Possibly record rain hits Tofino. Labour Day looks OK. Campfire ban may be lifted soon.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 19 May 2018 - Saturday night: Mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 9. Sunday: Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 22. UV index 5 or moderate. Sunday night: A few clouds. Low 9. Monday: Sunny. High 25. Monday night: Clear. Low 9. Tuesday: Sunny. High 29. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 12. Wednesday: Sunny. High 28. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 12. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    12.9° C
    -0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.47 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 11.3 km/h
    Humidity
    82 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    12.9° C
    Heat Index
    12.9° C
    Dewpoint
    9.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 4:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:48
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (32% full)
    Civil Set
    21:43
    Day Length
    13:15:45
    Day High
    13.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.9° C @ 04:41 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.47 kPa @ 04:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.43 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.9° C @ 04:41 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 11.7km/h @ 01:40 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

It may have been a record setting day on Tuesday in Tofino.  Port Alberni only had a little bit of rain but the West Coast got hammered  with 60mm falling at Ucluelet Secondary School and over 100mm falling at Wickinninish Community School in Tofino!

image image

Environment Canada has not published data from their Tofino (A) station for yesterday yet but that station goes back 75 years to when the Airport was built in WWII.  The record rainfall for August 30th is 62 mm in 1961. So if a similar amount of rain fell at the Tofino Airport, then it seems likely that record will be broken.

Looking ahead, the rain will continue on the West Coast and South Island but Port Alberni will miss a large part of it. There is also a slight chance of some thunderstorm activity today through Friday.

Here is what the models show for the coming days:

Rain colour scale with millimetres (top) and centi-inches (bottom)
Rain colour scale with millimetres (top) and centi-inches (bottom)

 

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Wednesday we see a band of strong rain across the South Island Mill Bay and Cowichan area.
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24hr accumulation between Wednesday 5AM and Thursday 5AM shows most rain concentrated on West and South Island but Alberni Valley has equal amount.
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Thursday (5AM-5AMFri) 24hr total has major rain for South end of Island but the Alberni Valley and West Coast north of Port Renfrew are spared.
image
Friday 24hr total shows some rain returning to Port Alberni but most again staying on the South Island.
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Here is the 3 day total from Friday 5AM to Monday 5AM. Only a marginal amount of precipitation for that Long Weekend stretch so in all we should be mostly dry for Salmon Derby, but cool. Good fishing weather though there may be some windy conditions on the exposed coasts and in the Inlet.



Campfire Ban likely to be lifted soon but wait for confirmation.

The Fire ban was lifted for the Coast on Tuesday *except* the south area of Vancouver Island including Port Alberni as you can see below.

Screen Shot 2016-08-31 at 8.16.51 AM

Given the significant rainfall expected in the next 3 days, I would expect that the campfire ban will be completely lifted on Friday but we’ll have to wait to see if that actually happens.

2 Replies to “Possibly record rain hits Tofino. Labour Day looks OK. Campfire ban may be lifted soon.”

  1. Hi Chris- I’d like to let you know how much I appreciate the amazing amount of time and effort you put into providing this really wonderful service- this is my daily go- to site for local and very comprehensive weather info- thanks so much!
    R. Lancaster

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