Sat. Jul 20th, 2019

Wednesday snow start of mild, greener, pattern

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Saturday 20 July 2019 - Saturday: Sunny. High 28. UV index 7 or high. Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 7. Sunday: Mainly sunny. High 29. UV index 8 or very high. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Monday: Sunny. High 27. Monday night: Clear. Low 12. Tuesday: Sunny. High 25. Tuesday night: Increasing cloudiness. Low 13. Wednesday: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. High 21. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 12. Thursday: Sunny. High 23. Thursday night: Clear. Low 13. Friday: Sunny. High 24.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    10.0° C
    0.2 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.08 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    95 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    10.0° C
    Heat Index
    10.0° C
    Dewpoint
    9.2° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    52 W/m2
    Last Updated: 6:40:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    04:54
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (88% full)
    Civil Set
    21:55
    Day Length
    13:25:36
    Day High
    14.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    9.6° C @ 06:00 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.08 kPa @ 06:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    102.02 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    9.6° C @ 06:00 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    14.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    58W/m2 @ 06:39 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

All accounts, forecasts and models are predicting snow for Wednesday night now. It should start after 4PM?

There is a chance that it will be purely rain. I’m just throwing that out there so no one is surprised if it happens. (covering ones, uh, options, I think it is called :))

With the trapped cool air, the not-so-vigorous system, and the later hour of the day though, we can be confident that there will be flakes in the air and snow on the ground in places, especially at higher elevations. (ie Beaver Creek, Sproat Lake, Sutton Pass)

Brett Anderson is tweeting that areas over 100m can expect snow in Vancouver. So that should translate to snow here too with our valley cooling effects.

Longer term, the models are continuing to show this as the start of an active pattern for the next two weeks at least. They are now also trending toward warmer (more normal) temperatures, which would unfortunately mean less chance of white on Christmas.

We will see though. To wet your appetite, here are Environment Canadas’ probabilities for a white Christmas.

We are likely somewhat better off than Vancouver/Victorias 11% chance.

It’s worth noting that our region is one of very few in Canada (St John’s being the other) where Climate Change looks to have increased our chances at a white or even ‘perfect’ Christmas.