Sun. Nov 18th, 2018

Full Labour Day Weekend Forecast – Plus Wind for Fishers

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Saturday 17 November 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Fog patches developing overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill minus 4 overnight. Sunday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 overnight. Monday: Sunny. High 8. Monday night: Clear. Low plus 1. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 7. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Rain. High 8. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 6. Thursday: Rain. High 10. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    1.6° C
    -0.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.55 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    ENE 3.3 km/h
    gusting 4.8 km/h
    Humidity
    95 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    1.6° C
    Heat Index
    1.6° C
    Dewpoint
    0.8° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:35:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:56
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (74% full)
    Civil Set
    17:11
    Day Length
    12:04:14
    Day High
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.6° C @ 21:30 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.87 kPa @ 08:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.54 kPa @ 21:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.1° C @ 20:36 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.3° C @ 15:07 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.0km/h @ 17:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    482W/m2 @ 12:21 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.3 @ 11:59 Tdy.

That’s my father-in-law Cliff with one of a bunch of salmon they caught on Thursday! I didn’t ask him for permission to post that photo. Muahahahaha. Nice fish Cliff!

It will definitely feel cool this weekend as the high that protected us and gave us so much warm weather for so long has finally broken down. That said, the likelihood of strong rain isn’t too great and the accumulations have definitely been ratcheted down. It is more likely that we will just get bouts of light rain off and on through the weekend.

Specific times rain will move through:

We might get some very light rain this morning. The forecast is for only .5mm to 1mm between 5-8AM so don’t expect a downpour.
IMG_4553.GIF

The evening and night look clear of rain though probably a little chilly.  Good fireworks weather for the fireworks tonight but you might want to bundle up a little.

Next chance for rain will be late Saturday morning into early afternoon.
IMG_4554.GIF
We might get around 4mm in total. Still not much, but enough to put a damper on the Salmon Festival for most of the day. It should clear after dark.

The strongest chance of rain will thankfully wait to happen during the evening on Sunday. Anyone camping will want to have the campfire going and the tarps up by dinner time. As the rain wil sweep down before 8PM. It will be windy near the water too. More on that below.
IMG_4555.GIF

It will clear by sunrise Monday morning so that should keep the fishermen happy.

The showers will return Monday afternoon, but they won’t amount to much.

Totals:
For the entire weekend the model currently has us getting (by 5PM each day) 2mm Friday, 8mm Saturday, 4mm Sunday and 4mm Monday.

Wind:

I was asked by some fisher friends about the wind. My understanding isn’t quite good enough to make a really confident prediction but going by the high resolution (1.3km) forecast that shows most of the Alberni Inlet and Barkley Sound, the winds look like they will be calm every morning but build still build every afternoon.

Specific best guess times for wind starts:

Friday by 2PM to 8PM.

Saturday looks not fun especially in Barkley Sound. It will be windy in the morning before 5AM and building all morning to peak near before noon and then slowly dying off by evening.

Sunday morning looks pretty calm but the wind will return by midday stronger than Satuday and it looks nasty on the outside Sunday evening. No night fishing.

Monday morning is calm again for the last shot before the Derby ends.

Have a great weekend everyone and good luck to all the Derby participants! Sounds like there are lots of fish to be caught! Tight lines!