Updated 6AM Friday – Gusty morning – First Fall Storm coming overnight Thursday

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 26 May 2018 - Saturday night: Cloudy. Clearing before morning. Low 8. Sunday: Mainly sunny. High 23. UV index 7 or high. Sunday night: Clear. Low 9. Monday: Sunny. High 23. Monday night: Clear. Low 8. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 18. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods with 40 percent chance of showers. Low 8. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud with 40 percent chance of showers. High 17. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 8. Thursday: Sunny. High 17. Thursday night: Clear. Low 9. Friday: Sunny. High 19.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    14.5° C
    -1.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.21 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSE 10.3 km/h
    gusting 16.1 km/h
    Humidity
    60 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.5° C
    Heat Index
    14.5° C
    Dewpoint
    6.8° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    31 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:20:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:41
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (94% full)
    Civil Set
    21:51
    Day Length
    13:16:17
    Day High
    17.4° C @ 13:22 Tdy.
    Day Low
    8.7° C @ 05:51 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.22 kPa @ 19:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.82 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    8.2° C @ 03:26 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.4° C @ 13:22 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 19.6km/h @ 15:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    958W/m2 @ 11:21 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    5.8 @ 11:21 Tdy.

6AM Friday

Looks like the wind decided to come at us on the back side of the storm instead of the front. Stay safe out there. This too shall pass by late morning. 🙂  Top gust 64kph. At 3am

Updated 9:30AM – Final Look

An updated look from this morning’s model runs.  A wind warning remains in effect for West and East Coast Vancouver Island as well as Greater Victoria and the Southern Gulf Islands. The rain looks like it will start just a little earlier than expected.  The first drizzle starts between 2-3PM.

Rain Scalewa_pcp1-10-0000

Rains will build through the evening to the 8-9PM hour when we see rain rates of 8mm/hr (salmon coloured areas).

wa_pcp1-16-0000

Rains should peak in the 9-10PM hour and then start to taper off and stop before sunrise Friday.

The strongest winds look like they will occur between 5-8PM and be in the 20-30kph (10-15knot) from the East or SouthEast with slightly higher gusts possible. They should not be enough to cause serious damage but might cause some branches or snags to fall as it is the first blow of the fall season.

wa_wssfc2-15-0000

Winds in the Georgia Strait will peak in the 35knot/60kph range with higher gusts.  This is where the wind warnings come in for East and West Island, particularly for more northerly parts of those regions like Comox and Courtenay.

More general 20-30kph Easterlies will set in after the storm passes on Friday morning and early afternoon.

wa_wssfc2-33-0000

 

 

Rain ScaleUpdated 8:30AM

Environment Canada issued Wind warnings this morning for West and East coast of Vancouver Island.

It’s officially fall.  Here comes our first storm of the season:

 

www-gifcreator-me_cy8uyp

The latest model run is one of the strongest in terms of totals for rainfall in our area with the Alberni Valley firmly in the green 16-32mm with higher elevations nearby and closer to the West Coast getting into the 60mm range in the 12 hours between 5PM Thursday and 5AM Friday.

wa_pcp24-48-0000-2

As you should see from the animation at the top.  The system is a fast mover.  Rain won’t start until after 5PM Thursday and it should end before 5AM on Friday.

The low is impressive but not especially deep at 99.4kPa.

slp-33-0000

There will be patches of near hurricane force winds offshore parts of the West Coast particularly north of Clayoquot sound but closer to the South Island, Tofino and in northern Georgia Strait we should only see winds in the 80-90kph range overnight.

www-gifcreator-me_bg08do

Maximum winds in the Alberni Valley should not be more than 30-50ph but considering how much the models have jumped around, if the system is off slightly and the winds line up the Inlet just right we could get some stronger gusts.

So there ya go… are first go at a Fall Storm.  Should be fun.  Batten down the hatches. Bring all the patio furniture in from the yard.  Warm up the fire and some hot chocolate and find a good book.  It should be all done before morning on Friday. 🙂

If the forecast changes significantly in the morning I’ll update this post.