Sun. Dec 9th, 2018

Possibly record rain hits Tofino. Labour Day looks OK. Campfire ban may be lifted soon.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Sunday 09 December 2018 - Sunday night: Showers ending before morning then cloudy. Amount 5 to 10 mm. Low plus 3. Monday: Cloudy. Rain beginning late in the afternoon. Temperature steady near plus 4. Monday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Low plus 5. Tuesday: Rain. High plus 5. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 2. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High plus 5. Wednesday night: Rain. Low plus 4. Thursday: Rain. High 9. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 3. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7. Friday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 4. Saturday: Rain. High 8.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    6.3° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.57 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    6.3° C
    Heat Index
    6.3° C
    Dewpoint
    6.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 18:55:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    23.6 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:24
    Moon Phase
    New (8% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:11:40
    Day High
    7.3° C @ 14:47 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.0° C @ 00:56 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    7.4mm/hr @ 04:02 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    102.19 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.35 kPa @ 07:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.1° C @ 04:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    7.3° C @ 14:47 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 7.8km/h @ 11:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    93W/m2 @ 12:50 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.6 @ 12:37 Tdy.

It may have been a record setting day on Tuesday in Tofino.  Port Alberni only had a little bit of rain but the West Coast got hammered  with 60mm falling at Ucluelet Secondary School and over 100mm falling at Wickinninish Community School in Tofino!

image image

Environment Canada has not published data from their Tofino (A) station for yesterday yet but that station goes back 75 years to when the Airport was built in WWII.  The record rainfall for August 30th is 62 mm in 1961. So if a similar amount of rain fell at the Tofino Airport, then it seems likely that record will be broken.

Looking ahead, the rain will continue on the West Coast and South Island but Port Alberni will miss a large part of it. There is also a slight chance of some thunderstorm activity today through Friday.

Here is what the models show for the coming days:

Rain colour scale with millimetres (top) and centi-inches (bottom)
Rain colour scale with millimetres (top) and centi-inches (bottom)

 

image
Wednesday we see a band of strong rain across the South Island Mill Bay and Cowichan area.
image
24hr accumulation between Wednesday 5AM and Thursday 5AM shows most rain concentrated on West and South Island but Alberni Valley has equal amount.
image
Thursday (5AM-5AMFri) 24hr total has major rain for South end of Island but the Alberni Valley and West Coast north of Port Renfrew are spared.
image
Friday 24hr total shows some rain returning to Port Alberni but most again staying on the South Island.
image
Here is the 3 day total from Friday 5AM to Monday 5AM. Only a marginal amount of precipitation for that Long Weekend stretch so in all we should be mostly dry for Salmon Derby, but cool. Good fishing weather though there may be some windy conditions on the exposed coasts and in the Inlet.



Campfire Ban likely to be lifted soon but wait for confirmation.

The Fire ban was lifted for the Coast on Tuesday *except* the south area of Vancouver Island including Port Alberni as you can see below.

Screen Shot 2016-08-31 at 8.16.51 AM

Given the significant rainfall expected in the next 3 days, I would expect that the campfire ban will be completely lifted on Friday but we’ll have to wait to see if that actually happens.

2 thoughts on “Possibly record rain hits Tofino. Labour Day looks OK. Campfire ban may be lifted soon.

  1. Hi Chris- I’d like to let you know how much I appreciate the amazing amount of time and effort you put into providing this really wonderful service- this is my daily go- to site for local and very comprehensive weather info- thanks so much!
    R. Lancaster

Comments are closed.