Tue. Aug 21st, 2018

Will it be Snow or Rain?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 11:44 AM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Tuesday 21 August 2018 - Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Widespread smoke. High 32. Humidex 34. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 12. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Widespread smoke becoming local smoke near noon. High 31. Humidex 34. UV index 7 or high. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 23. Thursday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22. Friday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 13. Sunday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 18. Sunday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 11. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    31.6° C
    3.6 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.6 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    WNW 0.1 km/h
    gusting 1.6 km/h
    Humidity
    29 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    31.6° C
    Heat Index
    31.6° C
    Dewpoint
    11.4° C
    UV
    2.6
    Solar
    703 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:44
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (82% full)
    Civil Set
    20:59
    Day Length
    13:22:16
    Day High
    31.6° C @ 14:18 Tdy.
    Day Low
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.91 kPa @ 08:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.6 kPa @ 14:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    11.6° C @ 06:16 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    31.6° C @ 14:18 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.4km/h @ 13:15 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    705W/m2 @ 14:18 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.7 @ 13:01 Tdy.

A Snowfall Warning is now in effect (Jan 7, 12:55) for Port Alberni area, and other South Coast areas. Amounts of 10-15cm are forecast for Port Alberni and “Inland Vancouver Island”.

Will it be Snow? Or Rain.

Right now… the fog has actually cleared, the snow is out and gorgeous, and it’s almost 3C. I’m skeptical on whether we’ll see that much snow, but it might come down to timing.

If the cloud cover swoops over before the sun retreats, and traps in this relatively warm air… then I’d think we’ll get rain. But, if the front doesn’t move in until after sundown, and the days warmth escapes into the clear, dark, skies… well. We might end up with 6 inches of snow on the ground.

Only Time will tell!

Update: 15:49: Well, the frontal clouds have now passed over us, I see the boundary of the layer just above Loon Lake/Cherry Creek. It’s still 2.6C out there.. unless we get a bit of cool breeze to chill us down a little, any moisture we get right now, will likely fall as rain. Updated Forecast should be out in a few minutes.

Update: 16:15: 4PM Forecast is out… they’ve changed it slightly, a little more conservative. They now say Rain/Snow tonight, changing to snow. So they are still expecting it to cool down overnight, and they’re still calling for 10 to 15cm.

5 thoughts on “Will it be Snow or Rain?

  1. I don’t know Chris. The road to the west coast this morning was snow covered and frozen all the way to the beach. Tofino didn’t get much, but Ucluelet had a few inches and at 10:00 when I left there another snow squall started that instantly covered everything again. I don’t think there is enough warm air in the mix to get rain, so I’m betting on snow.

  2. Well, it’s only drizzling now… and the temperature has dropped 1C in an hour. The heavy stuff is still making its’ way to us… I think you’re right, I think most if not all will drop as snow, by a hair.

  3. snow or rain, i’m just glad to be back on land… was on a boat thrashing its way back from Clayoquot Canyon in that storm last night. about 8 hours of heavy pounding. wasn’t fun at all. =(

  4. Yuk! Never much fun being on the water during weather like that… glad you’re home safe, especially considering the tragedy that happened on the East Coast last night.

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