Thu. Sep 20th, 2018

5 day Spring Break Forecast! Don’t shoot the messenger. :)

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 05:42 AM PDT Thursday 20 September 2018

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Thursday 20 September 2018 - Thursday: Cloudy. Rain beginning this morning. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 14. UV index 1 or low. Thursday night: Rain. Amount 20 to 30 mm. Temperature steady near 12. Friday: Showers at times heavy. Risk of a thunderstorm late in the morning and early afternoon. Amount 25 mm. High 16. UV index 2 or low. Friday night: Showers. Low 11. Saturday: Rain. High 16. Saturday night: Showers. Low 11. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Sunday night: Clear. Low 8. Monday: Sunny. High 21. Monday night: Clear. Low 7. Tuesday: Sunny. High 20. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 8. Wednesday: Sunny. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    13.1° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.94 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    89 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    13.1° C
    Heat Index
    13.1° C
    Dewpoint
    11.3° C
    UV
    1.2
    Solar
    155 W/m2
    Last Updated: 11:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:30
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (83% full)
    Civil Set
    19:53
    Day Length
    13:12:31
    Day High
    13.2° C @ 10:27 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.7° C @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.98 kPa @ 08:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.87 kPa @ 01:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.7° C @ 07:28 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.2° C @ 10:27 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 1.6km/h @ 05:10 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    178W/m2 @ 10:44 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.2 @ 10:42 Tdy.

So I did a bit if a double take this morning when I looked at the forecast and models and saw *snow* mentioned!

What I will provide below is a day by day forecast for the next 5 days so you know what might be coming. The main message though is it might not feel much like spring after today!

First, here is a look at the next extended forecast out 10 days.

Unfortunately, today and tomorrow are the warmest in the next 10 days. Then it cools right down and yes… that is snowfall predicted by the end of the week! More on that below!

Monday and Tuesday

We should stay dry today and tomorrow and should crack 9 or 10°C.  I would recommend outdoor activities these days if you are looking for stuff to do. This might be your last chance for a bit without getting cold and wet.

Wednesday

The first day of spring will begin with the threat of rain as mostly moves down from the northwest.

Showers should begin around midday Wednesday.

Thursday

The rain peaks before sunrise Thursday morning and then tapers off during the morning hours.  You will want to hold any outdoor activities to the afternoon on Thursday.

It is also going to feel a lot cooler on Thursday as highs only get to the 5°C range. Bundle up!

Friday – Uh. Snow Day?

This is where things get dicey, cold air may combine with moisture early on Friday morning to produce snow, particularly at higher elevations like the Hump or Sutton Pass. We might even see some wet snow fall in town. I don’t expect any serious accumulations.

The picture above is midday on Friday and shows rain possibly mixed with snow at higher elevations all day Friday.

Definitely an indoor day.

That’s it for the first 5 days of Spring Break! Have a great time out there!