Mon. Oct 22nd, 2018

Heavy rain, up to 40mm to sweep through Monday Afternoon. Nice Tuesday.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 21 October 2018 - Sunday night: A few clouds. Fog developing near midnight. Low plus 4. Monday: Fog dissipating in the morning then a mix of sun and cloud. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Monday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Increasing cloudiness. High 16. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 9. Wednesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 8. Thursday: Rain. High 12. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.6° C
    -1.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.55 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    93 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.6° C
    Heat Index
    9.6° C
    Dewpoint
    8.5° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:10:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:16
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (93% full)
    Civil Set
    18:50
    Day Length
    13:03:47
    Day High
    17.7° C @ 16:16 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.5° C @ 08:10 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.88 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.46 kPa @ 16:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.9° C @ 08:13 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.7° C @ 16:16 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.4km/h @ 08:15 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    615W/m2 @ 13:24 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.5 @ 13:21 Tdy.

We are just on the edge of the rain this morning as South Vancouver Island gets it a little more than us. Here is the radar proving out last nights UWash forecast below almost exactly.

image image

That should give pretty high confidence that what the model forecasts for the afternoon is very likely to be true, which means a lot of rain.

The wind will swing around to the south around noon and push rain on to the Island.

image

It will intensify through the 1-4PM period and then start to back off from 4-7PM.

image image

The maximum accumulation forecast between 11AM and 7PM is 40mm which would be significant if it materializes.

This will occur on a rising tide though thankfully the 8ft high tide is not until 6:30PM which should be after both the peak rain and wind.  The wind should not be significant, just a little gusty at times.

The good news is, Tuesday looks pretty nice as we sit in a break between systems before the next one rolls in Wednesday.

image

Happy Monday!