Tue. Oct 15th, 2019

Weekend Weather Adventure – More possible snow Tues Morn. Then drier?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 15 October 2019 - Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Amount 10 mm. Windy early this evening. Temperature steady near 11. Wednesday: Periods of rain ending late in the afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Amount 10 to 20 mm. High 14. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Cloudy. 60 percent chance of showers in the evening. Rain beginning near midnight. Amount 10 mm. Low 10. Thursday: Showers. High 13. Thursday night: Showers. Low 8. Friday: Rain. High 11. Friday night: Rain. Low 7. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 60 percent chance of showers. High 15. Saturday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low plus 5. Sunday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. High 12. Sunday night: Periods of rain. Low 8. Monday: Rain. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    9.7° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    100.9 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    98 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    9.7° C
    Heat Index
    9.7° C
    Dewpoint
    9.4° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 21:20:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:06
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (95% full)
    Civil Set
    19:02
    Day Length
    13:04:57
    Day High
    10.5° C @ 12:48 Tdy.
    Day Low
    9.2° C @ 07:39 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.61 kPa @ 00:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    100.9 kPa @ 20:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    8.1° C @ 20:45 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.5° C @ 12:48 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 5km/h @ 20:55 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    142W/m2 @ 12:31 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    1.1 @ 12:30 Tdy.

So we had quite the weekend, but not really in the way we had anticipated. We got a little wind, but compared to Victoria and Vancouver, nothing too strong.

No, our story was unexpected (though it perhaps should not have been) snow.

This was the scene on Sunday afternoon:

20140217-065059.jpg

This heavy snow was completely missed by the forecast, and reports quickly emerged that it was even worse on the Hump and Sutton pass.

Indeed, the day before I was stuck 5km West of the West Bay hotel on Sproat Lake due to a minor car accident caused by a sudden onslaught of snow that looked like this:

20140217-065350.jpg

If you are on the roads this week. Be prepared. We came out ok because we had good winter tires and a pretty decent little car in the snow. But others on the highway with us were completely caught out with bald tires, no traction, and damage because of it. This could repeat Tuesday and Wednseday.

I believe the main reason for this snowfall was the fact that we were just slightly removed from the main force of the weekend storms to our south. So we did not get the winds mixing down into the lower atmosphere like our more southerly neighbours. However, we still got heavy precipitation, which started as rain, and eventually dragged the temperature down from 2-3C to 1C… and snow.

Will it happen again? Yes, I believe it could.

We will get heavy precipitation Tuesday morning.

20140217-065913.jpg

And we might get more Wednesday morning as well, though it looks like a weaker system.

By Thursday the jetstream is starting to look like it’s going to shift back into kinked mode. Here it is today:

20140217-070522.jpg

Thursday:

20140217-070546.jpg

Saturday:

20140217-070611.jpg

And Monday:

20140217-070632.jpg

We will see if this long range forecast comes true… But if it does it would mean a quick end to our return to normal wet, and snowy, winter weather, and back to a dry pattern.

The good news is, our snowpack got a bunch of help with these couple of storms. The little blue line finally has a tiny uptick to cheer for:

20140217-071122.jpg

Gotta start somewhere. Happy Monday all and safe driving!