Fri. Sep 21st, 2018

Late Start, Forecast still solid

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 4:25 PM PDT Thursday 20 September 2018

    Forecast Issued 7:22 PM PDT Thursday 20 September 2018 - Thursday night: Rain at times heavy. Amount 15 to 25 mm except 60 mm over northern sections. Temperature steady near 12. Friday: Periods of rain. Risk of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Amount 10 to 20 mm. High 15. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Periods of rain. Amount 10 to 20 mm. Low 12. Saturday: Rain. High 16. Saturday night: Showers. Low 11. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Sunday night: Clear. Low 8. Monday: Sunny. High 21. Monday night: Clear. Low 7. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 8. Wednesday: Sunny. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    11.9° C
    -0.2 ° C/hr
    101.53 kPa
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    1.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    11.9° C
    Heat Index
    11.9° C
    11.6° C
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 23:10:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    13.7 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (87% full)
    Civil Set
    Day Length
    Day High
    13.7° C @ 15:31 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    10.7mm/hr @ 21:10 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.98 kPa @ 08:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.53 kPa @ 22:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.7° C @ 15:31 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 1.6km/h @ 05:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    299W/m2 @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.8 @ 15:22 Tdy.

If you were anything like me, and I know a bunch of your are πŸ™‚ you spent your day today checking out the window wondering where the flakes were (aside from inside hah!)

Well, they have come!

It is now snowing and pretty hard! It’s not exactly accumulating fast, but I could certainly see 20cm out of this if it lasted full on for 12 hours, perhaps more.

Even though we got off to a late start I think the forecast is still pretty solid. The models remain consistent on the first threat of changing to rain or freezing rain early Wednesday morning around 6AM.

After that we have a period of time through Wednesday where it will all depend I think on the wind.

The models say we will stay near 0 to 2C which could support snow, and it will remain cold aloft. It’s not until Thursday morning that the air turns warm above and all chance for snow is washed away.

Be careful out there. The snow is thick in the air and there is possibility for strong winds which could cause whiteout conditions. I’m thinking particularly near Cameron Lake and Sutton Pass.

Enjoy the snow. Have fun. Stay Safe. Pray for a Snow Day. πŸ˜‰

31 thoughts on “Late Start, Forecast still solid

  1. And thanks Eve for your concern. πŸ™‚ No worries. Tuesday is always a busy day around here. It was snowing as I came over the hump but still not quite sticking to the road.

    Stay safe everyone. And post updates here in the comments if you see anything safety or weather wise you think warrants a heads up.

  2. Just got a report in from Langford. They have 2.5in so far! Been snowing since about 5PM just like here, but big flakes.

    I think maybe they might turn to rain a lot sooner than us, so even though they’re ahead of us now, we might still win the marathon πŸ™‚

  3. Thanks for your reassurance Chris, my 14 year old son was starting to tease me that he was right and I was wrong – and we certainly can’t have that! It’s sure coming down pretty good now, but I kind of doubt the cold air will hang on much past tomorrow morning. It’ll be hard not to stay up all night watching it though!

  4. Im so excited..we just came in for some coffee and heading back out..still have my snow pants on from this morning…yipee

  5. Ya, I might tooo have a “little” problem with the staying up all night thing (nose planted firmly against the window, with flashlight in hand, fiercely wiping the exhaust of my breath from the window, yeah ’cause I MIGHT MISS SOMETHING……..Yikes, a little obsessive compulsive, don’t cha think?……….At least I can admit it, apparently that’s the first step? I’ve been doing this for probably 45 years………something tells me there’s no help for this addiction.

  6. BTW, I just installed a plugin that integrates facebook into the website.

    So if you have a Facebook Account you can use it to “login” and leave comments. Facebook is *not* required of course.

    You can also “like” posts, and whatnot πŸ™‚

    If you’re already logged in, just go down to the Leave a Reply box and click Logout. Then you’ll be able to reconnect with your Facebook account.

  7. Only 3cm in North Port near Kitsuksis Creek at the trestle. You know, looking at all the satellite images I can find, I really don’t think there’s enough moisture left out there to give us more than a few more cm.

  8. It certainly does look like that by the satellite pictures doesn’t it Bill. The front looks to be passing.

    I’m thinking maybe we’re missing something. Every model and every forecast calls for this not to stop until the Afternoon, either as snow or rain.

    But what I”m seeing is a big break in the front a couple hours away… are they maybe just anticipating a constant flow? Almost a lake effect from the West?

    I’m not sure. Weather is still a mystery to me that’s for sure!

  9. Are you making fun of meeee? I should be sleeping. Congrats Chris…….Linda, I hope your snow pants give you chafe, or something equivalent………….lol

  10. 19cm here in Duncan. Over 20cm in parts of the cowichan valley. I know shawnigan lake was at 19cm a few hours ago and it has been snowing hard since. Might be closing in on 1 foot by the time the rain mixes in.

  11. We got maybe 2 inches here right now. Sounds like it is snowing again, but my rain gauge is showing 4+mm/hr. Listening to the scanner, sounds like Emcon is getting just a wee bit overwhelmed trying to keep the roads clear. Be interesting to see what morning brings us.

  12. another sproat lake update. snowfall is heavier, flakes are much larger, indicating warm air is starting to move in. I now have 21.5 cm (10 inches plus!!!) and no sign of a let up.

    the wind has picked up big time in ukee, rain over slushy snow, trucks can’t even leave the dock, let alone leave town.

    So glad i don’t have to go anywhere in the next 36 hours or so πŸ™‚ Hope all of you who do, drive carefully and stay safe.

  13. Just heard it’s closed. Teachers are expected to make it but kids have a snow day! Are we to get another 10cm this morning as EC says?

  14. 30-35cm here in duncan. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Shawnigan Lake area has somthing around 40cm, as they usually get a lot more out there.

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