Thu. Jan 17th, 2019

Couple wet days coming especially in mountains. Beware near streams.

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Wednesday 16 January 2019 - Wednesday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers this evening and after midnight. Showers beginning after midnight. Low plus 2. Thursday: Showers. Amount 5 to 10 mm. High plus 5. Thursday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Temperature steady near plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 7. Friday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Saturday: Showers. High 7. Saturday night: Showers. Low plus 3. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 6. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3. Monday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 7. Monday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High 7.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    2.7° C
    0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    99.89 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.7° C
    Heat Index
    2.7° C
    Dewpoint
    2.7° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 0:30:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:30
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (80% full)
    Civil Set
    17:28
    Day Length
    12:29:20
    Day High
    2.7° C @ 00:27 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    99.92 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    99.89 kPa @ 00:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    2.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    2.7° C @ 00:27 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

I will be busy at the City all day tomorrow so wanted to get this out after the night model run and before tomorrow morning.

The UWash model is pretty firm that we will get precipitation starting between 5AM and 8AM tomorrow.  It will be moving fairly quickly as you can see by the series of images.

3AM-5AM

wa_pcp3.12.0000

By 8AM the rain has moved well onshore but totals in Port Alberni are only up to 1mm.

wa_pcp3.15.0000

The model actually has us in a rain shadow for the rest of Thursday and overnight.  There might be some wind in the evening too. It doesn’t have rain returning to most of the Alberni Valley until between 8AM-11AM on Friday.

wa_pcp3.42.0000-2

The total precipitation for the two days is only 8mm.  But notice in the chart below that the West Coast mountains are predicted to get between 32-64mm. (pink) between Thursday and Saturday mornings.

wa_pcp48.60.0000-2

This could lead to high streamflows in places like the Somass, Taylor and Kennedy and other rivers and streams between the Inland sections and West Coast of Vancouver Island.  Please be cautious if you are near any streams.

I will end the post there.  There is some pretty interesting weather being predicted for Saturday that at this point looks like it will mainly affect the I5 corridor and Lower Mainland but we’ll take a closer look at that on Friday.

Have a great Thursday!  The greens in the garden will love this rain.