Tue. Oct 16th, 2018

In rain shadow this morning next wave Friday – Warm sea in the news

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 October 2018 - Monday night: Clear. Fog patches developing near midnight. Low plus 2. Tuesday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating late in the morning. High 21. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Clear. Low plus 4. Wednesday: Sunny. High 18. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 4. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Friday: Sunny. High 16. Friday night: Clear. Low 7. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Saturday night: Clear. Low 7. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.8° C
    -2.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.68 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    85 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.8° C
    Heat Index
    9.8° C
    Dewpoint
    7.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:07
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (45% full)
    Civil Set
    19:01
    Day Length
    13:04:55
    Day High
    20.2° C @ 16:28 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.5° C @ 06:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.97 kPa @ 08:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.6 kPa @ 17:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    2.5° C @ 06:33 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    20.2° C @ 16:28 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 4.5km/h @ 17:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    626W/m2 @ 13:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.5 @ 12:30 Tdy.

It may still be drizzling out there but we are actually escaping the worst of the rain this morning.

image

 

As you can see above, most of the rain is going around us while we get shadowed. These regional showers will take all day to taper off but we should remain just cloudy for the most part.

On Friday we get another wave of precipitation starting first thing in the morning and lasting all day.   Saturday looks dry but Sunday we are back to wet and more small systems come next week.  April showers! Too bad we have already had the flowers. 😉

Tiny insignifcant snowpack.

The latest data from the South Island Jump creek snow station show no accumulation of snow (the 99999 values) but a tiny accumulation of snow water equivalent. (Between 10 and 7mm).

imageIt is unlikely to be cold enough with any of the upcoming systems to have the snowpack increase.  We are still looking at a record low, basically zero, snowpack for the south island.

Warm sea temperatures in the news

The BC River forecast centre already implicated the abnormally warm sea temperatures in our abnormal warm and snow free winter. Now it appears local media has caught wind of this phenomenon and local ocean scientists are saying it is the warmest they have ever seen in their records (>100 years). It was on CTV Vancouver Island (2) last night and continues tonight

Here is what Sea Surface Temperature anomalies look like right now.  Red being higher than normal.

image

As you can see the waters off our coast  most of North America are the most abnormally warm in the world right now.  As the news is apparently going to get into tonight, this cannot be a good sign for our cold water loving salmon.  With ocean temperatures high from this, and river temperatures high and water levels low from lack of snowpack and increased local logging activity, there is great potential for impact on our salmon stocks this year and in cycles to come.

Tomorrow will be the first meeting of the new Food Security and Climate Change committee for the City of Port Alberni.  There is much work to be done.