Fri. Feb 15th, 2019

Fall is here and beautiful. Full Fall and Winter Forecast!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Friday 15 February 2019 - Friday: A few wet flurries changing to a few rain showers this afternoon and ending late this afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 cm. High plus 3. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of wet flurries. Temperature steady near plus 1. Saturday: Mainly cloudy. 60 percent chance of wet flurries changing to 60 percent chance of rain showers in the morning. High plus 5. UV index 1 or low. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High plus 4. Monday night: Increasing cloudiness. Low minus 2. Tuesday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low zero. Wednesday: Cloudy. High 6. Wednesday night: Clear. Low minus 3. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    1.7° C
    0.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.15 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    4.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    1.7° C
    Heat Index
    1.7° C
    Dewpoint
    1.5° C
    UV
    0.5
    Solar
    162 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:35:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    2.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:54
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (80% full)
    Civil Set
    18:12
    Day Length
    12:33:19
    Day High
    1.7° C @ 10:32 Tdy.
    Day Low
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    5.1mm/hr @ 10:25 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    100.15 kPa @ 10:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.28 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.4° C @ 02:06 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    1.7° C @ 10:32 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    172W/m2 @ 10:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.5 @ 10:16 Tdy.


Today at 1:02PM will be the first moment of fall.

The afternoon of the autumnal equinox will be sunny and warm.

The last two days of Summer have been notable since Port Alberni was the hottest spot in B.C. both days with a very pleasant temperature around 20°C

Sept 21

Sept 20

We should see similar temperatures for today!

 

Unfortunatel the first full day of fall onnSaturday will not be as pleasant. Expect showers to begin early Saturday and last most of the day.

We will get a break on Sunday followed by more rain on Monday.

I hope you go to check out the record breaker August Summary and Winter Forecast!

In that post you will see the expectations for both Fall and Winter.

If we look at the maps for the periods of October/November/December and December/January/Febraury

I think we get a pretty good indication of what the models are thinking.

Here is temperature for the two periods.

oct/nov/dec

dec/jan/feb

We can clearly see the models expect a shift from slihtly above normal to slightly below normal temperatures. Further, because December is included in both, we can infer that December will probably be on the cooler side, but the real meat of the cold might not dig in until the New Year.

The precipitation forecast is much less ambiguous:

Both periods show wetter than normal conditions. So expect the drought to come to an end for good soon. It might be a long rainy season, and, like last year, a bunch of that rain, might end up white.

Have a great weekend, I may not be able to post any updates next week as I am in Vancouver from Sunday to Sunday! Have a great first week of Fall.