Will it be Snow or Rain?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ENDED, Port Alberni
    Issued: 04:51 AM PDT Wednesday 20 June 2018

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 20 June 2018 - Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers late this afternoon with risk of thunderstorms. High 31. Humidex 34. UV index 8 or very high. Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 12. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Friday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 23. Friday night: Clear. Low 11. Saturday: Sunny. High 27. Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 23. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 10. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    14.9° C
    0.0 ° C/hr
    101.52 kPa
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    91 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.9° C
    Heat Index
    14.9° C
    13.4° C
    29 W/m2
    Last Updated: 6:15:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (51% full)
    Civil Set
    Day Length
    Day High
    17.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    14.8° C @ 05:28 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    Day High Barometer
    101.55 kPa @ 03:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.51 kPa @ 05:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    14.8° C @ 05:28 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.4° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.3km/h @ 00:30 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    30W/m2 @ 06:09 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

A Snowfall Warning is now in effect (Jan 7, 12:55) for Port Alberni area, and other South Coast areas. Amounts of 10-15cm are forecast for Port Alberni and “Inland Vancouver Island”.

Will it be Snow? Or Rain.

Right now… the fog has actually cleared, the snow is out and gorgeous, and it’s almost 3C. I’m skeptical on whether we’ll see that much snow, but it might come down to timing.

If the cloud cover swoops over before the sun retreats, and traps in this relatively warm air… then I’d think we’ll get rain. But, if the front doesn’t move in until after sundown, and the days warmth escapes into the clear, dark, skies… well. We might end up with 6 inches of snow on the ground.

Only Time will tell!

Update: 15:49: Well, the frontal clouds have now passed over us, I see the boundary of the layer just above Loon Lake/Cherry Creek. It’s still 2.6C out there.. unless we get a bit of cool breeze to chill us down a little, any moisture we get right now, will likely fall as rain. Updated Forecast should be out in a few minutes.

Update: 16:15: 4PM Forecast is out… they’ve changed it slightly, a little more conservative. They now say Rain/Snow tonight, changing to snow. So they are still expecting it to cool down overnight, and they’re still calling for 10 to 15cm.

5 Replies to “Will it be Snow or Rain?”

  1. I don’t know Chris. The road to the west coast this morning was snow covered and frozen all the way to the beach. Tofino didn’t get much, but Ucluelet had a few inches and at 10:00 when I left there another snow squall started that instantly covered everything again. I don’t think there is enough warm air in the mix to get rain, so I’m betting on snow.

  2. Well, it’s only drizzling now… and the temperature has dropped 1C in an hour. The heavy stuff is still making its’ way to us… I think you’re right, I think most if not all will drop as snow, by a hair.

  3. snow or rain, i’m just glad to be back on land… was on a boat thrashing its way back from Clayoquot Canyon in that storm last night. about 8 hours of heavy pounding. wasn’t fun at all. =(

  4. Yuk! Never much fun being on the water during weather like that… glad you’re home safe, especially considering the tragedy that happened on the East Coast last night.

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