Tue. Aug 21st, 2018

Wet week starts tonight – And the clearing North Hole

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL AIR QUALITY STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 9:22 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 20 August 2018 - Monday night: Overcast. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Tuesday: Overcast. Widespread smoke. High 26. Humidex 31. UV index 3 or moderate. Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Widespread smoke. Low 11. Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 27. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Thursday: Sunny. High 23. Thursday night: Clear. Low 11. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 24. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 13. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

  • Current Conditions
    14.2° C
    -0.9 ° C/hr
    101.8 kPa
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    69 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    14.2° C
    Heat Index
    14.2° C
    8.6° C
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 2:50:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (79% full)
    Civil Set
    Day Length
    Day High
    17.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    14.2° C @ 02:48 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    Day High Barometer
    101.8 kPa @ 02:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.75 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    14.2° C @ 02:48 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    17.2° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

We got pretty lucky on the weekend. After a few showers on Friday and Saturday (but less than anticipated) it cleared right up on Sunday and we were treated to another beautiful summer day!

Today has already started out pretty well and we should have more sun than clouds for the majority of the morning. By afternoon it should start to cloud over and the rain will start around 3 or 4PM.

Here is what it looks like right now on the Satellite picture:
You can see we are nicely out of the clouds.

And here is the forecast for 3PM just as the front is off the west coast. It will move in pretty fast, there are also going to be strong winds on the West Coast up to 70kph.


The rain should last into the small hours of Tuesday and then it will only be showery for Tuesday and Wednesday. Another front with significant rain is slated to come at us on Thursday morning.

The North Hole, poised to open

I haven’t talked much about Arctic ice this summer. Mostly too busy with other things but also because compared to last years dramatic record low, this year has been less crazy. That said, it appears the only thing that has kept it from being more dramatic is a very cloudy and thus cooler weather regime.

The ice is extremely thin and fragile up there right now, and to those watching it very closely over the past many years, were it not for this years coolness, we would have had massive holes in the ice where we’ve never seen them before.

Here are a couple fantastic images stitched from multiple satellite images of the actual North Pole as it has been over the past week or so.

The pink rings in one of the images represent 25kms each.


The images speak for themselves really. For hundreds of kilometres around the pole, the ice is fragmented, thin, and dispersed.

If conditions were to be perfect for melting over the next few weeks, which is unlikely, there would be a chance a gap without any pack ice could open stretching clear from Europe to America overtop the Pole. There are about 4 more weeks left in the melting season.

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