Wed. Aug 22nd, 2018

Mostly dry but cool week ahead – hot next week perhaps?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:31 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018 - Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 12. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Widespread smoke becoming local smoke near noon. High 31. Humidex 34. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Local smoke. Low 12. Thursday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 23. Thursday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 13. Sunday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 18. Sunday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 11. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.3° C
    -1.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.5 kPa
    rising
    Wind
    NW1 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    71 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    NA° C
    Heat Index
    18.8° C
    Dewpoint
    10.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 0:00:00 PDT
    Station Reports Delayed
    10 minutes
    Showing Nearest Official Station

    Observed at: Port Alberni 11:00 PM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.1 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:45
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (85% full)
    Civil Set
    20:56
    Day Length
    13:22:01
    Day High
    33.3° C @ 16:03 Ystd
    Day Low
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Ystd
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.91 kPa @ 08:29 Ystd
    Day Low Barometer
    101.39 kPa @ 17:44 Ystd
    Day Low Windchill
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Ystd
    Day High Heat Index
    33.3° C @ 16:03 Ystd
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 13.2km/h @ 17:00 Ystd
    Day High Solar Radiation
    705W/m2 @ 14:18 Ystd
    Day High UV Index
    2.7 @ 13:01 Ystd

Summary:

Don’t expect any super hot days in the next week or so. We might get lucky and have the sun come out for a little longer than expected one day, but mostly this week is going to be pretty variable, with cloud, sun, rain and wind all taking turns. Temperatures should be a little cool but not unpleasant. But there is hope for warmer weather in the not too distant future.

Details:

I’ll focus on the atmospheric pressure maps this time around. Here are the high and low pressure patterns for this Monday morning.

20140616-063018-23418347.jpg

As you can see there has been a large ridge of high pressure pretty far off in the Pacific. It hasn’t been close or strong enough to offer us any protection from invading cool air and we’ve instead been having quite unstable and unpredictable weather as we sit on the edge of this large mass.

By Thursday this ridge is supposed to break down completely.
20140616-063018-23418709.jpg

This will allow more cool and wet air and possible rain showers to creep in on Thursday and Friday. But there is some possible hope on the horizon.

The models show some high pressure building back in over the weekend and by Sunday there is a new ridge of high pressure possibly establishing itself in our area.
20140616-063019-23419037.jpg

There is Hope:

If you are wondering if the really hot and dry weather is going to come anytime soon, there are some indications that that is going to happen.

Brett Anderson’s latest at Accuweather has interpretations of long range models showing hotter and drier than normal conditions for our part of the continent next week.

20140616-064113-24073024.jpg

And further down the line July and August are slated to be hotter than normal and mostly dry for the most of the West.
July temperatures:
20140616-064343-24223424.jpg

August Temperatures:
20140616-064532-24332477.jpg

That’s it! Happy Monday!