Sat. Oct 19th, 2019

An Active Week Ahead – Back to School Weather Schedule!

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 19 October 2019 - Saturday night: Showers ending early this evening then cloudy. Rain beginning before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 6. Sunday: Rain. High 10. Sunday night: Cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Low 6. Monday: Rain. High 13. Monday night: Showers. Low 8. Tuesday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 13. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Thursday: Cloudy. High 12. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    12.1° C
    -1.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.07 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 3 km/h
    gusting 11 km/h
    Humidity
    81 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    12.1° C
    Heat Index
    12.1° C
    Dewpoint
    8.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    28 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:12
    Moon Phase
    Last quarter (66% full)
    Civil Set
    18:54
    Day Length
    13:04:08
    Day High
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day Low
    6.8° C @ 07:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.07 kPa @ 17:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.27 kPa @ 04:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    5.2° C @ 07:21 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.9° C @ 15:54 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 10km/h @ 17:25 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    784W/m2 @ 13:37 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.1 @ 12:44 Tdy.

Keep an umbrella handy with you all week this week.  Oh, and since the kids will be going back to school, they will likely need some rain boots and jackets!

Monday – Dry Morning – Wet Afternoon – slight chance of Thunder

After a good soaking on Sunday afternoon (very appropriate for World Water Day), we should start out dry on Monday for back to school time.  However, by the time school is out, expect showers.

3hr total 11-2PM
3hr total 11-2PM

The image above shows light showers starting in the 11 – 2PM timeframe.  The showers should be weighted toward the later time.  It is supposed to build a little more into the 2-5PM hour before tapering off again after sundown.

The atmosphere is also a little unstable so there will be a slight chance of a thunderstorm, but the models I have show only a very weak possibility of any activity at all.

Tuesday – Mostly Dry waiting for Wednesday

Tuesday should be mostly dry with perhaps a few breaks in the clouds.  Winds should be calm both Monday and Tuesday.

Wednesday Main Event

Early Wednesday we should see a strong system push through.

pcp3.54.0000

It should rain all day Wednesday but the amounts are somewhat uncertain.  The model is currently predicting only 8mm between Tuesday and Thursday morning.

The rest of the week looks pretty similar to this unstable, variable pattern of alternating wet and dry.  Good for the gardens!