Heat continues, and intensifies through week. Fire Danger increases.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Sunday 22 July 2018 - Sunday: Sunny. High 31. Humidex 33. UV index 8 or very high. Sunday night: Clear. Low 13. Monday: Sunny. High 32. Humidex 33. UV index 8 or very high. Monday night: Clear. Low 13. Tuesday: Sunny. High 34. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 13. Wednesday: Sunny. High 35. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 13. Thursday: Sunny. High 34. Thursday night: Clear. Low 14. Friday: Sunny. High 29. Friday night: Clear. Low 15. Saturday: Sunny. High 29.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    31.2° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.01 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N 3.6 km/h
    gusting 12.9 km/h
    Humidity
    30 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    31.2° C
    Heat Index
    31.2° C
    Dewpoint
    11.5° C
    UV
    5.2
    Solar
    907 W/m2
    Last Updated: 15:25:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:57
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (80% full)
    Civil Set
    21:52
    Day Length
    13:25:41
    Day High
    31.5° C @ 15:17 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.4° C @ 06:05 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.38 kPa @ 07:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.01 kPa @ 15:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.4° C @ 06:05 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    31.5° C @ 15:17 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.8km/h @ 15:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    956W/m2 @ 14:13 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.5 @ 13:16 Tdy.

While we haven’t broken any records and likely won’t in the next week, it is going to feel pretty consistently hot and might even hotter as a ridge of high pressure locks in and intensifies.  We may break records on Thursday and Friday.

You can see this process in the UWash jetstream forecast.

Here are the jet stream predictions for this morning, Wednesday afternoon and early Friday.

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As you can see there is a bit of confusion in the jet this morning as it reorganizes itself around a high building off Southern California but by Wednesday afternoon it has settled into a strong loop through southern Alaska and by Friday it has shifted slightly to the east clearing the way for very hot air to flood northwards into our area.

The low resolution, long range temperature forecast demonstrates the effect this will have after Wednesday.  We will stay in the low 30s Monday and Tuesday, Wednesday but Thursday and Friday may be very hot indeed. Reaching to the 35°C/96°F range.

Monday. High 20s/low 30s

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Tuesday. low 30s

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Wednesday high 20s/low 30s

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Thursday things get really hot.  Note the Fraser Valley has some pink areas indicating up to 35.5°C (96°F). The Alberni Valley is often a little hotter than the Lower Mainland.

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It backs off a bit Friday but still hotter than the beginning of the week.

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Comox Main Fire is knocked down but got large.

The Fire out Comox Main appears to be in good shape this morning though it almost double in size again yesterday.  It is now 5.8 hectares, or 3.5 Martin Mars large.

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This is what it looked like at the end of the day on Sunday thanks to hard work by ground crews to get it contained and under control.  Pictures from Charles Hubbard on Facebook.13932760_10157102991075478_8116039796427572117_n 14045643_10157102990230478_5963313376058511423_n

No doubt they will be keeping a very close eye on the remnants of the fire as the heat builds and things dry out even more.

The fire danger is now officially High again and Extreme on the South Island.  If the forecast above validates then we should see Extreme conditions creep north and east into the Interior.

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The BC Wildfire forecast has the danger rating hitting Extreme in the Alberni Valley on Wednesday the 17th.

Screen Shot 2016-08-15 at 8.13.53 AM The Monday fire weather forecast should be out in a couple hours.