Fri. Feb 15th, 2019

Last day to enter your First Snow Guess – It might snow Monday??

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PST Friday 15 February 2019 - Friday: A few wet flurries changing to a few rain showers and ending late this afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 cm. High plus 3. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of wet flurries. Temperature steady near plus 1. Saturday: Mainly cloudy. 60 percent chance of wet flurries changing to 60 percent chance of rain showers in the morning. High plus 5. UV index 1 or low. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High plus 4. Monday night: Increasing cloudiness. Low minus 2. Tuesday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low zero. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 6. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 3. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.0° C
    0.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.17 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    3.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.0° C
    Heat Index
    2.0° C
    Dewpoint
    1.9° C
    UV
    1.1
    Solar
    288 W/m2
    Last Updated: 11:05:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    3.6 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:54
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (80% full)
    Civil Set
    18:12
    Day Length
    12:33:19
    Day High
    2.1° C @ 10:59 Tdy.
    Day Low
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    5.1mm/hr @ 10:25 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    100.17 kPa @ 10:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.28 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    2.1° C @ 10:59 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    297W/m2 @ 10:59 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.1 @ 11:01 Tdy.

This is your last chance! Click here to enter the contest before 8PM today and you will have a chance to win fabulous prizes from Healthy Habits and Boomerangs café!

I will also be drawing a number from 1 to the number of Likes on the Alberniweather Facebook.  So go like it if you haven’t already to be entered to win! Winner will receive a prize from Healthy Habits!

BRRRR It’s cold and sun. But snow? Maybe….

The morning fog has kept us from getting too cold over the past few days.  Campbell River Airport is registering -4°C right now. We are only -1°C at the Airport and nearly exactly freezing, -0.1°C, here in town.

The sun will break through by late morning at least. We should continue this pattern Saturday and Sunday.

The question is… Will we see snow on Monday?  The models have a weak front sweeping down from the North Monday morning.

Here is the rain forecast for Monday 7AM.

image

Some light showers… Below is the 24hr forecast between Sunday and Monday afternoon for rain and below that snow.

image

image

As you can see, the snow does not appear to be at low elevations.  According to this model, this  is likely to be a threat only for the mountain passes.  However, there is always the outside chance that snow will fall and stick at least for a short time, especially with morning timing and the cold air sticking around after the weekend.

And in fact, the UWash model is the only one that does *not* predict accumulating snow for us for Monday.  Below are the predictions from the GFS, Canadian, and NAM models.

image image image

The NAM is closest to the UWash.  The Canadian is totally winter wonderland.

Take your pick.  😉

I will keep an eye on it and probably do a post Sunday sometime to see where we are at then.  Until then, go get that guess in and have a great weekend! 🙂