Mon. Nov 12th, 2018

Updated 11:30AM — Thursday Snow-Maybe-Cast – Check it out! :)

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PST Monday 12 November 2018 - Monday: Clearing. High 10. UV index 1 or low. Monday night: Increasing cloudiness. 40 percent chance of showers before morning. Low plus 3. Tuesday: Periods of rain. High 10. Tuesday night: Rain. Low 7. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 12. Wednesday night: Showers. Low 7. Thursday: Periods of rain. High 11. Thursday night: Periods of rain. Low 7. Friday: Periods of rain. High 11. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 10. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Sunday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 10.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    3.6° C
    0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    103.07 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    99 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    3.6° C
    Heat Index
    3.6° C
    Dewpoint
    3.4° C
    UV
    0.7
    Solar
    123 W/m2
    Last Updated: 10:40:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.3 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:49
    Moon Phase
    Waxing crescent (25% full)
    Civil Set
    17:16
    Day Length
    12:03:23
    Day High
    3.6° C @ 10:30 Tdy.
    Day Low
    1.6° C @ 04:08 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    103.23 kPa @ 00:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    103.07 kPa @ 10:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    -0.3° C @ 04:05 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    3.6° C @ 10:30 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 3.7km/h @ 02:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    151W/m2 @ 10:32 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.8 @ 10:32 Tdy.

Update 11:30AM — Snow has finally come, mainly to higher elevations though there is some wet snow and sleet falling in Port Alberni. Sutton Pass looks nearly impassible. The Hump is snowing but not too bad.

Please drive carefully.

Now that the precipitation is here, it will likely keep snowing for as long as the strong intensity of precipitation continues which should last at least another hour or two and may pick up again on and off into the evening.

There has been very little change in temperature and there are only weak winds and flow so I anticipate most of the precipitation to fall as snow, especially at higher elevations.

It should be dry and finished by 8PM.

Stay safe all.

Update 6:30AM: This system is looking even weaker than the last forecast that showed it weakening from the forecast before that. Pretty underwhelming. I’m starting to wonder if we’re going to get anything out of this at all!

Screen Shot 2013-12-12 at 6.40.30 AM
There is moisture on the radar, but it is light, high level, and focused only barely on our region. South of us and Parksville, it is still dry.

Beware of course that conditions may change. But I’m not impressed so far!

____________

OK, short update just the bare minimum to let you know what’s up. 🙂

Snow – Probability I’d say is about 60%
Time – Models say won’t come until at least 6AM possibly later.
Amount – All models indicate 5-8cm possible. But may be 0-2cm depending on temperature.
Warm change over – I think it will be 5C by noon. If it isn’t expect more snow. If it is, the snow might be gone by evening.
Rain – I will be surprised if it doesn’t start raining after noon. And then we’re in for it for the rest of the week.

There is a possibility for freezing rain in the morning. Please be careful. There is also a possibility for heavy snowfall at times though I think this is less likely.

Hoping for the best… NO SCHOOL… but doubtful unless it is dumping at 6 or 7AM in the morning, I expect school to be fully on. Sorry! 🙂

Whatever happens, please drive carefully, and have fun.