Sun. Aug 19th, 2018

Forest Service Asks for Aid from City for Fire Danger – Cloudy for Starlight Movie –

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:16 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. Local smoke. High 33. Humidex 36. UV index 7 or high. Sunday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 12. Monday: Sunny. High 34. Monday night: Clear. Low 12. Tuesday: Sunny. High 34. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 13. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 14. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 21. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.4° C
    -0.9 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.9 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    66 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.4° C
    Heat Index
    19.4° C
    Dewpoint
    12.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 22:55:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:39
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (59% full)
    Civil Set
    21:05
    Day Length
    13:22:59
    Day High
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.42 kPa @ 07:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.79 kPa @ 19:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16.3km/h @ 16:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1220W/m2 @ 13:26 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.8 @ 13:25 Tdy.

As suspected, the wishful hope for a quick end to the oppressive heat yesterday doesn’t appear to be coming to pass and it has a lot of people worried.

Record Heat Monday (and Sunday) – Outside Chance Today :

But first, there were 25 records broken in BC yesterday according to the Environment Canada summary page.  That doesn’t include the hot spot, Lytton, at 40.1ºC but it does include us.  We hit 35.7ºC at the Airport (35.9ºC at Alberniweather) easily breaking the 2004 record of 33.4ºC.  That was the second day in a row we broke a short term record.

Today we are forecast to get to 33ºC so it is not likely that we will break the record of 34.3º in 2002.  But it is possible.  I actually think we will only get up to around 30ºC but we’ll see.  It will still be plenty warm!

Chance of Rain Evaporates – Returns Wednesday:

The big news yesterday was that there was going to be a big switch today to cooler wetter weather.  That’s not going to happen.  There might be very isolated showers on Southern or West Vancouver Island, but the emphasis is isolated.  Most of the activity is staying well to the South in Washington State, including lightning storms.

Aug122014UWGFS
Last nights (Aug 11 5PM) run. 24hr precip between Tues/Wed 5PM
Aug122014CMC
Last Nights Canadian Model ensemble forecast. No rain tomorrow… slight chance maybe in a week.

There does seem to be a better chance of rain for Wednesday.  Last nights run of the UW forecast (above) predicted around 4 mm of rain to fall between 5PM Tuesday and 5PM Wednesday.  The Canadian Ensemble is even less optimistic with the consensus picking up only trace rainfall Wednesday and nothing of any significance until next week.

Good news though is  it should be dry for the Starlight movie.

BC Forest Service Asks for Urgent Aid

The Province is nearly 100% covered by High or Extreme fire danger ratings.  Much of Vancouver Island is in Extreme danger.

Fire Danger Ratings as of August 12, 2014
Fire Danger Ratings as of August 12, 2014

At last night’s City Council the Fire Chief Tim Pley made an urgent request of council to allow the Port Alberni Fire Department to contract with the Fire Service to be on standby for initial attack for any nearby forest fires.  The fire season is so bad that our local wildfire resources are being used all over the province leaving us unprotected even though we are also under an extreme threat of fire.

This is a very serious situation.  City calls for the PAFD will still take precedence over forest fire calls however the possibility is now very real that if there is a conflicting call for the Fire services, either a home could be without immediate attention if the PAFD is called away dealing with a forest fire, or a forest fire could be left to burn while the PAFD deals with issues at home.

It all raises the question again.

Why is the Martin Mars water bomber sitting on the beach at Sproat Lake.

Beached Bomber - Could be ready in 8-10 Days. (Could have been ready by now since 19,000 signature petition)
Beached Bomber – Could be ready in 8-10 Days. (Could have been ready by now since 19,000 signature petition)

I hope and pray a worst case scenario does not play out.  But so far this summer, all of the predictions for heat and drought and fire have come true.

Stay safe out there, conserve water, enjoy the warmth.