Mon. Mar 25th, 2019

Sun to Continue for week

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 11:00 AM PDT Monday 25 March 2019 - Monday: Increasing cloudiness. 40 percent chance of showers late this afternoon. High 13. UV index 3 or moderate. Monday night: Rain. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Low plus 5. Tuesday: Showers ending in the afternoon then cloudy. Risk of thunderstorms in the morning and early in the afternoon. Amount 5 to 10 mm. High 9. UV index 1 or low. Tuesday night: Cloudy periods. Low plus 2. Wednesday: Sunny. High 17. Wednesday night: Clear. Low plus 2. Thursday: Sunny. High 16. Thursday night: Clear. Low plus 3. Friday: Sunny. High 15. Friday night: Clear. Low plus 4. Saturday: Sunny. High 14. Saturday night: Clear. Low plus 4. Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 13.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    11.4° C
    1.1 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.32 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    S 3.2 km/h
    gusting 11.3 km/h
    Humidity
    75 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    11.4° C
    Heat Index
    11.4° C
    Dewpoint
    7.2° C
    UV
    2.1
    Solar
    451 W/m2
    Last Updated: 12:50:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    06:38
    Moon Phase
    Waning gibbous (73% full)
    Civil Set
    20:12
    Day Length
    13:25:10
    Day High
    11.4° C @ 12:49 Tdy.
    Day Low
    2.3° C @ 05:26 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.08 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.27 kPa @ 11:28 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    0.5° C @ 08:58 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    11.4° C @ 12:49 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 9.7km/h @ 11:50 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    476W/m2 @ 12:49 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.2 @ 12:48 Tdy.

The warm and sunny weather (minus the fog) should continue through most of the next week. There will be a few clouds this weekend, but no significant rainfall, if any at all. Temperatures will remain mild and above average for this year. Highs will be into the 20s until late next week if this forecast holds.

After next week there is a possibility for another major dump of rain, but it’s too far out to know for sure right now.

In other interesting weather related news:

#1: La Nina is picking up steam and is forecast to peak (which means mid-tropic-Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) will be at their coolest) sometime in November/December

Great comparison here shows you the difference between an El Nino (which started last September)

and La Nina this September.

#2: La Nina generally brings us cool, dry winters on the West Coast… and a bunch of snow. The various winter forecasts I’ve seen out there all agree. There is potential for a snowy, and possibly very snowy winter here. Quite the contrast from last year.

#3: Speaking of ice and snow. After making a bit of a rebound last year, the 2010 arctic ice melt season peaked last week with it’s third lowest coverage since satellite records began.
Below shows a comparison between 2010 and 2007, the year of record for least ice.

White areas is ice that stuck around this year compared to 2007, black are areas that were there in 2007 but not this year.

For the 3rd year in a row, the Northwest and NorthEast passage have been open and circumnavigation of the pole is possible. This has never happened in recorded history.

The real question now will be how thick is the ice up there. There has been a precipitous decline in overall sea ice thickness over the past decade, and this is what has allowed the ice to melt so fast in the summer. There will be new data coming on the state of the ice soon and I’ll post it here when it does.