Warm start less snow?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Saturday 21 July 2018 - Saturday night: Clear. Low 11. Sunday: Sunny. High 32. Humidex 34. UV index 8 or very high. Sunday night: Clear. Low 13. Monday: Sunny. High 34. Monday night: Clear. Low 14. Tuesday: Sunny. High 33. Tuesday night: Clear. Low 14. Wednesday: Sunny. High 32. Wednesday night: Clear. Low 14. Thursday: Sunny. High 28. Thursday night: Clear. Low 14. Friday: Sunny. High 27.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    25.5° C
    -0.3 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.01 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 11.1 km/h
    gusting 22.5 km/h
    Humidity
    44 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    25.5° C
    Heat Index
    25.5° C
    Dewpoint
    12.3° C
    UV
    1.5
    Solar
    315 W/m2
    Last Updated: 17:55:00 PDT
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    04:56
    Moon Phase
    First quarter (72% full)
    Civil Set
    21:54
    Day Length
    13:25:39
    Day High
    27.3° C @ 15:19 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.3° C @ 06:21 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.13 kPa @ 08:59 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.95 kPa @ 03:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.3° C @ 06:21 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    27.3° C @ 15:19 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 14.4km/h @ 17:45 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1062W/m2 @ 13:29 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    7.1 @ 13:26 Tdy.

I noticed as I went to bed last night that we were holding steady at 1C and we remain there this morning.

It could still snow at this temperature but the likelihood of it persisting diminishes. It’s so hard to tell what will happen when we are on the borderline like this. It seems like this has been the story of our fall so far.

You can still expect snowflakes to fly at higher elevations and even in town. This should start around or just after noon. It is not going to be heavy, but should last well into the evening.

Longer term, as I said in my last post, the models are showing a definite warming trend back towards are our normal temperatures in the 5-6C range. The likelihood for a white Christmas is dropping as those temps rise, but it will mean excellent skiing conditions over Christmas break on the always white Mt. Washington! 🙂