Mon. Dec 10th, 2018

Fall is here and beautiful. Full Fall and Winter Forecast!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Sunday 09 December 2018 - Sunday night: Showers ending before morning then cloudy. Amount 5 to 10 mm. Low plus 3. Monday: Cloudy. Rain beginning late in the afternoon. Temperature steady near plus 4. Monday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Low plus 5. Tuesday: Rain. High plus 5. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 2. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High plus 5. Wednesday night: Rain. Low plus 4. Thursday: Rain. High 9. Thursday night: Rain. Low plus 3. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7. Friday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 4. Saturday: Rain. High 8.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    5.3° C
    0.5 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.04 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SE 3.5 km/h
    gusting 11.3 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    6.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    5.3° C
    Heat Index
    5.3° C
    Dewpoint
    5.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 4:35:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    2.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:24
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (10% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:12:08
    Day High
    6.0° C @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day Low
    4.7° C @ 03:50 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    9.4mm/hr @ 04:26 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    102.04 kPa @ 04:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.83 kPa @ 00:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.8° C @ 04:01 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    6.0° C @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 7.9km/h @ 04:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.


Today at 1:02PM will be the first moment of fall.

The afternoon of the autumnal equinox will be sunny and warm.

The last two days of Summer have been notable since Port Alberni was the hottest spot in B.C. both days with a very pleasant temperature around 20°C

Sept 21

Sept 20

We should see similar temperatures for today!

 

Unfortunatel the first full day of fall onnSaturday will not be as pleasant. Expect showers to begin early Saturday and last most of the day.

We will get a break on Sunday followed by more rain on Monday.

I hope you go to check out the record breaker August Summary and Winter Forecast!

In that post you will see the expectations for both Fall and Winter.

If we look at the maps for the periods of October/November/December and December/January/Febraury

I think we get a pretty good indication of what the models are thinking.

Here is temperature for the two periods.

oct/nov/dec

dec/jan/feb

We can clearly see the models expect a shift from slihtly above normal to slightly below normal temperatures. Further, because December is included in both, we can infer that December will probably be on the cooler side, but the real meat of the cold might not dig in until the New Year.

The precipitation forecast is much less ambiguous:

Both periods show wetter than normal conditions. So expect the drought to come to an end for good soon. It might be a long rainy season, and, like last year, a bunch of that rain, might end up white.

Have a great weekend, I may not be able to post any updates next week as I am in Vancouver from Sunday to Sunday! Have a great first week of Fall.