Tue. Jan 22nd, 2019

Heavy rain, up to 40mm to sweep through Monday Afternoon. Nice Tuesday.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Tuesday 22 January 2019 - Tuesday: Periods of rain. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Temperature steady near plus 3. Tuesday night: Rain ending late this evening then cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Temperature steady near plus 3. Wednesday: Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers early in the morning. High 7. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Cloudy. Low plus 2. Thursday: Cloudy. High 6. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 2. Friday: Sunny. High plus 5. Friday night: Clear. Low zero. Saturday: Sunny. High 7. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 2. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 9. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 1. Monday: Cloudy. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.2° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.55 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.2° C
    Heat Index
    2.2° C
    Dewpoint
    2.1° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 5:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    4.6 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:26
    Moon Phase
    Full (97% full)
    Civil Set
    17:35
    Day Length
    12:30:48
    Day High
    2.3° C @ 04:55 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.8° C @ 01:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    2.3mm/hr @ 01:47 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    102.65 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.55 kPa @ 04:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.8° C @ 01:00 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    2.3° C @ 04:55 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.7km/h @ 01:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

We are just on the edge of the rain this morning as South Vancouver Island gets it a little more than us. Here is the radar proving out last nights UWash forecast below almost exactly.

image image

That should give pretty high confidence that what the model forecasts for the afternoon is very likely to be true, which means a lot of rain.

The wind will swing around to the south around noon and push rain on to the Island.

image

It will intensify through the 1-4PM period and then start to back off from 4-7PM.

image image

The maximum accumulation forecast between 11AM and 7PM is 40mm which would be significant if it materializes.

This will occur on a rising tide though thankfully the 8ft high tide is not until 6:30PM which should be after both the peak rain and wind.  The wind should not be significant, just a little gusty at times.

The good news is, Tuesday looks pretty nice as we sit in a break between systems before the next one rolls in Wednesday.

image

Happy Monday!