September 23, 2020

Summers Wet end, and Possible storm end of month

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT
    Issued: 12:09 PM PDT Wednesday 23 September 2020

    Forecast Issued 7:26 PM PDT Wednesday 23 September 2020 - Wednesday night: Showers at times heavy with risk of a thunderstorm. Amount 10 to 15 mm. Windy this evening. Low 12. Thursday: Showers with risk of a thunderstorm. Amount 10 to 15 mm. High 16. UV index 1 or low. Thursday night: Cloudy. 60 percent chance of showers early in the evening. Rain beginning in the evening. Amount 15 to 25 mm. Low 11. Friday: Showers. Windy. High 18. Friday night: Rain. Low 10. Saturday: Periods of rain. High 20. Saturday night: Rain. Low 11. Sunday: Rain. High 17. Sunday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 12. Monday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 18. Monday night: Cloudy periods. Low 11. Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 21.

We’re into our last week of summer and it’s going to be a fairly soggy one. Today (Wednesday) will be raining, then we’ll get a break tomorrow before another bout of rain hits us on Friday or Saturday. In all, a pretty wet end to what was a dry summer.

The week after next, around the 27th, 28th or 29th the models are showing the possibility of a bit of a blow coming through the neighbourhood. Pressures down to 990mb which generally means some gusting winds. We’ll see how it pans out, long range forecasts are also very iffy.

While we wait for our first big blow of the season, some interesting things to check out:

Use this link to check out Cat 4 Hurricane Igor, Cat 4 Hurricane Julia and Tropical Storm Karl. After a slow start, the Atlantic Hurricane season is really hopping, and has now reached what would be termed a “normal” number of storms for an entire year, with 2 months still left to go.
National Hurricane Center

Another key weather maker is the Arctic region. And for the 3rd year in the past five years, the Northwest and NorthEast Passage have cleared of ice. Two ships are currently attempting the unprecedented feat of circumnavigating the Arctic Ocean. Never in recorded human history has this been done in clear water (without ice breakers) in one season.
Artic Sea Ice Daily image

Judging by the daily plot of sea ice coverage on the NSIDC site we should be hearing from them very soon on the official end of the melt season in the Arctic. This year should go down as the 3rd lowest summer Arctic sea ice extent recorded after 2007 and 2008.

5 thoughts on “Summers Wet end, and Possible storm end of month

  1. I just looked again at the long range model and it’s predicting 100mm of rain between Saturday and Monday next week.

    Looks like we might be getting our first monsoon of the year and it still looks windy. 😉

  2. Well, hope Mommy Nature gives us a small break between Sept 28th and Oct 01ft. We’re camping that time frame. Afterwards, though, let ‘er rip! We haven’t had a good storm out here in a long time! Just let me get the battery bank for the emergency power system replaced!

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