Still chance for snow… But what about Christmas?

  • Vancouver Island Inland Sections Forecast - No watches or warnings in effect.

    Forecast Issued 05:00 AM PDT Wednesday 25 April 2018 - Wednesday: Sunny. High 24. UV index 5 or moderate. Wednesday night: Clear. Low plus 5. Thursday: Sunny. High 26. Thursday night: Clear. Low 7. Friday: Sunny. High 27. Friday night: Clear. Low 8. Saturday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 17. Saturday night: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Low 7. Sunday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 20. Sunday night: Cloudy periods. Low 6. Monday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 16. Monday night: Clear. Low 6. Tuesday: Sunny. High 18.

  • Current Conditions
    Temperature
    5.0° C
    -0.7 ° C/hr
    Barometer
    102.02 kPa
    0.0
    Wind
    N/A 0.0 km/h
    gusting 0.0 km/h
    Humidity
    89 %
    Rain Rate
    0.0 mm/hr
    Wind Chill
    5.0° C
    Heat Index
    5.0° C
    Dewpoint
    3.3° C
    UV
    0.0
    Solar
    0 W/m2
    Last Updated: 5:05:00 PST
    Click to Refresh or See All Conditions
  • Day Almanac
    Day's Rain
    0.0 mm
    Day ET
    0.0 mm mm
    Rain Storm
    NotAvailable mm
    Civil Rise
    05:32
    Moon Phase
    Waxing gibbous (78% full)
    Civil Set
    21:03
    Day Length
    13:17:07
    Day High
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low
    5.0° C @ 05:03 Tdy.
    Day High Rain Rate
    0.0mm/hr00:00
    Day High Barometer
    102.02 kPa @ 03:58 Tdy.
    Day Low Barometer
    101.93 kPa @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day Low Windchill
    5.0° C @ 05:03 Tdy.
    Day High Heat Index
    10.6° C @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High Wind Gust
    S 0.0km/h @ 00:05 Tdy.
    Day High Solar Radiation
    0W/m2 @ 00:00 Tdy.
    Day High UV Index
    0.0 @ 00:00 Tdy.

As I stepped out the door this morning it was snowing heavily again. We got another 3cm or so in town. The drive up the West side of the hump was pretty treacherous, far worse than yesterday morning ironically but this time as soon as I came down the East side all the snow disappeared and it was raining instead.

It will again depend on the temperature in your local area, but it should generally warm up just enough once the sun rises today to allow any more precipitation to fall as rain. But we will remain right on the edge of freezing so you can really expect wet snow to fall at any time.

Now… On to the forecast for the coming week, and since we are within 5 days, CHRISTMAS. Note, the general natural of this should be accurate as its within 7 days, but the specific timing is still subject to change and indeed it could be wildly different. Saturday and Sunday will be the time we can start to get our hopes up, or not.

Now lets look at the models. Here is the full week… The trend stays cool and damp, but not so damp as to be a big warm pacific storm…
20121220-072557.jpg

Here is today:
20121220-073202.jpg
You can see the big low out there pumping precipitation up from the south. It’s going to spin out there for the next few days.

The low is forecast to finally approach the coast and die out on Monday, Christmas Eve.
20121220-073744.jpg

You can see the white and blues stretching onto Vancouver Island…. Just in time for Christmas Eve.

Here is the precipitation. As you can see. Dry. But lurking on the horizon…..
20121220-074545.jpg

And now… Christmas:
20121220-075209.jpg

This is almost an exact repeat of yesterday’s setup with cold air trapped in the Valley and a Pacific front barreling in.

….. Again, the general idea should be accurate for this forecast, the timing may change though… The current low might break down sooner, or hang on more… The low predicted to swing a front our way might no be as strong… Lots of things can change, but at least at this point. There is hope. And isn’t that what Christmas is about?