Sat. Sep 21st, 2019

Mostly dry but cool week ahead – hot next week perhaps?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Saturday 21 September 2019 - Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 19. UV index 2 or low. Saturday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Low 15. Sunday: Rain ending in the morning then mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 5 mm. High 18. UV index 3 or moderate. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Monday: Periods of rain. High 14. Monday night: Rain. Low 11. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 10. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Wednesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 17. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.4° C
    0.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.7 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 13 km/h
    gusting 24 km/h
    Humidity
    72 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.4° C
    Heat Index
    19.4° C
    Dewpoint
    14.2° C
    UV
    2.4
    Solar
    317 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:10:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    06:31
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (53% full)
    Civil Set
    19:52
    Day Length
    13:12:14
    Day High
    19.4° C @ 14:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    13.9° C @ 02:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.04 kPa @ 02:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 13:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    13.9° C @ 02:33 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    19.4° C @ 14:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13km/h @ 14:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    770W/m2 @ 11:41 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.0 @ 11:41 Tdy.

Summary:

Don’t expect any super hot days in the next week or so. We might get lucky and have the sun come out for a little longer than expected one day, but mostly this week is going to be pretty variable, with cloud, sun, rain and wind all taking turns. Temperatures should be a little cool but not unpleasant. But there is hope for warmer weather in the not too distant future.

Details:

I’ll focus on the atmospheric pressure maps this time around. Here are the high and low pressure patterns for this Monday morning.

20140616-063018-23418347.jpg

As you can see there has been a large ridge of high pressure pretty far off in the Pacific. It hasn’t been close or strong enough to offer us any protection from invading cool air and we’ve instead been having quite unstable and unpredictable weather as we sit on the edge of this large mass.

By Thursday this ridge is supposed to break down completely.
20140616-063018-23418709.jpg

This will allow more cool and wet air and possible rain showers to creep in on Thursday and Friday. But there is some possible hope on the horizon.

The models show some high pressure building back in over the weekend and by Sunday there is a new ridge of high pressure possibly establishing itself in our area.
20140616-063019-23419037.jpg

There is Hope:

If you are wondering if the really hot and dry weather is going to come anytime soon, there are some indications that that is going to happen.

Brett Anderson’s latest at Accuweather has interpretations of long range models showing hotter and drier than normal conditions for our part of the continent next week.

20140616-064113-24073024.jpg

And further down the line July and August are slated to be hotter than normal and mostly dry for the most of the West.
July temperatures:
20140616-064343-24223424.jpg

August Temperatures:
20140616-064532-24332477.jpg

That’s it! Happy Monday!