Sat. Sep 21st, 2019

Mostly soggy week

Snowpack (dark blue) measured at Jump Creek south of Mt. Arrowsmith as of Sunday.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Saturday 21 September 2019 - Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 19. UV index 2 or low. Saturday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Low 15. Sunday: Rain ending in the morning then mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 5 mm. High 18. UV index 3 or moderate. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Monday: Periods of rain. High 14. Monday night: Rain. Low 11. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 10. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 17. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.5° C
    0.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.69 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 8 km/h
    gusting 16 km/h
    Humidity
    71 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.5° C
    Heat Index
    19.5° C
    Dewpoint
    14.1° C
    UV
    2.3
    Solar
    283 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    06:31
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (53% full)
    Civil Set
    19:52
    Day Length
    13:12:14
    Day High
    19.5° C @ 14:13 Tdy.
    Day Low
    13.9° C @ 02:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.04 kPa @ 02:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.69 kPa @ 14:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    13.9° C @ 02:33 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    19.5° C @ 14:13 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13km/h @ 14:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    770W/m2 @ 11:41 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.0 @ 11:41 Tdy.

A warm but soggy week awaits us.

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday Friday rain.

We are in for a straight week of wet stuff.

The models show Monday’s rain starting just after 7AM.

 

7-8AM rain Monday.
7-8AM rain Monday.

it should continue until around 3PM with accumulations around 8mm.

Light showers should begin again late Tuesday morning and lasting through the day with accumulations around 4mm.

A stronger system will arrive Wednesday around noon and deliver more significant contributions through Thursday.

The two day total   from 4AM Wednesday to 4AM Friday will be around 60mm.  With most of that falling Wednesday night into Thursday.

2 day total rainfall 60mm Wednesday through Thursday.
2 day total rainfall 60mm Wednesday through Thursday.

The model sees a slight break in the rain Thursday night but then we are right back into it on Friday with another strong push of rain lasting all the way through the weekend.

Possible severe rain on Weekend.

The model has amounts up to 120mm for the west coast for each of Saturday and Sunday.  So we will want to watch that.  It is still too far in the forecast to be certain.

Temperatures remain too high for snow.

If you are hoping for snow for skiing or for the snowpack in general it doesn’t look good this week.  The first couple waves of light rain might fall as snow in higher elevations but by late week the bigger pushes should be all warm and wet for all areas.

The Jump Creek snowpack monitoring station south of Mt. Arrowsmith remains at zero much like it was last year at this time.

Snowpack (dark blue) measured at Jump Creek south of Mt. Arrowsmith as of Sunday.
Snowpack (dark blue) measured at Jump Creek south of Mt. Arrowsmith as of Sunday.

By this time last year we did have a small amount of snow but the big jump didn’t happen until the 2nd week of February.  Let’s hope we get that jump sooner rather than later.

Have a wonderful week! Umbrellas ready!