Update 8AM Saturday: East Side Wind and Rain Warning – 30-60mm Rain coming by Saturday Afternoon — Hope for Christmas?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 19 May 2018 - Saturday night: Mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Low 9. Sunday: Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 22. UV index 5 or moderate. Sunday night: A few clouds. Low 9. Monday: Sunny. High 25. Monday night: Clear. Low 9. Tuesday: Sunny. High 29. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 12. Wednesday: Sunny. High 28. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 12. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    12.9° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.46 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    SSW 5.8 km/h
    gusting 12.9 km/h
    Humidity
    82 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    12.9° C
    Heat Index
    12.9° C
    Dewpoint
    9.9° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 4:35:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:48
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (31% full)
    Civil Set
    21:43
    Day Length
    13:15:45
    Day High
    13.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.9° C @ 02:55 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.46 kPa @ 04:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.43 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.9° C @ 02:55 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    13.9° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 11.7km/h @ 01:40 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

Update 8AM:

The heaviest wind and rain is yet to come, but there are no warnings posted for our area.  There are warnings for the East side of Vancouver Island.  80kph and 50mm expected.

Happy Last Minute Shopping! 😉


 

Sorry for the late morning post, I wanted all the models to be out before getting this post up.

First things first… we have a bunch more rain to get through before Santa visits.

Wet and Windy Friday Night and Saturday

Dec20Rain24hr
The Valley is in green and pink so we’ll say between 30 and 60 (1.3in and 2.6in on the graph, if you’re wondering what the heck a “cin” or “centi-inch” is.. really America? Centi-inch? )

The image above shows accumulations between 4PM Friday and Saturday of up to 60mm.  It will taper off significantly.

This batch of rain should begin soon if it has not started to rain already as I type this but even though it will likely rain most of the night, the heaviest rain won’t come until around 3PM Saturday and then it should ease off Saturday evening and night.

The likeliest time for strong winds will be the very early morning of Saturday.  There is a wind warning posted for East Vancouver Island up to 80kph.

Soggy start to Sunday then drying.

There will be a few more showers to get through on Sunday before things dry out in the afternoon.  It should stay dry through most of Monday.

Christmas Week looks… interesting.

It will start off wet on Tuesday, but for the traditionalists among you, this might give you some hope:

Notice the report for 7AM Thursday December 25th... 1ºC with 2mm of "rain"?  Hmm... that's mighty close to freezing... we can hope at least. :)
Notice the report for 7AM Thursday December 25th… 1ºC with 2mm of “rain”? Hmm… that’s mighty close to freezing… we can hope at least. 🙂

SpotWX just updated their website with new graphing and visuals and it looks fantastic.  And the forecast from the Canadian medium range model for Christmas morning sure could get people excited.

But lets remember this is only one model, at one snapshot of time, and doesn’t actually predict snow to fall.

Other Models you ask?  Well, none of the other ones have such hints… so you’ll want to keep wishing for that Christmas Miracle.

I don’t intend to be posting too much over the next week or so unless conditions really warrant it.  So I wish you all a very very Merry Christmas and Happy Holiday Season. I hope all of you can enjoy time with family and friends.

Sincerely,
Chris and Family at Alberniweather HQ. 🙂