August 5, 2020

Mostly soggy week

Snowpack (dark blue) measured at Jump Creek south of Mt. Arrowsmith as of Sunday.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 05 August 2020 - Wednesday: Sunny. Increasing cloudiness this afternoon then showers. Fog patches dissipating this morning. High 26. Humidex 29. UV index 8 or very high. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 15. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 21. UV index 6 or high. Thursday night: Cloudy periods with 40 percent chance of showers. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 19. Friday night: Cloudy. Low 11. Saturday: Clearing. High 24. Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. High 28. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

A warm but soggy week awaits us.

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday Friday rain.

We are in for a straight week of wet stuff.

The models show Monday’s rain starting just after 7AM.

 

7-8AM rain Monday.
7-8AM rain Monday.

it should continue until around 3PM with accumulations around 8mm.

Light showers should begin again late Tuesday morning and lasting through the day with accumulations around 4mm.

A stronger system will arrive Wednesday around noon and deliver more significant contributions through Thursday.

The two day total   from 4AM Wednesday to 4AM Friday will be around 60mm.  With most of that falling Wednesday night into Thursday.

2 day total rainfall 60mm Wednesday through Thursday.
2 day total rainfall 60mm Wednesday through Thursday.

The model sees a slight break in the rain Thursday night but then we are right back into it on Friday with another strong push of rain lasting all the way through the weekend.

Possible severe rain on Weekend.

The model has amounts up to 120mm for the west coast for each of Saturday and Sunday.  So we will want to watch that.  It is still too far in the forecast to be certain.

Temperatures remain too high for snow.

If you are hoping for snow for skiing or for the snowpack in general it doesn’t look good this week.  The first couple waves of light rain might fall as snow in higher elevations but by late week the bigger pushes should be all warm and wet for all areas.

The Jump Creek snowpack monitoring station south of Mt. Arrowsmith remains at zero much like it was last year at this time.

Snowpack (dark blue) measured at Jump Creek south of Mt. Arrowsmith as of Sunday.
Snowpack (dark blue) measured at Jump Creek south of Mt. Arrowsmith as of Sunday.

By this time last year we did have a small amount of snow but the big jump didn’t happen until the 2nd week of February.  Let’s hope we get that jump sooner rather than later.

Have a wonderful week! Umbrellas ready!