Fri. Feb 15th, 2019

Heavy Rain most the week. Possible wind trouble Thursday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PST Friday 15 February 2019 - Friday: A few wet flurries changing to a few rain showers and ending late this afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 cm. High plus 3. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of wet flurries. Temperature steady near plus 1. Saturday: Mainly cloudy. 60 percent chance of wet flurries changing to 60 percent chance of rain showers in the morning. High plus 5. UV index 1 or low. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High plus 4. Monday night: Increasing cloudiness. Low minus 2. Tuesday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low zero. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 6. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 3. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.6° C
    0.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.22 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    2.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.6° C
    Heat Index
    2.6° C
    Dewpoint
    2.3° C
    UV
    1.1
    Solar
    260 W/m2
    Last Updated: 11:45:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    4.8 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:54
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (80% full)
    Civil Set
    18:12
    Day Length
    12:33:19
    Day High
    2.6° C @ 11:43 Tdy.
    Day Low
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    5.1mm/hr @ 10:25 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    100.22 kPa @ 11:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.28 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    2.6° C @ 11:43 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    327W/m2 @ 11:31 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.2 @ 11:30 Tdy.

Now that the threat of snow is gone we are left with rain for most of the rest of the week, and a lot of it.

Below are forecasts for the 24 hour periods between 4AM Tues to Wed., Wed to Thursday, and Thurs-Fri. Green is 1.2in or 30mm.

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On average each day is probably going to give us around 20-30mm. Even though it is drizzling as I type this, the rain today (Tuesday) won’t really get going until 9-10AM and will continue through until late tonight.

 

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We will get a little bit of a break Wednesday and then another blast of rain and wind will come starting Wednesday evening and lasting all the way through Thursday image

Thursday has the potential for serious wind.  But before we get there there is going to be some wind for the East and West coast of VI today peaking around noon.

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The big threat though will be Thursday when a strong low is going to track up along the coast from California.

Wind from it may start  early Thursday morning.  Timing for this storm is still pretty loose but it seems the wind will generally begin Thursday morning and Thursday evening.

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The latest model has the low jumbled against the coast and coming ashore just north of the Columbia river well to our south on Thursday afternoon.

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As long as the forecast remains for the low to make landfall well to the south then we should be fine.  We will have to keep an eye on it though as the day approaches.

Have a great Tuesday everyone.