Fri. Feb 22nd, 2019

Couple more Sunny Days – Then…. the rain (for Toy Run! :( )

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Thursday 21 February 2019 - Thursday night: Cloudy. Periods of snow beginning late this evening. Amount 2 to 4 cm. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 1. Wind chill minus 3 in the evening. Friday: Periods of snow ending near noon then cloudy with 40 percent chance of rain showers. Snowfall amount 2 to 4 cm. High 6. UV index 1 or low. Friday night: Cloudy. Flurries beginning late in the evening. Amount 2 cm. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 2. Wind chill near minus 4. Saturday: Flurries or rain showers. High plus 4. Saturday night: Clear. Low minus 4. Sunday: Sunny. High plus 5. Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Monday: Sunny. High 7. Monday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Tuesday: Sunny. High 6. Tuesday night: Clear. Low minus 5. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High plus 5.

  • Current Conditions
    2.8° C
    -0.9 ° C/hr
    101.31 kPa
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    88 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    2.8° C
    Heat Index
    2.8° C
    1.0° C
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 3:55:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (88% full)
    Civil Set
    Day Length
    Day High
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.8° C @ 03:53 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    Day High Barometer
    101.64 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.31 kPa @ 03:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.2° C @ 02:50 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    4.2° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 8.0km/h @ 03:00 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Wednesday and Thursday will continue beautiful, summery and clear. We should get up to highs of 25-27ºC both days.  With Wednesday being the warmer of the two.

The view of the Coastal Mountain range from the highway this morning just before sunrise was wonderful.  It was a painting of dark mountain peaks in the distance etched against a purple sky.

Friday will be the transition day as clouds start to roll in as you can see from the progression of images below from Friday early morning through to Saturday early morning.

olr-57-0000 olr-69-0000 olr-75-0000 olr-84-0000

Unfortunately, that cloud cover is not going to be benign.  It is coming packed full of our first good rainfall event of the fall starting between 5PM and 8PM Friday.

Here is the rain scale for reference below.

Rain Scale


That rainfall will intensify overnight Friday into early Saturday morning.  Here is the accumulation expected between 5AM Friday and 5AM Saturday:


That certainly does look like a fall rain patter to me!

First Look (long range) at Toy Run – Saturday

Here is our first look at Saturday.  We will get a better idea once the short term model updates this morning and covers Saturday fully but I don’t expect it to change too much.

There is only one image you need to see:


That image is for between 8AM and 11AM Saturday morning.    between 8-16mm of rain is expected to fall in the central Island region.  The rain will abate a little afterwards, but it will continue to be showery or raining lightly all day ending late Saturday night.  It will also bring stormy winds to the North end of the Island.

The total between 5AM Saturday and 5AM Sunday is between 30 mm and 60 mm and between 60 and 120 mm on the West Coast.


Unfortunately for the Toy Run, this is looking like a very damp bike ride.  Dress accordingly!

Thankfully, there will be some respite on Sunday as only some lingering showers are in the forecast but it will remain cool.

2 thoughts on “Couple more Sunny Days – Then…. the rain (for Toy Run! :( )

    1. Oh really? It must have to do with my turning off a plugin in wordpress that was causing some major problems with images on the site. I am hoping they will fix the problems soon so I can turn the plugin back on. I will try tomorrow and take a look at it. Thanks for the heads up.

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