Tue. Oct 16th, 2018

Mostly dry but cool week ahead – hot next week perhaps?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Tuesday 16 October 2018 - Tuesday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating near noon. High 20. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Wednesday: Mainly sunny. Fog patches developing early in the morning and dissipating late in the morning. High 18. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 2. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 4. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 7. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Monday: Cloudy. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    16.1° C
    2.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.6 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    65 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    16.1° C
    Heat Index
    16.1° C
    Dewpoint
    9.5° C
    UV
    2.5
    Solar
    612 W/m2
    Last Updated: 13:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:08
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (51% full)
    Civil Set
    18:59
    Day Length
    13:04:42
    Day High
    16.1° C @ 13:14 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.1° C @ 05:47 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.81 kPa @ 09:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.6 kPa @ 13:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    3.1° C @ 05:47 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.1° C @ 13:14 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    615W/m2 @ 13:12 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.5 @ 12:37 Tdy.

Summary:

Don’t expect any super hot days in the next week or so. We might get lucky and have the sun come out for a little longer than expected one day, but mostly this week is going to be pretty variable, with cloud, sun, rain and wind all taking turns. Temperatures should be a little cool but not unpleasant. But there is hope for warmer weather in the not too distant future.

Details:

I’ll focus on the atmospheric pressure maps this time around. Here are the high and low pressure patterns for this Monday morning.

20140616-063018-23418347.jpg

As you can see there has been a large ridge of high pressure pretty far off in the Pacific. It hasn’t been close or strong enough to offer us any protection from invading cool air and we’ve instead been having quite unstable and unpredictable weather as we sit on the edge of this large mass.

By Thursday this ridge is supposed to break down completely.
20140616-063018-23418709.jpg

This will allow more cool and wet air and possible rain showers to creep in on Thursday and Friday. But there is some possible hope on the horizon.

The models show some high pressure building back in over the weekend and by Sunday there is a new ridge of high pressure possibly establishing itself in our area.
20140616-063019-23419037.jpg

There is Hope:

If you are wondering if the really hot and dry weather is going to come anytime soon, there are some indications that that is going to happen.

Brett Anderson’s latest at Accuweather has interpretations of long range models showing hotter and drier than normal conditions for our part of the continent next week.

20140616-064113-24073024.jpg

And further down the line July and August are slated to be hotter than normal and mostly dry for the most of the West.
July temperatures:
20140616-064343-24223424.jpg

August Temperatures:
20140616-064532-24332477.jpg

That’s it! Happy Monday!