Late Start, Forecast still solid

If you were anything like me, and I know a bunch of your are ๐Ÿ™‚ you spent your day today checking out the window wondering where the flakes were (aside from inside hah!)

Well, they have come!

It is now snowing and pretty hard! It’s not exactly accumulating fast, but I could certainly see 20cm out of this if it lasted full on for 12 hours, perhaps more.

Even though we got off to a late start I think the forecast is still pretty solid. The models remain consistent on the first threat of changing to rain or freezing rain early Wednesday morning around 6AM.

After that we have a period of time through Wednesday where it will all depend I think on the wind.

The models say we will stay near 0 to 2C which could support snow, and it will remain cold aloft. It’s not until Thursday morning that the air turns warm above and all chance for snow is washed away.

Be careful out there. The snow is thick in the air and there is possibility for strong winds which could cause whiteout conditions. I’m thinking particularly near Cameron Lake and Sutton Pass.

Enjoy the snow. Have fun. Stay Safe. Pray for a Snow Day. ๐Ÿ˜‰

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31 responses to “Late Start, Forecast still solid”

  1. Chris (admin) Avatar

    And thanks Eve for your concern. ๐Ÿ™‚ No worries. Tuesday is always a busy day around here. It was snowing as I came over the hump but still not quite sticking to the road.

    Stay safe everyone. And post updates here in the comments if you see anything safety or weather wise you think warrants a heads up.

  2. Eve Avatar
    Eve

    Glad your safe……..snowing hard and still wind from the NNE, sometimes swirling SE.

  3. Chris (admin) Avatar

    Just got a report in from Langford. They have 2.5in so far! Been snowing since about 5PM just like here, but big flakes.

    I think maybe they might turn to rain a lot sooner than us, so even though they’re ahead of us now, we might still win the marathon ๐Ÿ™‚

  4. Bill Avatar
    Bill

    Thanks for your reassurance Chris, my 14 year old son was starting to tease me that he was right and I was wrong – and we certainly can’t have that! It’s sure coming down pretty good now, but I kind of doubt the cold air will hang on much past tomorrow morning. It’ll be hard not to stay up all night watching it though!

  5. Chris (admin) Avatar

    i was thinking of the same thing (staying up all night ๐Ÿ™‚ )

    Generally a bad idea though ๐Ÿ™‚

  6. Linda Avatar
    Linda

    Im so excited..we just came in for some coffee and heading back out..still have my snow pants on from this morning…yipee

  7. kat Avatar
    kat

    11.5 cm at sproat lake, still coming down hard

  8. Nick Avatar

    I have 6.5cm here by Maquinna School as of 9:30pm

  9. Eve Avatar
    Eve

    Ya, I might tooo have a “little” problem with the staying up all night thing (nose planted firmly against the window, with flashlight in hand, fiercely wiping the exhaust of my breath from the window, yeah ’cause I MIGHT MISS SOMETHING……..Yikes, a little obsessive compulsive, don’t cha think?……….At least I can admit it, apparently that’s the first step? I’ve been doing this for probably 45 years………something tells me there’s no help for this addiction.

  10. Chris (admin) Avatar

    We have 4cm here at Alberniweather HQ

  11. Chris (admin) Avatar

    That’s 2cm in about an hour.

  12. Christopher Alemany Avatar

    BTW, I just installed a plugin that integrates facebook into the website.

    So if you have a Facebook Account you can use it to “login” and leave comments. Facebook is *not* required of course.

    You can also “like” posts, and whatnot ๐Ÿ™‚

    If you’re already logged in, just go down to the Leave a Reply box and click Logout. Then you’ll be able to reconnect with your Facebook account.

  13. Bill Avatar
    Bill

    Only 3cm in North Port near Kitsuksis Creek at the trestle. You know, looking at all the satellite images I can find, I really don’t think there’s enough moisture left out there to give us more than a few more cm.

  14. Christopher Alemany Avatar

    It certainly does look like that by the satellite pictures doesn’t it Bill. The front looks to be passing.

    I’m thinking maybe we’re missing something. Every model and every forecast calls for this not to stop until the Afternoon, either as snow or rain.

    But what I”m seeing is a big break in the front a couple hours away… are they maybe just anticipating a constant flow? Almost a lake effect from the West?

    I’m not sure. Weather is still a mystery to me that’s for sure!

  15. Christopher Alemany Avatar

    Hey. I just passed 280,000 visits on alberniweather!

  16. Linda Avatar
    Linda

    275,000 was EVE..LOL..im guilty too. But seriously..WOW thats alot..congrats Chris, your the best

  17. Christopher Alemany Avatar

    Just checked again… up to 7.5cm/3in So that’s almost 4cm in less than an hour.

  18. Christopher Alemany Avatar

    Thanks Linda. Pretty awesome number. Over 280,000 unique visits from people, and the website has been viewed over 1.2 million times in 5 years!

  19. Eve Avatar
    Eve

    Are you making fun of meeee? I should be sleeping. Congrats Chris…….Linda, I hope your snow pants give you chafe, or something equivalent………….lol

  20. kat Avatar
    kat

    16 cm at the lake, congrats on the hits Chris!!

  21. Christopher Alemany Avatar

    Congrats on passing the half-foot marker Kat! ๐Ÿ˜€

  22. kat Avatar
    kat

    one of my ukee contacts just told me it has already changed to rain out there. Messy morning ahead!

  23. Monty Avatar
    Monty

    19cm here in Duncan. Over 20cm in parts of the cowichan valley. I know shawnigan lake was at 19cm a few hours ago and it has been snowing hard since. Might be closing in on 1 foot by the time the rain mixes in.

  24. Mike Avatar

    We got maybe 2 inches here right now. Sounds like it is snowing again, but my rain gauge is showing 4+mm/hr. Listening to the scanner, sounds like Emcon is getting just a wee bit overwhelmed trying to keep the roads clear. Be interesting to see what morning brings us.

  25. kat Avatar
    kat

    another sproat lake update. snowfall is heavier, flakes are much larger, indicating warm air is starting to move in. I now have 21.5 cm (10 inches plus!!!) and no sign of a let up.

    the wind has picked up big time in ukee, rain over slushy snow, trucks can’t even leave the dock, let alone leave town.

    So glad i don’t have to go anywhere in the next 36 hours or so ๐Ÿ™‚ Hope all of you who do, drive carefully and stay safe.

  26. Eve Avatar
    Eve

    Whoa, holy crap!

  27. Chris Alemany Avatar
    Chris Alemany

    Viu is closed. Waiting to hear. About sd70

  28. Deb Avatar
    Deb

    Just heard it’s closed. Teachers are expected to make it but kids have a snow day! Are we to get another 10cm this morning as EC says?

  29. Christopher Alemany Avatar

    22cm here at Alberniweather HQ! ๐Ÿ˜€

  30. Deb Avatar
    Deb

    24 cm out here at the Lake ๐Ÿ™‚

    Happy Snow Day!

  31. Monty Avatar
    Monty

    30-35cm here in duncan. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Shawnigan Lake area has somthing around 40cm, as they usually get a lot more out there.