Tue. May 21st, 2019

Fall is here and beautiful. Full Fall and Winter Forecast!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Tuesday 21 May 2019 - Tuesday: Mainly sunny. High 20. UV index 7 or high. Tuesday night: Clear. Fog patches developing before morning. Low 8. Wednesday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 27. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 8. Thursday: Sunny. High 26. Thursday night: Clear. Low 12. Friday: Sunny. High 23. Friday night: Clear. Low 9. Saturday: Sunny. High 28. Saturday night: Clear. Low 12. Sunday: Sunny. High 25. Sunday night: Clear. Low 12. Monday: Sunny. High 24.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    21.3° C
    1.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.72 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NNW 3.2 km/h
    gusting 8.0 km/h
    Humidity
    53 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    21.3° C
    Heat Index
    21.3° C
    Dewpoint
    11.3° C
    UV
    6.0
    Solar
    953 W/m2
    Last Updated: 13:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:48
    Moon Phase
    Full (90% full)
    Civil Set
    21:44
    Day Length
    13:15:49
    Day High
    21.4° C @ 13:27 Tdy.
    Day Low
    10.4° C @ 06:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    100.74 kPa @ 11:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.64 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    10.4° C @ 06:33 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    21.4° C @ 13:27 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 6.4km/h @ 12:50 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1150W/m2 @ 11:06 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.4 @ 13:04 Tdy.


Today at 1:02PM will be the first moment of fall.

The afternoon of the autumnal equinox will be sunny and warm.

The last two days of Summer have been notable since Port Alberni was the hottest spot in B.C. both days with a very pleasant temperature around 20°C

Sept 21

Sept 20

We should see similar temperatures for today!

 

Unfortunatel the first full day of fall onnSaturday will not be as pleasant. Expect showers to begin early Saturday and last most of the day.

We will get a break on Sunday followed by more rain on Monday.

I hope you go to check out the record breaker August Summary and Winter Forecast!

In that post you will see the expectations for both Fall and Winter.

If we look at the maps for the periods of October/November/December and December/January/Febraury

I think we get a pretty good indication of what the models are thinking.

Here is temperature for the two periods.

oct/nov/dec

dec/jan/feb

We can clearly see the models expect a shift from slihtly above normal to slightly below normal temperatures. Further, because December is included in both, we can infer that December will probably be on the cooler side, but the real meat of the cold might not dig in until the New Year.

The precipitation forecast is much less ambiguous:

Both periods show wetter than normal conditions. So expect the drought to come to an end for good soon. It might be a long rainy season, and, like last year, a bunch of that rain, might end up white.

Have a great weekend, I may not be able to post any updates next week as I am in Vancouver from Sunday to Sunday! Have a great first week of Fall.