Tue. Jan 22nd, 2019

One in a million….

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Monday 21 January 2019 - Monday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning late this evening. Amount 5 to 10 mm. Low plus 2. Tuesday: Rain. Amount 10 mm. Temperature steady near plus 3. Tuesday night: Rain. Amount 10 mm. Temperature steady near plus 2. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low minus 1. Thursday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 6. Thursday night: Cloudy. Low plus 2. Friday: Cloudy. High plus 5. Friday night: Cloudy. Low plus 3. Saturday: Cloudy. High 8. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 1. Sunday: Cloudy. High 8.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.2° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.59 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 1.6 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.2° C
    Heat Index
    2.2° C
    Dewpoint
    2.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 4:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    4.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:26
    Moon Phase
    Full (97% full)
    Civil Set
    17:35
    Day Length
    12:30:48
    Day High
    2.2° C @ 03:49 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.8° C @ 01:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    2.3mm/hr @ 01:47 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    102.65 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.58 kPa @ 03:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.8° C @ 01:00 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    2.2° C @ 03:49 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.7km/h @ 01:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

The chances of this global (Antarctic and Arctic) sea ice crash being ‘random chance’ (ie. natural) are roughly 0.00000057%.

So please… don’t bore me with quibbles about whether humanity is causing global warming and climate change.  It is, and it is having a gigantic impact and if we don’t stop soon, we really can’t know what the future holds for us.  All we know is that the past several tens of thousands of years of stable climate were pretty good for human evolution.

That’s all for now…

Oh, and here is an explanation of the significance of “5 sigma” standard deviation from normal.

 

1 thought on “One in a million….

  1. Boring you is the last thing I would want to do. More importantly, we might want to quit deluding ourselves that we can carry on because of whatever skepticism there might be about the changing climate. Unless we are already at death’s door, we’re likely by a factor of 1/0.0000000057 to suffer the consequences. For those without a calculator of spreadsheet handy, that would come out to about 175438596.49122807017544 to 1 that you will suffer the consequences (one chance in 175 million that you would be able to avoid consequences. Not good odds. You would be lonely.)

Comments are closed.