Fri. Oct 18th, 2019

Heavy rain, up to 40mm to sweep through Monday Afternoon. Nice Tuesday.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Friday 18 October 2019 - Friday night: Showers. Low 7. Saturday: Showers ending near noon then a mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 13. UV index 2 or low. Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Becoming cloudy near midnight. Rain beginning before morning. Low 6. Sunday: Rain. High 14. Sunday night: Periods of rain. Low 7. Monday: Rain. High 16. Monday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 12. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Thursday: Cloudy. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    8.0° C
    -0.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.64 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    95 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    8.0° C
    Heat Index
    8.0° C
    Dewpoint
    7.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 22:25:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:11
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (74% full)
    Civil Set
    18:56
    Day Length
    13:04:20
    Day High
    12.7° C @ 14:29 Tdy.
    Day Low
    7.9° C @ 07:57 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    100.83 kPa @ 12:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.31 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.5° C @ 03:59 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    12.7° C @ 14:29 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 21km/h @ 10:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    643W/m2 @ 13:39 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.2 @ 13:56 Tdy.

We are just on the edge of the rain this morning as South Vancouver Island gets it a little more than us. Here is the radar proving out last nights UWash forecast below almost exactly.

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That should give pretty high confidence that what the model forecasts for the afternoon is very likely to be true, which means a lot of rain.

The wind will swing around to the south around noon and push rain on to the Island.

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It will intensify through the 1-4PM period and then start to back off from 4-7PM.

image image

The maximum accumulation forecast between 11AM and 7PM is 40mm which would be significant if it materializes.

This will occur on a rising tide though thankfully the 8ft high tide is not until 6:30PM which should be after both the peak rain and wind.  The wind should not be significant, just a little gusty at times.

The good news is, Tuesday looks pretty nice as we sit in a break between systems before the next one rolls in Wednesday.

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Happy Monday!