Tue. Jul 16th, 2019

Weekend Weather Adventure – More possible snow Tues Morn. Then drier?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    15.7° C
    0.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    91 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    15.7° C
    Heat Index
    15.7° C
    Dewpoint
    14.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 3:05:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:49
    Moon Phase
    Full (100% full)
    Civil Set
    22:00
    Day Length
    13:25:19
    Day High
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.7 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.65 kPa @ 02:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    15.5° C @ 02:27 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    16.7° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0km/h @ 01:20 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

So we had quite the weekend, but not really in the way we had anticipated. We got a little wind, but compared to Victoria and Vancouver, nothing too strong.

No, our story was unexpected (though it perhaps should not have been) snow.

This was the scene on Sunday afternoon:

20140217-065059.jpg

This heavy snow was completely missed by the forecast, and reports quickly emerged that it was even worse on the Hump and Sutton pass.

Indeed, the day before I was stuck 5km West of the West Bay hotel on Sproat Lake due to a minor car accident caused by a sudden onslaught of snow that looked like this:

20140217-065350.jpg

If you are on the roads this week. Be prepared. We came out ok because we had good winter tires and a pretty decent little car in the snow. But others on the highway with us were completely caught out with bald tires, no traction, and damage because of it. This could repeat Tuesday and Wednseday.

I believe the main reason for this snowfall was the fact that we were just slightly removed from the main force of the weekend storms to our south. So we did not get the winds mixing down into the lower atmosphere like our more southerly neighbours. However, we still got heavy precipitation, which started as rain, and eventually dragged the temperature down from 2-3C to 1C… and snow.

Will it happen again? Yes, I believe it could.

We will get heavy precipitation Tuesday morning.

20140217-065913.jpg

And we might get more Wednesday morning as well, though it looks like a weaker system.

By Thursday the jetstream is starting to look like it’s going to shift back into kinked mode. Here it is today:

20140217-070522.jpg

Thursday:

20140217-070546.jpg

Saturday:

20140217-070611.jpg

And Monday:

20140217-070632.jpg

We will see if this long range forecast comes true… But if it does it would mean a quick end to our return to normal wet, and snowy, winter weather, and back to a dry pattern.

The good news is, our snowpack got a bunch of help with these couple of storms. The little blue line finally has a tiny uptick to cheer for:

20140217-071122.jpg

Gotta start somewhere. Happy Monday all and safe driving!