Winter chill in the news

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Sunday 22 April 2018 - Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches developing overnight. Low plus 1. Monday: Mainly sunny. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 18. UV index 5 or moderate. Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low plus 4. Tuesday: Cloudy. High 21. Tuesday night: Clear. Low plus 5. Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 6. Thursday: Sunny. High 26. Thursday night: Clear. Low 7. Friday: Sunny. High 19. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 9. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 15.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    14.4° C
    -0.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.71 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    NNE 5.2 km/h
    gusting 14.5 km/h
    Humidity
    44 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.4° C
    Heat Index
    14.4° C
    Dewpoint
    2.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    48 W/m2
    Last Updated: 18:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:38
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (52% full)
    Civil Set
    20:58
    Day Length
    13:17:39
    Day High
    16.3° C @ 15:04 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.0° C @ 04:45 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:05
    Day High Barometer
    103.17 kPa @ 08:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.71 kPa @ 18:44 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    2.0° C @ 04:45 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.3° C @ 15:04 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 12.4km/h @ 16:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    914W/m2 @ 13:31 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    4.7 @ 13:07 Tdy.

You’ll likely see this popping up in local news outlets a lot in the next few days.

Last week, Accuweather.com released their winter forecast and singled out the lower mainland and Vancouver island for an especially cold and possibly snowy winter.

You can see the video that is causing all the fuss here.

Accuweather forecast

You should note that he is quite confident in the low temperatures, but less so on the snow. This is because we generally get our cold from northerly artic outflows out of the Interior… This brings dry air. Where as for snow, we need some moisture, which mostly comes from the southwest off the Pacific.

What it sounds like to me is like a possible repeat of 2009/2010 when we had epic snowfall on the East Coast, particularly in Parksville due mostly to a ‘lake effect’ of sorts as the arctic air flowed out across the Strait and dumped snow on Oceanside but left us in the Valley and West Coast basically free and clear.

This is all due to a repeat moderate La Nina and the lowest to second lowest sea ice extent (depending on the methods used) in the Arctic creating another blocking weather pattern over northern Quebec as it has over the past couple year. This will likely bring more ‘Snowmageddon’ type events on the Eastern seaboard.
Bret Anderson also released an updated weekly forecast this morning and it’s looking like the cold than normal temperatures could start as soon as Halloween.

Accuweather cold first week of nov.

Oh, and a shout-out to my dad who’s down in Sayulita near Puerto Vallarta, Mexico. He’ll be in or very near the eye of Category 3 Hurricane Jova tonight. I’ll be watching up here, hoping he stays safe, and maybe has a video camera handy. 🙂

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