you can glean from the graph above is that starting on Saturday morning we will have very cool and likely foggy mornings (notice the blue Relative Humidity is near 100% every morning and doesn’t bottom out until just before noon) and then quickly heat up once the fog burns off.

Pack the sunscreen!

Without a doubt though, it will be sunny.  Pack your sunscreen.  Get out the shorts and T-shirts.  I’m sure someone will even try a dip in the still bone-chilling lake.

It’s going to be a great weekend!

If forecast temperatures change significantly, I’ll post another update, if not… happy sunning! 😀