June 3, 2020

Heavy rain, up to 40mm to sweep through Monday Afternoon. Nice Tuesday.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 7:14 PM PDT Tuesday 02 June 2020 - Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 8. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 17. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Mainly cloudy. Low 8. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Clear. Low 7. Friday: Sunny. High 21. Friday night: Clear. Low 8. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 18. Saturday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Sunday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Monday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15.

We are just on the edge of the rain this morning as South Vancouver Island gets it a little more than us. Here is the radar proving out last nights UWash forecast below almost exactly.

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That should give pretty high confidence that what the model forecasts for the afternoon is very likely to be true, which means a lot of rain.

The wind will swing around to the south around noon and push rain on to the Island.

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It will intensify through the 1-4PM period and then start to back off from 4-7PM.

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The maximum accumulation forecast between 11AM and 7PM is 40mm which would be significant if it materializes.

This will occur on a rising tide though thankfully the 8ft high tide is not until 6:30PM which should be after both the peak rain and wind.  The wind should not be significant, just a little gusty at times.

The good news is, Tuesday looks pretty nice as we sit in a break between systems before the next one rolls in Wednesday.

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Happy Monday!