Mon. Oct 14th, 2019

Summers Wet end, and Possible storm end of month

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 4:00 PM PDT Monday 14 October 2019 - Monday night: Cloudy. Low 7. Tuesday: Cloudy. Rain beginning in the morning. High 12. UV index 1 or low. Tuesday night: Periods of rain. Temperature steady near 12. Wednesday: Rain. High 15. Wednesday night: Rain. Low 8. Thursday: Showers. High 13. Thursday night: Rain. Low 8. Friday: Rain. High 12. Friday night: Rain. Low 6. Saturday: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. High 12. Saturday night: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Low 6. Sunday: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. High 12.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    10.4° C
    0.0 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    101.61 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0 km/h
    gusting 0 km/h
    Humidity
    88 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    10.4° C
    Heat Index
    10.4° C
    Dewpoint
    8.5° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 23:45:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Today's Almanac
    Rain since Midnight
    0.0 mm
    Continuous Rainfall (< 24hr gap)
    No Qualifying Rainfall mm
    Civil Rise
    07:05
    Moon Phase
    Full (98% full)
    Civil Set
    19:04
    Day Length
    13:05:11
    Day High
    14.7° C @ 14:43 Tdy.
    Day Low
    4.3° C @ 07:53 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    101.92 kPa @ 10:14 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.61 kPa @ 23:29 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    4.3° C @ 07:53 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    14.7° C @ 14:43 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 9km/h @ 13:50 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    733W/m2 @ 12:50 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    2.9 @ 12:48 Tdy.

We’re into our last week of summer and it’s going to be a fairly soggy one. Today (Wednesday) will be raining, then we’ll get a break tomorrow before another bout of rain hits us on Friday or Saturday. In all, a pretty wet end to what was a dry summer.

The week after next, around the 27th, 28th or 29th the models are showing the possibility of a bit of a blow coming through the neighbourhood. Pressures down to 990mb which generally means some gusting winds. We’ll see how it pans out, long range forecasts are also very iffy.

While we wait for our first big blow of the season, some interesting things to check out:

Use this link to check out Cat 4 Hurricane Igor, Cat 4 Hurricane Julia and Tropical Storm Karl. After a slow start, the Atlantic Hurricane season is really hopping, and has now reached what would be termed a “normal” number of storms for an entire year, with 2 months still left to go.
National Hurricane Center

Another key weather maker is the Arctic region. And for the 3rd year in the past five years, the Northwest and NorthEast Passage have cleared of ice. Two ships are currently attempting the unprecedented feat of circumnavigating the Arctic Ocean. Never in recorded human history has this been done in clear water (without ice breakers) in one season.
Artic Sea Ice Daily image

Judging by the daily plot of sea ice coverage on the NSIDC site we should be hearing from them very soon on the official end of the melt season in the Arctic. This year should go down as the 3rd lowest summer Arctic sea ice extent recorded after 2007 and 2008.

5 thoughts on “Summers Wet end, and Possible storm end of month

  1. I just looked again at the long range model and it’s predicting 100mm of rain between Saturday and Monday next week.

    Looks like we might be getting our first monsoon of the year and it still looks windy. 😉

  2. Well, hope Mommy Nature gives us a small break between Sept 28th and Oct 01ft. We’re camping that time frame. Afterwards, though, let ‘er rip! We haven’t had a good storm out here in a long time! Just let me get the battery bank for the emergency power system replaced!

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