Warm start less snow?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Tuesday 24 April 2018 - Tuesday night: Clearing this evening. Low plus 4. Wednesday: Sunny. High 25. UV index 5 or moderate. Wednesday night: Clear. Low plus 5. Thursday: Sunny. High 26. Thursday night: Clear. Low 7. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 23. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 7. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High 22. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Sunday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 15. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 5. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    8.2° C
    -1.4 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    79 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    8.2° C
    Heat Index
    8.2° C
    Dewpoint
    4.8° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 1:40:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:32
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (76% full)
    Civil Set
    21:03
    Day Length
    13:17:07
    Day High
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    8.2° C @ 01:36 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102 kPa @ 01:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.93 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    8.2° C @ 01:36 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

I noticed as I went to bed last night that we were holding steady at 1C and we remain there this morning.

It could still snow at this temperature but the likelihood of it persisting diminishes. It’s so hard to tell what will happen when we are on the borderline like this. It seems like this has been the story of our fall so far.

You can still expect snowflakes to fly at higher elevations and even in town. This should start around or just after noon. It is not going to be heavy, but should last well into the evening.

Longer term, as I said in my last post, the models are showing a definite warming trend back towards are our normal temperatures in the 5-6C range. The likelihood for a white Christmas is dropping as those temps rise, but it will mean excellent skiing conditions over Christmas break on the always white Mt. Washington! 🙂