Tue. Dec 11th, 2018

Weekend Weather Adventure – More possible snow Tues Morn. Then drier?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Tuesday 11 December 2018 - Tuesday: Rain. Amount 15 to 25 mm. High 7. Tuesday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers early this evening then partly cloudy. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low plus 1. Wednesday: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers in the morning. Rain beginning in the morning. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 6. Wednesday night: Periods of rain. Low 6. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 6. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low plus 5. Friday: Rain. High 8. Friday night: Rain. Low 6. Saturday: Rain. High 8. Saturday night: Rain. Low 7. Sunday: Rain. High 9. Sunday night: Rain. Low 7. Monday: Rain. High 9.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.2° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.16 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    100 %
    Rain Rate
    3.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.2° C
    Heat Index
    3.2° C
    Dewpoint
    3.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    10 W/m2
    Last Updated: 9:40:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    34.8 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    07:25
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (17% full)
    Civil Set
    16:59
    Day Length
    12:12:35
    Day High
    5.8° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    3.2° C @ 07:47 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    8.9mm/hr @ 07:16 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.45 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.16 kPa @ 09:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    1.5° C @ 08:47 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    5.8° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.8km/h @ 06:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    11W/m2 @ 09:36 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

So we had quite the weekend, but not really in the way we had anticipated. We got a little wind, but compared to Victoria and Vancouver, nothing too strong.

No, our story was unexpected (though it perhaps should not have been) snow.

This was the scene on Sunday afternoon:

20140217-065059.jpg

This heavy snow was completely missed by the forecast, and reports quickly emerged that it was even worse on the Hump and Sutton pass.

Indeed, the day before I was stuck 5km West of the West Bay hotel on Sproat Lake due to a minor car accident caused by a sudden onslaught of snow that looked like this:

20140217-065350.jpg

If you are on the roads this week. Be prepared. We came out ok because we had good winter tires and a pretty decent little car in the snow. But others on the highway with us were completely caught out with bald tires, no traction, and damage because of it. This could repeat Tuesday and Wednseday.

I believe the main reason for this snowfall was the fact that we were just slightly removed from the main force of the weekend storms to our south. So we did not get the winds mixing down into the lower atmosphere like our more southerly neighbours. However, we still got heavy precipitation, which started as rain, and eventually dragged the temperature down from 2-3C to 1C… and snow.

Will it happen again? Yes, I believe it could.

We will get heavy precipitation Tuesday morning.

20140217-065913.jpg

And we might get more Wednesday morning as well, though it looks like a weaker system.

By Thursday the jetstream is starting to look like it’s going to shift back into kinked mode. Here it is today:

20140217-070522.jpg

Thursday:

20140217-070546.jpg

Saturday:

20140217-070611.jpg

And Monday:

20140217-070632.jpg

We will see if this long range forecast comes true… But if it does it would mean a quick end to our return to normal wet, and snowy, winter weather, and back to a dry pattern.

The good news is, our snowpack got a bunch of help with these couple of storms. The little blue line finally has a tiny uptick to cheer for:

20140217-071122.jpg

Gotta start somewhere. Happy Monday all and safe driving!