Sun. Mar 24th, 2019

Wednesday snow start of mild, greener, pattern

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Sunday 24 March 2019 - Sunday: Mainly sunny. High 15. UV index 3 or moderate. Sunday night: Clear. Fog patches developing after midnight. Low plus 2. Monday: Increasing cloudiness. 60 percent chance of showers late in the afternoon. Fog patches dissipating in the morning. High 13. UV index 3 or moderate. Monday night: Rain. Low plus 5. Tuesday: Rain. High 9. Tuesday night: Showers. Low plus 3. Wednesday: Sunny. High 13. Wednesday night: Clear. Low plus 1. Thursday: Sunny. High 17. Thursday night: Clear. Low plus 3. Friday: Sunny. High 13. Friday night: Clear. Low plus 3. Saturday: Sunny. High 13.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    11.3° C
    1.8 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.15 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 3.2 km/h
    Humidity
    74 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    11.3° C
    Heat Index
    11.3° C
    Dewpoint
    6.9° C
    UV
    3.1
    Solar
    783 W/m2
    Last Updated: 14:10:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:40
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (81% full)
    Civil Set
    20:11
    Day Length
    13:25:28
    Day High
    11.4° C @ 14:09 Tdy.
    Day Low
    4.3° C @ 00:53 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.39 kPa @ 02:43 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.15 kPa @ 13:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    2.7° C @ 07:15 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    11.4° C @ 14:09 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 5.5km/h @ 07:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    830W/m2 @ 12:28 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    3.2 @ 13:21 Tdy.

All accounts, forecasts and models are predicting snow for Wednesday night now. It should start after 4PM?

There is a chance that it will be purely rain. I’m just throwing that out there so no one is surprised if it happens. (covering ones, uh, options, I think it is called :))

With the trapped cool air, the not-so-vigorous system, and the later hour of the day though, we can be confident that there will be flakes in the air and snow on the ground in places, especially at higher elevations. (ie Beaver Creek, Sproat Lake, Sutton Pass)

Brett Anderson is tweeting that areas over 100m can expect snow in Vancouver. So that should translate to snow here too with our valley cooling effects.

Longer term, the models are continuing to show this as the start of an active pattern for the next two weeks at least. They are now also trending toward warmer (more normal) temperatures, which would unfortunately mean less chance of white on Christmas.

We will see though. To wet your appetite, here are Environment Canadas’ probabilities for a white Christmas.

We are likely somewhat better off than Vancouver/Victorias 11% chance.

It’s worth noting that our region is one of very few in Canada (St John’s being the other) where Climate Change looks to have increased our chances at a white or even ‘perfect’ Christmas.