Mostly soggy week

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Wednesday 23 May 2018 - Wednesday: Sunny. High 29. Humidex 31. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Fog patches developing before morning. Low 10. Thursday: Mainly cloudy. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 25. UV index 6 or high. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 9. Friday: Sunny. High 23. Friday night: Clear. Low 9. Saturday: Sunny. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy. Low 8. Sunday: Cloudy. High 23. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Monday: Sunny. High 22. Monday night: Clear. Low 11. Tuesday: Sunny. High 23.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    26.1° C
    -0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.66 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 21.1 km/h
    gusting 35.4 km/h
    Humidity
    42 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    26.1° C
    Heat Index
    26.1° C
    Dewpoint
    12.2° C
    UV
    5.5
    Solar
    928 W/m2
    Last Updated: 15:20:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:45
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (69% full)
    Civil Set
    21:47
    Day Length
    13:15:59
    Day High
    27.3° C @ 13:21 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.4° C @ 05:57 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.01 kPa @ 06:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.66 kPa @ 15:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.4° C @ 05:57 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    27.6° C @ 13:20 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 23.7km/h @ 15:15 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    986W/m2 @ 14:11 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.8 @ 13:28 Tdy.

A warm but soggy week awaits us.

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday Friday rain.

We are in for a straight week of wet stuff.

The models show Monday’s rain starting just after 7AM.

 

7-8AM rain Monday.
7-8AM rain Monday.

it should continue until around 3PM with accumulations around 8mm.

Light showers should begin again late Tuesday morning and lasting through the day with accumulations around 4mm.

A stronger system will arrive Wednesday around noon and deliver more significant contributions through Thursday.

The two day total   from 4AM Wednesday to 4AM Friday will be around 60mm.  With most of that falling Wednesday night into Thursday.

2 day total rainfall 60mm Wednesday through Thursday.
2 day total rainfall 60mm Wednesday through Thursday.

The model sees a slight break in the rain Thursday night but then we are right back into it on Friday with another strong push of rain lasting all the way through the weekend.

Possible severe rain on Weekend.

The model has amounts up to 120mm for the west coast for each of Saturday and Sunday.  So we will want to watch that.  It is still too far in the forecast to be certain.

Temperatures remain too high for snow.

If you are hoping for snow for skiing or for the snowpack in general it doesn’t look good this week.  The first couple waves of light rain might fall as snow in higher elevations but by late week the bigger pushes should be all warm and wet for all areas.

The Jump Creek snowpack monitoring station south of Mt. Arrowsmith remains at zero much like it was last year at this time.

Snowpack (dark blue) measured at Jump Creek south of Mt. Arrowsmith as of Sunday.
Snowpack (dark blue) measured at Jump Creek south of Mt. Arrowsmith as of Sunday.

By this time last year we did have a small amount of snow but the big jump didn’t happen until the 2nd week of February.  Let’s hope we get that jump sooner rather than later.

Have a wonderful week! Umbrellas ready!