December 1, 2020

Warmth continuing through the weekend plus Floods and Quakes

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PST Tuesday 01 December 2020 - Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Becoming cloudy this evening. Fog patches developing late this evening. Low minus 1. Wednesday: Clearing late in the morning. Fog patches dissipating near noon. High plus 2. UV index 1 or low. Wednesday night: Increasing cloudiness early in the evening. Temperature steady near plus 2. Thursday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High plus 3. Thursday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 6. Friday night: Clear. Low zero. Saturday: Sunny. High 6. Saturday night: Cloudy. Low plus 4. Sunday: Cloudy. High 9. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low plus 5. Monday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 9.

We weren’t really supposed to be quite so warm and nice yesterday, but we were so let’s just leave it at that 🙂

There is a slight chance of passing showers tonight after which we will be dry until Monday or Tuesday. The weekend should have more sun than clouds and temperatures in the low to mid teens.

After Monday it will cool slightly and we should get a little wetter, but again, nothing serious which is good from a river runoff flooding perspective.

As you may have read in the paper, the mountains have lots of snowpack on them and that means if we get a big warm rain event there is potential for flooding. Here is the current snowpack data as of the 9th.

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(River Forecast Center)

As you can see we are above normal for this time of year though slightly below the major snowpack we had last year and well below the record. Translation, there is certainly enough there for flooding but perhaps only if we get a really hard and long shot of warm rain that truly empties it all out at once. Frankly, with the cooler weather we’ve been having and that is continuing to be predicted for the coming months, I’m hopeful that we won’t get the perfect storm.

And speaking of a perfect storm of another type… How about those Earthquakes yesterday all around the Pacific Rim!?

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From USGS Website

This image is from yesterday afternoon, long after the 8.6 and 8.2 quakes hit Indonesia in the morning (you can see those in blue), but it sure seems to have set off a response around the Ring of Fire. The quakes in red all happened within an hour. There was another 7.0 Tremor this morning near Baja California. It’s hard to confirm that Earthquakes are connected outside of aftershocks, but there’s certainly lots of pent up geologic energy out there.

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