Mon. Jul 15th, 2019

Sun to Continue for week

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 15 July 2019 - Monday night: Mainly cloudy. 40 percent chance of showers early this evening with risk of thunderstorms. Low 15. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers in the morning. High 25. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high. Tuesday night: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the evening. Low 14. Wednesday: Periods of rain. High 21. Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 9. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 20. Thursday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Friday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Friday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21. Saturday night: Cloudy periods. Low 12. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 22.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    19.4° C
    -0.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.65 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 3 km/h
    Humidity
    88 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    19.4° C
    Heat Index
    19.4° C
    Dewpoint
    17.3° C
    UV
    0.6
    Solar
    124 W/m2
    Last Updated: 19:00:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    1.5 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    1.5 mm since
    July 15, 2019 00:07
    Civil Rise
    04:47
    Moon Phase
    Full (99% full)
    Civil Set
    22:01
    Day Length
    13:25:13
    Day High
    27.1° C @ 14:22 Tdy.
    Day Low
    12.6° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    4.1mm/hr @ 17:06 Tdy.
    Day High Barometer
    101.81 kPa @ 00:13 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.51 kPa @ 14:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    12.6° C @ 05:44 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    27.2° C @ 14:22 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 20km/h @ 15:35 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    1134W/m2 @ 14:22 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    6.8 @ 13:05 Tdy.

The warm and sunny weather (minus the fog) should continue through most of the next week. There will be a few clouds this weekend, but no significant rainfall, if any at all. Temperatures will remain mild and above average for this year. Highs will be into the 20s until late next week if this forecast holds.

After next week there is a possibility for another major dump of rain, but it’s too far out to know for sure right now.

In other interesting weather related news:

#1: La Nina is picking up steam and is forecast to peak (which means mid-tropic-Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) will be at their coolest) sometime in November/December

Great comparison here shows you the difference between an El Nino (which started last September)

and La Nina this September.

#2: La Nina generally brings us cool, dry winters on the West Coast… and a bunch of snow. The various winter forecasts I’ve seen out there all agree. There is potential for a snowy, and possibly very snowy winter here. Quite the contrast from last year.

#3: Speaking of ice and snow. After making a bit of a rebound last year, the 2010 arctic ice melt season peaked last week with it’s third lowest coverage since satellite records began.
Below shows a comparison between 2010 and 2007, the year of record for least ice.

White areas is ice that stuck around this year compared to 2007, black are areas that were there in 2007 but not this year.

For the 3rd year in a row, the Northwest and NorthEast passage have been open and circumnavigation of the pole is possible. This has never happened in recorded history.

The real question now will be how thick is the ice up there. There has been a precipitous decline in overall sea ice thickness over the past decade, and this is what has allowed the ice to melt so fast in the summer. There will be new data coming on the state of the ice soon and I’ll post it here when it does.