Wed. Jun 26th, 2019

May be final day of smoke-reduced temperatures. Smoke impacting Air Quality too.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 26 June 2019 - Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. Risk of a thunderstorm late this afternoon. High 24. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Rain beginning before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 11. Thursday: Rain. High 14. UV index 2 or low. Thursday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Friday: Cloudy. High 20. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 9. Saturday: Sunny. High 23. Saturday night: Clear. Low 10. Sunday: Sunny. High 24. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    16.7° C
    2.6 ° C/hr
    101.28 kPa
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 4.8 km/h
    71 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    16.7° C
    Heat Index
    16.7° C
    11.4° C
    729 W/m2
    Last Updated: 9:50:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (38% full)
    Civil Set
    Day Length
    Day High
    16.7° C @ 09:49 Tdy.
    Day Low
    10.0° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    Day High Barometer
    101.29 kPa @ 06:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.21 kPa @ 03:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    10.0° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.7° C @ 09:49 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.6km/h @ 01:40 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    761W/m2 @ 09:49 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    3.2 @ 09:49 Tdy.

We are forecast to reach 35 with a Humidex of 38, but that doesn’t take into account the smoky haze of the past few days.  On Friday I asked around to see where the haze was coming from and got some interesting answers.  Today we have awoken to haze again, so we might not see the 35°C high that is forecast.  However, if we look at the last few days of satellite pictures. It does look like the smoke is dispersing and moving to the south, check it out:

You can see the smoke gathered in the Interior on Thursday the 26th and then get expelled onto the coast and work its way down over the past few days.

This mornings picture directly above shows just the lower portions of Vancouver Island with smoke, so if it continues to move along today, we might get closer to our forecasted high temperatures than we did Friday and especially yesterday when we only barely got over 30°C.

The smoke is also “visible” in the air quality monitoring data at Alberni Elementary.  It is not up enough to cause great concern, but it certainly seems to be there.  These are 24hr average values so it may have been higher or lower during the circled period.

And where is the smoke coming from? Well, most I think is from fires in the interior, but there are other sources further afield.  Remember those big fires last week in Greece, well, it just so happens there was a bit of a path, through Siberia, for that smoke to make it all the way here!

I expect us to get above 30°C today as the smoke clears and tomorrow we should feel the full brunt of our extended heat wave again.  Tuesday will be hot as well but will hopefully also mark the start of a cooling trend back to normal temperature and cloudier skies, though no rain is in the forecast yet for the next 7 days.

One last thing… all these fires… we knew this was going to happen.  Here is a tweet from a former vice-Chair of the IPCC this morning:

Have a great Sunday and see you at PrideFest!