Sun. Aug 19th, 2018

Update: Seattle will Obliterate persistent heat record – Back to Extreme Fire Rating – Hot Weather for the Weekend – No rain before mid-August

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 3:34 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 18 August 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. Local smoke. High 33. Humidex 36. UV index 7 or high. Sunday night: Clear. Local smoke. Low 12. Monday: Sunny. High 34. Monday night: Clear. Low 12. Tuesday: Sunny. High 34. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 13. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 14. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 21. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    22.4° C
    -1.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.82 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 3.2 km/h
    Humidity
    55 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    22.4° C
    Heat Index
    22.4° C
    Dewpoint
    12.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 20:35:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:39
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (59% full)
    Civil Set
    21:05
    Day Length
    13:22:59
    Day High
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.42 kPa @ 07:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.79 kPa @ 19:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 06:30 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    29.8° C @ 15:23 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 16.3km/h @ 16:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1220W/m2 @ 13:26 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.8 @ 13:25 Tdy.

Update: Seattle set to Obliterate Record.

As alerted to by Scott Sistek of KOMO news. Today will mark the 10th day of the year over 90°F (32°C) in Seattle, WA. The first time ever that this has been recorded in their 120yr history. They will likely add two more by Saturday. And it is only the beginning of August. By the end of the summer, who knows how many days the old record of 9 days (in 1959) will have grown to.”Smashed” simply won’t be a good enough adjective for the magnitude of the meteorological achievement. Welcome to climate change.

…..

As I tweeted last night, we are back to an extreme fire rating for our area and other parts of the Island are rising as well.  Below is the latest map, I will update it when it changes after 12PM.

dr-8

The latest Fire Weather forecasts predict dry conditions to continue in the short term with light winds today and heating over today and the wekeend and slightly stronger winds over the weekend.  Their long range forecast matches mine with a slight cooling Monday/Tuesday but a return to hot dry weather later next week.

It will get up to 35º C today… the hottest day of the week.

All dry to mid August.

Here is the longest range forecast.

Screen Shot 2015-07-30 at 10.16.13 AM

Only 6.9mm on the consensus (Dark blue) line… but there is huge uncertainty with the top end at 150mm.  Put your money on the dark blue line.

Are are 10 day forecasts

Canadian:

Screen Shot 2015-07-30 at 10.23.20 AMAnd American:

Screen Shot 2015-07-30 at 10.24.26 AM

Nearly identical.  5mm of rain isn’t going to make any difference to our drought.

Enjoy the fine weather folks.  But beware out there, and please conserve water the best you can.