Tue. Oct 16th, 2018

Fall is here and beautiful. Full Fall and Winter Forecast!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 October 2018 - Monday night: Clear. Fog patches developing near midnight. Low plus 2. Tuesday: Sunny. Fog patches dissipating late in the morning. High 21. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Clear. Low plus 4. Wednesday: Sunny. High 18. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 4. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Friday: Sunny. High 16. Friday night: Clear. Low 7. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Saturday night: Clear. Low 7. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    11.1° C
    -3.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.66 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    81 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    11.1° C
    Heat Index
    11.1° C
    Dewpoint
    8.0° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:10:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:07
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (44% full)
    Civil Set
    19:01
    Day Length
    13:04:55
    Day High
    20.2° C @ 16:28 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.5° C @ 06:33 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.97 kPa @ 08:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.6 kPa @ 17:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    2.5° C @ 06:33 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    20.2° C @ 16:28 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 4.5km/h @ 17:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    626W/m2 @ 13:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.5 @ 12:30 Tdy.


Today at 1:02PM will be the first moment of fall.

The afternoon of the autumnal equinox will be sunny and warm.

The last two days of Summer have been notable since Port Alberni was the hottest spot in B.C. both days with a very pleasant temperature around 20°C

Sept 21

Sept 20

We should see similar temperatures for today!

 

Unfortunatel the first full day of fall onnSaturday will not be as pleasant. Expect showers to begin early Saturday and last most of the day.

We will get a break on Sunday followed by more rain on Monday.

I hope you go to check out the record breaker August Summary and Winter Forecast!

In that post you will see the expectations for both Fall and Winter.

If we look at the maps for the periods of October/November/December and December/January/Febraury

I think we get a pretty good indication of what the models are thinking.

Here is temperature for the two periods.

oct/nov/dec

dec/jan/feb

We can clearly see the models expect a shift from slihtly above normal to slightly below normal temperatures. Further, because December is included in both, we can infer that December will probably be on the cooler side, but the real meat of the cold might not dig in until the New Year.

The precipitation forecast is much less ambiguous:

Both periods show wetter than normal conditions. So expect the drought to come to an end for good soon. It might be a long rainy season, and, like last year, a bunch of that rain, might end up white.

Have a great weekend, I may not be able to post any updates next week as I am in Vancouver from Sunday to Sunday! Have a great first week of Fall.