Tue. Dec 11th, 2018

5 day Spring Break Forecast! Don’t shoot the messenger. :)

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Tuesday 11 December 2018 - Tuesday: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. High 7. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers early this evening then partly cloudy. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers in the morning. Rain beginning in the morning. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 6. Wednesday night: Periods of rain. Low 6. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 6. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 8. Friday night: Rain. Low 6. Saturday: Rain. High 8. Saturday night: Rain. Low 7. Sunday: Rain. High 9. Sunday night: Rain. Low 7. Monday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.3° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.11 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    1.3 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.3° C
    Heat Index
    3.3° C
    Dewpoint
    3.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    23 W/m2
    Last Updated: 9:55:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    35.1 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:25
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (18% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:12:35
    Day High
    5.8° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.2° C @ 07:47 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    8.9mm/hr @ 07:16 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.45 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.11 kPa @ 09:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.5° C @ 08:47 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    5.8° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.8km/h @ 06:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    25W/m2 @ 09:52 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

So I did a bit if a double take this morning when I looked at the forecast and models and saw *snow* mentioned!

What I will provide below is a day by day forecast for the next 5 days so you know what might be coming. The main message though is it might not feel much like spring after today!

First, here is a look at the next extended forecast out 10 days.

Unfortunately, today and tomorrow are the warmest in the next 10 days. Then it cools right down and yes… that is snowfall predicted by the end of the week! More on that below!

Monday and Tuesday

We should stay dry today and tomorrow and should crack 9 or 10°C.  I would recommend outdoor activities these days if you are looking for stuff to do. This might be your last chance for a bit without getting cold and wet.

Wednesday

The first day of spring will begin with the threat of rain as mostly moves down from the northwest.

Showers should begin around midday Wednesday.

Thursday

The rain peaks before sunrise Thursday morning and then tapers off during the morning hours.  You will want to hold any outdoor activities to the afternoon on Thursday.

It is also going to feel a lot cooler on Thursday as highs only get to the 5°C range. Bundle up!

Friday – Uh. Snow Day?

This is where things get dicey, cold air may combine with moisture early on Friday morning to produce snow, particularly at higher elevations like the Hump or Sutton Pass. We might even see some wet snow fall in town. I don’t expect any serious accumulations.

The picture above is midday on Friday and shows rain possibly mixed with snow at higher elevations all day Friday.

Definitely an indoor day.

That’s it for the first 5 days of Spring Break! Have a great time out there!