Heat continues, and intensifies through week. Fire Danger increases.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 22 April 2018 - Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches developing overnight. Low plus 1. Monday: Mainly sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 18. UV index 5 or moderate. Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Cloudy. High 21. Tuesday night: Clear. Low plus 5. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 6. Thursday: Sunny. High 26. Thursday night: Clear. Low 7. Friday: Sunny. High 19. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 9. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 15.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    14.7° C
    -0.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.72 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NNE 0.9 km/h
    gusting 12.9 km/h
    Humidity
    45 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.7° C
    Heat Index
    14.7° C
    Dewpoint
    2.9° C
    UV
    0.2
    Solar
    63 W/m2
    Last Updated: 18:35:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:38
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (52% full)
    Civil Set
    20:58
    Day Length
    13:17:39
    Day High
    16.3° C @ 15:04 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.0° C @ 04:45 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:05
    Day High Barometer
    103.17 kPa @ 08:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.72 kPa @ 18:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    2.0° C @ 04:45 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.3° C @ 15:04 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 12.4km/h @ 16:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    914W/m2 @ 13:31 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.7 @ 13:07 Tdy.

While we haven’t broken any records and likely won’t in the next week, it is going to feel pretty consistently hot and might even hotter as a ridge of high pressure locks in and intensifies.  We may break records on Thursday and Friday.

You can see this process in the UWash jetstream forecast.

Here are the jet stream predictions for this morning, Wednesday afternoon and early Friday.

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As you can see there is a bit of confusion in the jet this morning as it reorganizes itself around a high building off Southern California but by Wednesday afternoon it has settled into a strong loop through southern Alaska and by Friday it has shifted slightly to the east clearing the way for very hot air to flood northwards into our area.

The low resolution, long range temperature forecast demonstrates the effect this will have after Wednesday.  We will stay in the low 30s Monday and Tuesday, Wednesday but Thursday and Friday may be very hot indeed. Reaching to the 35°C/96°F range.

Monday. High 20s/low 30s

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Tuesday. low 30s

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Wednesday high 20s/low 30s

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Thursday things get really hot.  Note the Fraser Valley has some pink areas indicating up to 35.5°C (96°F). The Alberni Valley is often a little hotter than the Lower Mainland.

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It backs off a bit Friday but still hotter than the beginning of the week.

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Comox Main Fire is knocked down but got large.

The Fire out Comox Main appears to be in good shape this morning though it almost double in size again yesterday.  It is now 5.8 hectares, or 3.5 Martin Mars large.

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This is what it looked like at the end of the day on Sunday thanks to hard work by ground crews to get it contained and under control.  Pictures from Charles Hubbard on Facebook.13932760_10157102991075478_8116039796427572117_n 14045643_10157102990230478_5963313376058511423_n

No doubt they will be keeping a very close eye on the remnants of the fire as the heat builds and things dry out even more.

The fire danger is now officially High again and Extreme on the South Island.  If the forecast above validates then we should see Extreme conditions creep north and east into the Interior.

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The BC Wildfire forecast has the danger rating hitting Extreme in the Alberni Valley on Wednesday the 17th.

Screen Shot 2016-08-15 at 8.13.53 AM The Monday fire weather forecast should be out in a couple hours.