Tue. Oct 15th, 2019

Heavy Rain most the week. Possible wind trouble Thursday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 15 October 2019 - Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Amount 10 mm. Windy early this evening. Temperature steady near 11. Wednesday: Periods of rain ending late in the afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 10 to 20 mm. High 14. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Cloudy. 60 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Amount 10 mm. Low 10. Thursday: Showers. High 13. Thursday night: Showers. Low 8. Friday: Rain. High 11. Friday night: Rain. Low 7. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Saturday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low plus 5. Sunday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. High 12. Sunday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Monday: Rain. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.8° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.85 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.8° C
    Heat Index
    9.8° C
    Dewpoint
    9.5° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 22:25:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:06
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (95% full)
    Civil Set
    19:02
    Day Length
    13:04:57
    Day High
    10.5° C @ 12:48 Tdy.
    Day Low
    9.2° C @ 07:39 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.61 kPa @ 00:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.85 kPa @ 22:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    8.1° C @ 20:45 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.5° C @ 12:48 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 5km/h @ 20:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    142W/m2 @ 12:31 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.1 @ 12:30 Tdy.

Now that the threat of snow is gone we are left with rain for most of the rest of the week, and a lot of it.

Below are forecasts for the 24 hour periods between 4AM Tues to Wed., Wed to Thursday, and Thurs-Fri. Green is 1.2in or 30mm.

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On average each day is probably going to give us around 20-30mm. Even though it is drizzling as I type this, the rain today (Tuesday) won’t really get going until 9-10AM and will continue through until late tonight.

 

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We will get a little bit of a break Wednesday and then another blast of rain and wind will come starting Wednesday evening and lasting all the way through Thursday image

Thursday has the potential for serious wind.  But before we get there there is going to be some wind for the East and West coast of VI today peaking around noon.

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The big threat though will be Thursday when a strong low is going to track up along the coast from California.

Wind from it may start  early Thursday morning.  Timing for this storm is still pretty loose but it seems the wind will generally begin Thursday morning and Thursday evening.

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The latest model has the low jumbled against the coast and coming ashore just north of the Columbia river well to our south on Thursday afternoon.

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As long as the forecast remains for the low to make landfall well to the south then we should be fine.  We will have to keep an eye on it though as the day approaches.

Have a great Tuesday everyone.