Mon. Oct 22nd, 2018

One in a million….

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 21 October 2018 - Sunday night: A few clouds. Fog developing near midnight. Low plus 4. Monday: Fog dissipating in the morning then a mix of sun and cloud. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Monday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Increasing cloudiness. High 16. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 9. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 8. Thursday: Rain. High 12. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    11.2° C
    -1.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.52 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    91 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    11.2° C
    Heat Index
    11.2° C
    Dewpoint
    9.8° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:00:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:16
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (93% full)
    Civil Set
    18:50
    Day Length
    13:03:47
    Day High
    17.7° C @ 16:16 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.5° C @ 08:10 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.88 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.46 kPa @ 16:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.9° C @ 08:13 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.7° C @ 16:16 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.4km/h @ 08:15 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    615W/m2 @ 13:24 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.5 @ 13:21 Tdy.

The chances of this global (Antarctic and Arctic) sea ice crash being ‘random chance’ (ie. natural) are roughly 0.00000057%.

So please… don’t bore me with quibbles about whether humanity is causing global warming and climate change.  It is, and it is having a gigantic impact and if we don’t stop soon, we really can’t know what the future holds for us.  All we know is that the past several tens of thousands of years of stable climate were pretty good for human evolution.

That’s all for now…

Oh, and here is an explanation of the significance of “5 sigma” standard deviation from normal.

 

1 thought on “One in a million….

  1. Boring you is the last thing I would want to do. More importantly, we might want to quit deluding ourselves that we can carry on because of whatever skepticism there might be about the changing climate. Unless we are already at death’s door, we’re likely by a factor of 1/0.0000000057 to suffer the consequences. For those without a calculator of spreadsheet handy, that would come out to about 175438596.49122807017544 to 1 that you will suffer the consequences (one chance in 175 million that you would be able to avoid consequences. Not good odds. You would be lonely.)

Comments are closed.